How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Giants 116 Rangers 56 -0.3
Tigers 98 Braves 138 +0.1
Brewers 85 Yankees 180 -0.1
Reds 166 Rays 123 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rangers vs Mariners+0.0Out-0.0
+0.3-0.1-0.5
Blue Jays vs Rays+0.0-0.0-0.1
Red Sox vs Yankees+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
1311-0-065.3%15962961688
12.510-0-1Out1443437
1210-1-06.361354414286*
11.59-1-11.41115334212
119-2-00.3006385513,821
8-1-21.7252963259
10.58-2-1Out12968202,548
7-1-3Out178312
108-3-0Out013807030,684
7-2-2Out011817760
6-1-4Out33673
9.57-3-1Out088012017,397
6-2-3Out980101121
97-4-0Out0270272153,647
6-3-2Out2702624,219
5-2-4Out1009
8.56-4-1Out159364072,711
5-3-3Out157384593*
86-5-0Out03749140496,404
5-4-2Out0374914014,058
4-3-4Out41441534
7.55-5-1Out02453230189,372
4-4-3Out025522201,474
3-3-5Out50506
75-6-0Out0104544101,052,566
4-5-2Out094445128,621
3-4-4Out5445188
6.54-6-1Out4355830312,495
3-5-3Out33359402,323*
64-7-0Out1187010001,444,246
3-6-2Out11670120035,426
2-5-4Out21631682
5.53-7-1Out07652620320,541
2-6-3Out06612931,958
1-5-5Out1004
53-8-0Out025139701,243,281
2-7-2Out0145449025,575
1-6-4Out38491345
4.52-8-1Out02152243192,419
1-7-3Out1852263844*
42-9-0Out01044388635,513
1-8-2Out6404499,657
0-7-4Out693113
3.51-9-1Out119512961,736
0-8-3Out1105435163
31-10-0Out084943176,006
0-9-2Out348491,494
2.50-10-1Out024768,003
20-11-0Out208020,368
Total:0.0%000009204218836,562,592

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/3100.0*Lottery seed
Giants 116 Rangers 56 +0.7
Dodgers 108 Astros 79 +0.1
Brewers 85 Yankees 180 +0.0
Tigers 98 Braves 138 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/10100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers vs Mariners-0.4+0.5+0.7
Tigers vs Indians+0.0-0.1-0.0
Braves vs Phillies+0.1-0.0-0.0
Red Sox vs Yankees-0.0-0.0+0.1
Blue Jays vs Rays-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Giants vs Diamondbacks+0.0-0.1-0.0
Pirates vs Brewers-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
1311-0-017381802950
12.510-0-1294329
1210-1-0132123633112
11.59-1-11062738235
119-2-0000624392550
8-1-2214463153
10.58-2-1011233351730
7-1-38255088
108-3-00110313717300
7-2-2031336331320
6-1-43367
9.57-3-10214343314300
6-2-31520422562
97-4-000213333414300
6-3-204193629101
5-2-411223333
8.56-4-1004193529112
5-3-31103041181
86-5-000041934301220
5-4-20192940200
4-3-431221596
7.55-5-1001928402100
4-4-316305940
3-3-56733
75-6-0001928402200
4-5-2016296050
3-4-4564275
6.54-6-10052860600
3-5-30665273
64-7-000052761700
3-6-20056229300
2-5-412839275
5.53-7-10056031400
2-6-3023482440
1-5-525252525
53-8-00045634500
2-7-2021482650
1-6-422233367
4.52-8-10018482860
1-7-321843316
42-9-0014483170
1-8-211742337
0-7-483854
3.51-9-101441378
0-8-3195040
31-10-001140409
0-9-20104842
2.50-10-1074646
20-11-064548
Total:000000000011359173717731