Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances 2018

Beat Red Sox 126-105, playoff odds up 7.2 to 94.7%

7-2-0 .778

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

17.5	-18						In		100												121,554	*
17		10	-	1	-	0	In		94	6											479,589
		9	-	0	-	2	In		94	6											4,532
16	.5	9	-	1	-	1	In		93	7		0									142,708
		8	-	0	-	3	In		93	7											373
16		9	-	2	-	0	In		75	25		0									1,094,328
		8	-	1	-	2	In		75	25		0									18,959
		7	-	0	-	4	In		76	24											25
15	.5	8	-	2	-	1	In		70	29		0									288,035
		7	-	1	-	3	In		69	30		0									1,509
		6	-	0	-	5	In		100												2
15		8	-	3	-	0	100.0	%	44	54	0	2	0								1,430,406
		7	-	2	-	2	100.0		44	55	0	1	0								33,428
		6	-	1	-	4	In		43	57											67
14	.5	7	-	3	-	1	100.0		37	58	0	5	0								329,650
		6	-	2	-	3	In		37	59	0	4									2,252
		5	-	1	-	5	In			100											1
14		7	-	4	-	0	99.3		16	71	1	12	1	0							1,185,305
		6	-	3	-	2	99.4		16	72	0	11	1								33,379
		5	-	2	-	4	In		20	69	1	9									98
13	.5	6	-	4	-	1	97.8		10	64	1	23	2	0							235,464
		5	-	3	-	3	98.1		9	66	1	22	2	0							1,892
13		6	-	5	-	0	88.8		3	52	4	31	11	1	0						655,637
		5	-	4	-	2	89.7		3	54	3	30	10	0							20,309
		4	-	3	-	4	91.5		3	52	4	32	8								71
12	.5	5	-	5	-	1	76.2		1	32	4	39	22	2	0						109,924
		4	-	4	-	3	79.5		1	37	5	36	19	2							947
		3	-	3	-	5	In			100											2
12		5	-	6	-	0	50.2		0	16	6	28	38	11	1	0					245,587
		4	-	5	-	2	50.9		0	16	6	28	38	10	0						7,586
		3	-	4	-	4	66.7			26	7	33	30	4							27
11	.5	4	-	6	-	1	27.9		0	5	4	19	45	24	3	0					33,980
		3	-	5	-	3	29.2			6	4	19	43	26	1						301
11		4	-	7	-	0	10.7			1	3	7	34	41	12	1	0				62,518
		3	-	6	-	2	12.0			1	2	8	36	39	12	1					1,859
		2	-	5	-	4	12.5					13	25	50	13						8
10	.5	3	-	7	-	1	2.7			0	1	2	17	45	29	5	0	0			6,694
		2	-	6	-	3	5.0				2	3	18	43	25	7	2				60
10		3	-	8	-	0	0.4				0	0	5	28	39	21	5	0			10,404
		2	-	7	-	2	Out						4	31	44	17	3	0			286
		1	-	6	-	4	Out								100						1
9	.5	2	-	8	-	1	Out							9	32	41	16	1			875
		1	-	7	-	3	Out							25	25	25	25				4
9		2	-	9	-	0	Out						0	2	15	38	35	10	0		1,135
		1	-	8	-	2	Out							4	17	39	22	17			23
8	.5	1	-	9	-	1	Out								6	11	50	29	3		62
8		1	-	10	-	0	Out							2		13	39	34	13		56
		0	-	9	-	2	Out												100		1
7		0	-	11	-	0	Out								0		7	49	41	3	679

Total:							94.7	%	42	43	1	9	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	6,562,592

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

18		11	-	0	-	0	89	11	0
17	.5	10	-	0	-	1	55	39	6	0	0
17		10	-	1	-	0	54	39	6	0	0
		9	-	0	-	2	16	42	31	10	2	0
16	.5	9	-	1	-	1	15	42	32	10	1	0
		8	-	0	-	3	2	12	38	30	16	2
16		9	-	2	-	0	15	41	32	11	2	0
		8	-	1	-	2	1	11	30	35	19	4	0
		7	-	0	-	4			4	20	44	32
15	.5	8	-	2	-	1	1	11	29	35	19	4	0
		7	-	1	-	3		1	5	23	41	28	1
		6	-	0	-	5						50	50
15		8	-	3	-	0	1	10	29	35	20	5	0		0	0
		7	-	2	-	2	0	1	5	21	40	31	2	0	0
		6	-	1	-	4				3	19	61	16
14	.5	7	-	3	-	1	0	0	5	20	40	32	3	0	0	0
		6	-	2	-	3			0	2	21	60	17	0
		5	-	1	-	5						100
14		7	-	4	-	0	0	0	4	19	39	33	3	0	1	0	0
		6	-	3	-	2		0	0	2	18	58	21	0	0	0	0
		5	-	2	-	4					4	40	50	6
13	.5	6	-	4	-	1		0	0	2	16	56	23	0	1	1	0
		5	-	3	-	3				0	2	35	57	4	0	1	0
13		6	-	5	-	0		0	0	2	14	50	22	0	6	5	0	0
		5	-	4	-	2				0	1	29	54	5	2	7	2	0
		4	-	3	-	4						4	62	25		3	3	3
12	.5	5	-	5	-	1				0	1	25	45	5	4	16	4	0	0
		4	-	4	-	3						5	52	22	1	8	8	3	0
		3	-	3	-	5							50	50
12		5	-	6	-	0				0	1	17	29	3	8	33	8	0	0
		4	-	5	-	2					0	3	31	17	1	19	22	7	1
		3	-	4	-	4							26	41		4	4	19	7
11	.5	4	-	6	-	1					0	2	16	10	1	28	32	10	1	0
		3	-	5	-	3						0	9	20		6	21	28	13	3
11		4	-	7	-	0					0	1	6	4	2	36	39	12	1	0
		3	-	6	-	2							3	9		7	26	37	16	2	0
		2	-	5	-	4								13				13	50	13	13
10	.5	3	-	7	-	1							1	2	0	6	29	39	20	3	0
		2	-	6	-	3								5			3	18	27	33	12	2
10		3	-	8	-	0							0	0	0	6	27	41	22	4	0
		2	-	7	-	2											1	14	41	31	12	2
		1	-	6	-	4																100
9	.5	2	-	8	-	1										0	2	13	31	36	15	2	0
		1	-	7	-	3												25		25		50
9		2	-	9	-	0										0	1	10	34	38	15	2	0
		1	-	8	-	2													4	26	22	30	13	4
8	.5	1	-	9	-	1														23	23	44	6	5
8		1	-	10	-	0													5	13	30	32	14	5
		0	-	9	-	2																			100
7		0	-	11	-	0																4	16	45	31	5

Total:							9	14	15	16	17	17	6	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0