Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 2018

Beat Royals 210-72, playoff odds up 11.3 to 95%

6-3-0 .667

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

17		11	-	0	-	0	In		98	2											360,456
16	.5	10	-	0	-	1	In		91	9											103,291
16		10	-	1	-	0	In		88	12											1,122,002
		9	-	0	-	2	In		88	12											13,330
15	.5	9	-	1	-	1	In		70	30		0									291,129
		8	-	0	-	3	In		72	28											1,098
15		9	-	2	-	0	100.0	%	63	36	0	1	0								1,552,545
		8	-	1	-	2	100.0		64	36	0	0	0								33,896
		7	-	0	-	4	In		67	33											63
14	.5	8	-	2	-	1	100.0		39	58	0	3	0								361,178
		7	-	1	-	3	In		40	58	0	2									2,363
		6	-	0	-	5	In		100												3
14		8	-	3	-	0	99.4		29	62	1	8	1	0							1,256,898
		7	-	2	-	2	99.6		30	63	1	6	0								37,521
		6	-	1	-	4	In		31	61	1	7									118
13	.5	7	-	3	-	1	98.0		11	71	1	15	2	0							259,240
		6	-	2	-	3	98.8		11	73	1	14	1								2,180
		5	-	1	-	5	In			100											5
13		7	-	4	-	0	89.9		6	56	5	23	10	0	0						660,400
		6	-	3	-	2	91.4		6	59	5	21	8	0	0						23,113
		5	-	2	-	4	90.5		6	56	6	22	9								95
12	.5	6	-	4	-	1	77.6		1	44	6	26	20	2	0						118,079
		5	-	3	-	3	81.0		1	48	6	27	18	1	0						1,199
		4	-	2	-	5	50.0			50			50								2
12		6	-	5	-	0	50.7		0	20	10	20	38	11	1	0					235,682
		5	-	4	-	2	53.4		0	22	11	20	37	9	1						9,003
		4	-	3	-	4	56.4			26	5	26	36	8							39
11	.5	5	-	5	-	1	29.1		0	9	7	12	43	24	4	0					36,011
		4	-	4	-	3	32.4			10	8	14	43	22	3	0					408
		3	-	3	-	5	Out							100							2
11		5	-	6	-	0	9.9			2	4	4	31	40	18	2	0				58,220
		4	-	5	-	2	9.6			2	4	4	33	38	17	2	0				2,298
		3	-	4	-	4	9.1				9		18	55	18						11
10	.5	4	-	6	-	1	2.8			0	2	1	16	42	34	6	0				7,381
		3	-	5	-	3	9.4				8	1	19	33	32	7					85
10		4	-	7	-	0	0.4			0	0	0	3	21	41	27	7	1	0		9,928
		3	-	6	-	2	1.2				1	0	5	21	40	26	6	1			339
		2	-	5	-	4	Out								100						1
9	.5	3	-	7	-	1	Out						0	6	29	44	18	3			970
		2	-	6	-	3	Out								67		33				3
9		3	-	8	-	0	Out							1	9	33	39	16	2		1,127
		2	-	7	-	2	Out								7	33	49	12			43
8	.5	2	-	8	-	1	Out								4	19	34	37	6		70
		1	-	7	-	3	Out										100				1
8		2	-	9	-	0	Out									3	27	49	21		71
		1	-	8	-	2	Out										40	40	20		5
7	.5	1	-	9	-	1	Out										20	20	60		5
7		1	-	10	-	0	Out											33	67		6
6		0	-	11	-	0	Out											11	81	7	679

Total:							95.0	%	49	38	1	6	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	6,562,592

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

17		11	-	0	-	0	51	41	8	1	0
16	.5	10	-	0	-	1	13	39	34	12	2	0
16		10	-	1	-	0	13	39	34	12	2	0
		9	-	0	-	2	1	9	28	36	22	4	0
15	.5	9	-	1	-	1	1	9	27	37	22	5	0
		8	-	0	-	3		0	4	19	43	32	2
15		9	-	2	-	0	1	9	27	36	22	5	0		0	0
		8	-	1	-	2	0	0	4	19	41	33	2	0	0
		7	-	0	-	4				2	16	76	6
14	.5	8	-	2	-	1	0	0	4	19	41	33	2	0	0	0
		7	-	1	-	3				2	19	61	17	0
		6	-	0	-	5						33	67
14		8	-	3	-	0	0	0	4	19	40	33	3	0	1	0	0
		7	-	2	-	2		0	0	2	17	60	20	0	0	0
		6	-	1	-	4					3	42	53	3
13	.5	7	-	3	-	1		0	0	2	16	58	22	0	1	1	0
		6	-	2	-	3					1	34	60	3	0	1	0
		5	-	1	-	5						20	80
13		7	-	4	-	0		0	0	2	15	53	20	0	5	5	0	0
		6	-	3	-	2				0	1	31	54	5	2	6	1	0
		5	-	2	-	4						8	59	23		3	4	1	1
12	.5	6	-	4	-	1				0	1	27	45	4	4	15	4	0	0
		5	-	3	-	3						5	53	24	1	8	8	3	0
		4	-	2	-	5							50					50
12		6	-	5	-	0				0	1	19	28	3	8	32	8	0	0	0
		5	-	4	-	2					0	4	33	16	1	18	20	6	1	0
		4	-	3	-	4							26	31		3	13	18	8	3
11	.5	5	-	5	-	1					0	2	17	9	1	28	31	10	1	0
		4	-	4	-	3							9	23		5	18	30	13	2
		3	-	3	-	5													50	50
11		5	-	6	-	0					0	1	6	3	2	35	39	12	1	0
		4	-	5	-	2						0	3	6	0	7	27	36	19	2	0
		3	-	4	-	4								9			9		45	36
10	.5	4	-	6	-	1							1	2	0	6	27	39	22	3	0
		3	-	5	-	3								9			1	6	35	35	13
10		4	-	7	-	0							0	0	0	5	26	39	25	4	0	0
		3	-	6	-	2								1			3	15	35	31	13	3
		2	-	5	-	4													100
9	.5	3	-	7	-	1										0	2	11	32	38	15	3
		2	-	6	-	3														67	33
9		3	-	8	-	0											2	10	32	36	16	3	0
		2	-	7	-	2													5	12	44	35	5
8	.5	2	-	8	-	1													3	14	27	37	14	4
		1	-	7	-	3																	100
8		2	-	9	-	0													1	17	45	21	13	3
		1	-	8	-	2															20	60	20
7	.5	1	-	9	-	1																	40	60
7		1	-	10	-	0															17	17	17		50
6		0	-	11	-	0																		10	42	43	5	1

Total:							5	12	16	18	19	19	6	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0