Los Angeles Dodgers Playoff Chances 2018

Beat Astros 108-79, playoff odds up 22.5 to 35.4%

4-5-0 .444

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Dodgers finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

15		11	-	0	-	0	In		40	53	8										3,455
14	.5	10	-	0	-	1	In		24	53	23										1,239
14		10	-	1	-	0	In		11	49	40	0									32,453
		9	-	0	-	2	In		13	46	41										290
13	.5	9	-	1	-	1	100.0	%	3	33	63	0	0								13,545
		8	-	0	-	3	In		9	31	59										32
13		9	-	2	-	0	99.8		1	19	79	1	0	0							166,942
		8	-	1	-	2	100.0		1	20	78	0	0								2,458	*
12	.5	8	-	2	-	1	99.0		0	7	91	1	1	0							61,832
		7	-	1	-	3	99.3		1	9	89	1	1								269
12		8	-	3	-	0	95.5		0	3	91	2	3	1	0	0					503,509
		7	-	2	-	2	96.4		0	3	92	2	3	1	0	0					9,784
		6	-	1	-	4	93.3				93		7								15
11	.5	7	-	3	-	1	89.0			0	87	1	5	5	1	0					161,009
		6	-	2	-	3	89.0			0	87	1	6	4	1						913
11		7	-	4	-	0	73.2			0	72	1	7	12	6	1	0				971,205
		6	-	3	-	2	74.8			0	74	1	7	11	6	1	0				22,568
		5	-	2	-	4	63.2				63		9	21	4	4					57
10	.5	6	-	4	-	1	56.3			0	56	0	4	16	17	6	0	0			268,863
		5	-	3	-	3	55.9				55	0	5	17	17	6	0				1,844	*
10		6	-	5	-	0	32.5			0	32	0	2	13	27	22	4	0	0		1,272,607
		5	-	4	-	2	33.1				33	0	2	12	28	21	4	0			31,329
		4	-	3	-	4	29.1				29		1	9	30	29	1				79
9	.5	5	-	5	-	1	15.5				16	0	0	5	25	39	14	1	0		296,417
		4	-	4	-	3	14.3				14		0	4	25	40	15	1			2,059	*
9		5	-	6	-	0	4.7				5		0	1	10	37	36	10	1	0	1,157,180
		4	-	5	-	2	4.4				4		0	1	10	37	37	10	1		28,802
		3	-	4	-	4	3.3				3				12	37	38	9	1		92
8	.5	4	-	6	-	1	0.7				1		0	0	3	22	47	24	3		222,932
		3	-	5	-	3	0.5				0			0	3	22	46	26	3		1,476
		2	-	4	-	5	Out										33	67			6
8		4	-	7	-	0	0.1				0			0	0	6	33	44	16	0	730,483
		3	-	6	-	2	0.1				0				0	5	33	45	17		16,954
		2	-	5	-	4	Out									2	35	49	14		43
7	.5	3	-	7	-	1	0.0				0				0	1	19	50	30	0	110,662
		2	-	6	-	3	Out									1	21	48	30		588
7		3	-	8	-	0	Out								0	0	6	37	57	0	314,427
		2	-	7	-	2	Out									0	5	36	59	0	6,305
		1	-	6	-	4	Out										8	17	75		12
6	.5	2	-	8	-	1	Out									0	2	29	69	0	35,475
		1	-	7	-	3	Out										1	30	69		173
6		2	-	9	-	0	Out										0	11	88	1	87,452
		1	-	8	-	2	Out										0	12	87	1	1,341	*
5	.5	1	-	9	-	1	Out										0	7	90	2	6,575
		0	-	8	-	3	Out										6	13	75	6	16
5		1	-	10	-	0	Out											1	95	4	14,489
		0	-	9	-	2	Out											2	94	4	94
4	.5	0	-	10	-	1	Out											1	89	11	536
4		0	-	11	-	0	Out											0	86	14	1,706

Total:							35.4	%	0	1	34	0	2	6	10	15	14	11	7	0	6,562,592

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

15		11	-	0	-	0	0	5	16	32	30	14	3	0
14	.5	10	-	0	-	1			0	4	18	40	33	5
14		10	-	1	-	0		0	0	3	16	39	37	5
		9	-	0	-	2					2	14	54	31
13	.5	9	-	1	-	1			0	0	1	12	52	34			0
		8	-	0	-	3							41	59
13		9	-	2	-	0			0	0	1	11	52	36	0	0	0	0
		8	-	1	-	2					0	1	26	73			0
12	.5	8	-	2	-	1					0	1	24	75	0	0	0	0	0
		7	-	1	-	3							5	94			0	0
12		8	-	3	-	0					0	1	22	73	0	2	2	1	0	0
		7	-	2	-	2						0	5	92	0	1	1	1	1	0
		6	-	1	-	4								93						7
11	.5	7	-	3	-	1						0	4	85	0	1	4	4	2	0	0	0
		6	-	2	-	3							1	88		0	1	3	4	2	0
11		7	-	4	-	0						0	3	70	0	3	9	9	4	1	0
		6	-	3	-	2							0	75		0	2	7	9	5	1	0
		5	-	2	-	4								63			2		11	18	5	2
10	.5	6	-	4	-	1							0	56	0	0	4	12	16	10	1	0	0
		5	-	3	-	3								56			0	2	12	17	10	3	0
10		6	-	5	-	0							0	32	0	1	5	17	26	16	3	0	0
		5	-	4	-	2								33		0	0	3	15	28	17	4	0	0	0
		4	-	3	-	4								29					6	10	35	14	4	1
9	.5	5	-	5	-	1							0	16		0	0	3	16	34	23	6	1	0	0
		4	-	4	-	3								14				0	2	14	31	27	9	2	0
9		5	-	6	-	0							0	5		0	0	3	17	37	28	8	1	0	0
		4	-	5	-	2								4				0	2	13	33	31	14	3	0	0
		3	-	4	-	4								3						1	12	24	40	16	3
8	.5	4	-	6	-	1								1			0	0	1	11	32	34	17	4	0	0
		3	-	5	-	3								0						0	6	23	36	27	7	1
		2	-	4	-	5																	17	83
8		4	-	7	-	0								0				0	1	9	29	36	20	5	1	0
		3	-	6	-	2								0					0	0	5	21	36	28	10	1
		2	-	5	-	4																	14	35	33	19
7	.5	3	-	7	-	1								0					0	0	4	19	36	30	11	1	0
		2	-	6	-	3															0	2	13	31	42	11	1
7		3	-	8	-	0													0	0	3	16	35	32	12	1	0
		2	-	7	-	2															0	1	10	33	41	15	1
		1	-	6	-	4																		17	8	42	33
6	.5	2	-	8	-	1															0	1	9	31	42	15	1	0
		1	-	7	-	3																		3	34	51	10	1
6		2	-	9	-	0															0	1	8	30	44	16	1	0
		1	-	8	-	2																	0	4	33	48	13	1
5	.5	1	-	9	-	1																	0	5	31	50	13	1
		0	-	8	-	3																			6	50	31	13
5		1	-	10	-	0																	0	4	31	51	12	1	0
		0	-	9	-	2																			4	36	47	12	1
4	.5	0	-	10	-	1																			4	34	43	17	2	1
4		0	-	11	-	0																		0	2	28	43	22	4	0

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	1	4	31	0	1	3	6	10	13	11	8	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0