How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cubs 172 Blue Jays 205 -6.7
-0.4
Pirates 126 Red Sox 105 -1.4
-0.1
Indians 79 Phillies 80 -0.9
-0.0
Reds 166 Rays 123 -0.9
-0.0
Royals 72 Nationals 210 -0.8
Twins 123 Mets 98 +0.8
+0.0
Dodgers 108 Astros 79 -0.2
-0.1
Rockies 132 Angels 252 *+0.1
Diamondbacks 101 Mariners 125 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cubs vs Reds+7.0-2.8-9.7
+0.5-0.1-0.6
Braves vs Phillies+2.9+1.6-1.4
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Pirates vs Brewers-0.2+0.4+1.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Mets vs Nationals-0.8-0.5+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
1511-0-0100.0%43525014,764
14.510-0-199.628442705,631
1410-1-096.3104404240121,588
9-0-297.41148383996
13.59-1-190.142605910043,357
8-0-392.0433568113
139-2-069.71141542730455,277
8-1-271.111605426307,022
7-0-466.767336
12.58-2-150.6050454270143,844
7-1-348.9041444370624
128-3-026.801025492310975,892
7-2-227.2010255022119,637
6-1-419.4195325336
11.57-3-112.200012463740267,149
6-2-312.900134536601,555
5-1-5Out1001
117-4-04.10004305114101,329,834
6-3-24.00043052131031,866
5-2-46.6736461276
10.56-4-10.700114513040312,759
5-3-30.81144933402,148
106-5-00.100053641152001,207,812
5-4-20.1053741152031,281
4-3-4Out4394114192
9.55-5-10.001144135910239,223
4-4-3Out1144234901,724
3-3-5Out3333333
95-6-00.000626412240742,021
4-5-2Out052742223019,562
3-4-4Out255220244
8.54-6-1Out063244162119,210
3-5-3Out073343161841
84-7-0Out0320452850308,237
3-6-2Out0219452947,708
2-5-4Out27363622
7.53-7-1Out004294720038,906
2-6-3Out4314718245
73-8-0Out02214829084,173
2-7-2Out120483001,848
1-6-4Out1002
6.52-8-1Out05375717,863
1-7-3Out5425343
62-9-0Out032964414,289
1-8-2Out232624273
5.51-9-1Out0117910885
51-10-0Out0666281,325
0-9-2Out67339
4.50-10-1Out495145
40-11-0Out1486731
Total:14.2%020112026171173106,562,592
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/3100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs 172 Blue Jays 205 +0.6
Pirates 126 Red Sox 105 +0.1
Diamondbacks 101 Mariners 125 -0.1
Reds 166 Rays 123 +0.1
Indians 79 Phillies 80 +0.1
Twins 123 Mets 98 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/10100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs vs Reds-0.7+0.7+1.0
Braves vs Phillies-0.1-0.1+0.1
Mets vs Nationals+0.1-0.0-0.0
Twins vs Royals-0.0-0.0+0.1
Giants vs Diamondbacks-0.0-0.1+0.0
Dodgers vs Rockies+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Pirates vs Brewers+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
1511-0-0041633321420
14.510-0-11522452800
1410-1-000041942320310
9-0-20223711110
13.59-1-10002196813610
8-0-347711431
139-2-00113541818400
8-1-2036271131130
7-0-4333333
12.58-2-10243622220500
7-1-331180820184
128-3-000122433329800
7-2-201611010302660
6-1-46141131363
11.57-3-100750133532800
6-2-339113323370
5-1-5100
117-4-00220143835900
6-3-21301133834910
5-2-47111383481
10.56-4-10010113383610100
5-3-3101933361730
106-5-0000112373612100
5-4-200019313918300
4-3-45154223122
9.55-5-10018293919400
4-4-30032037271120
3-3-5333333
95-6-000172740214000
4-5-2021736301120
3-4-47482520
8.54-6-10216363112200
3-5-30824382260
84-7-000214353213300
3-6-21725352471
2-5-4514323695
7.53-7-101723362681
2-6-304162839121
73-8-000622362691
2-7-201133439130
1-6-45050
6.52-8-102123238161
1-7-353349122
62-9-0011131391710
1-8-242853141
5.51-9-1052750162
51-10-0322531920
0-9-28911
4.50-10-12442294
40-11-042742233
Total:000012101110172015106321000000