Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances 2018Lost to Blue Jays 172-205, playoff odds down 12 to 14.2% 4-5-0 .444 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/3 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Cubs 172 Blue Jays 205 | -6.7 | | -0.4 | | Pirates 126 Red Sox 105 | -1.4 | | -0.1 | | Indians 79 Phillies 80 | -0.9 | | -0.0 | | Reds 166 Rays 123 | -0.9 | | -0.0 | | Royals 72 Nationals 210 | -0.8 | | | | Twins 123 Mets 98 | +0.8 | | +0.0 | | Dodgers 108 Astros 79 | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | Rockies 132 Angels 252 | *+0.1 | | | | Diamondbacks 101 Mariners 125 | | | +0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 6/10 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Cubs vs Reds | +7.0-2.8-9.7 | | +0.5-0.1-0.6 | | Braves vs Phillies | +2.9+1.6-1.4 | | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | | Pirates vs Brewers | -0.2+0.4+1.5 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Mets vs Nationals | -0.8-0.5+0.3 | | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 43 | 52 | | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | 14,764 | | 14 | .5 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99.6 | | 28 | 44 | | 27 | 0 | | | | | | | | 5,631 | | 14 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 96.3 | | 10 | 44 | 0 | 42 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | 121,588 | | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 97.4 | | 11 | 48 | | 38 | 3 | | | | | | | | 996 | | 13 | .5 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 90.1 | | 4 | 26 | 0 | 59 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | 43,357 | | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 92.0 | | 4 | 33 | | 56 | 8 | | | | | | | | 113 | | 13 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 69.7 | | 1 | 14 | 1 | 54 | 27 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 455,277 | | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 71.1 | | 1 | 16 | 0 | 54 | 26 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 7,022 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 66.7 | | | | | 67 | 33 | | | | | | | | 6 | | 12 | .5 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 50.6 | | 0 | 5 | 0 | 45 | 42 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | 143,844 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 48.9 | | 0 | 4 | 1 | 44 | 43 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | 624 | | 12 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 26.8 | | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 49 | 23 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 975,892 | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 27.2 | | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 50 | 22 | 1 | | | | | | 19,637 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 19.4 | | | | | 19 | 53 | 25 | 3 | | | | | | 36 | | 11 | .5 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 12.2 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 46 | 37 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 267,149 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 12.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 45 | 36 | 6 | 0 | | | | | 1,555 | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | 1 | | 11 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 4.1 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 51 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | 1,329,834 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 4.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 52 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | 31,866 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 6.6 | | | | | 7 | 36 | 46 | 12 | | | | | | 76 | | 10 | .5 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 51 | 30 | 4 | 0 | | | | 312,759 | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.8 | | | | | 1 | 14 | 49 | 33 | 4 | 0 | | | | 2,148 | | 10 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 41 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 1,207,812 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 5 | 37 | 41 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | 31,281 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | 4 | 39 | 41 | 14 | 1 | | | | 92 | | 9 | .5 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 41 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 239,223 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | 1 | 14 | 42 | 34 | 9 | 0 | | | 1,724 | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | 33 | | 33 | 33 | | | | 3 | | 9 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 0 | | 742,021 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | 0 | 5 | 27 | 42 | 22 | 3 | 0 | | 19,562 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | 25 | 52 | 20 | 2 | | | 44 | | 8 | .5 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 32 | 44 | 16 | 2 | | 119,210 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 33 | 43 | 16 | 1 | | 841 | | 8 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 20 | 45 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 308,237 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 45 | 29 | 4 | | 7,708 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | 27 | 36 | 36 | | | 22 | | 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 47 | 20 | 0 | 38,906 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | 4 | 31 | 47 | 18 | | 245 | | 7 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 48 | 29 | 0 | 84,173 | | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | 1 | 20 | 48 | 30 | 0 | 1,848 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2 | | 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 37 | 57 | 1 | 7,863 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | 5 | 42 | 53 | | 43 | | 6 | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 29 | 64 | 4 | 14,289 | | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 2 | 32 | 62 | 4 | 273 | | 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 79 | 10 | 885 | | 5 | | 1 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 66 | 28 | 1,325 | | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | 33 | 9 | | 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 49 | 51 | 45 | | 4 | | 0 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 86 | 731 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 14.2 | % | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 26 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6,562,592 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 6/3 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Cubs 172 Blue Jays 205 | +0.6 | | Pirates 126 Red Sox 105 | +0.1 | | Diamondbacks 101 Mariners 125 | -0.1 | | Reds 166 Rays 123 | +0.1 | | Indians 79 Phillies 80 | +0.1 | | Twins 123 Mets 98 | -0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 6/10 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Cubs vs Reds | -0.7+0.7+1.0 | | Braves vs Phillies | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | Mets vs Nationals | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | Twins vs Royals | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | Giants vs Diamondbacks | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Dodgers vs Rockies | +0.0-0.1*+0.0 | | Pirates vs Brewers | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | | | 1 | 5 | 22 | 45 | 28 | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 42 | 32 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | 2 | 23 | 71 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 68 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 3 | | | | | | 4 | 77 | 11 | | 4 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 54 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | | | | | 0 | 3 | 62 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 4 | | | | | | | 33 | 33 | | | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 43 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | | | | | | | 31 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | | | | 0 | 16 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 26 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | | | | | | | 6 | 14 | | | 11 | 31 | 36 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 35 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | | | | | | | 3 | 9 | | 1 | 13 | 32 | 33 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 38 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 38 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | 7 | | | 1 | 11 | 38 | 34 | 8 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 38 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 1 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | 10 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 39 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 15 | 42 | 23 | 12 | 2 | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 39 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 37 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 33 | 33 | | | | | | | 9 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 48 | 25 | 20 | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 36 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 24 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 0 | | | | | 8 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 25 | 35 | 24 | 7 | 1 | | | | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 14 | 32 | 36 | 9 | 5 | | | | 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 36 | 26 | 8 | 1 | | | | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 39 | 12 | 1 | | | | 7 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 39 | 13 | 0 | | | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | | 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 38 | 16 | 1 | | | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 33 | 49 | 12 | 2 | | | 6 | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 39 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 28 | 53 | 14 | 1 | | | 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 27 | 50 | 16 | 2 | | | 5 | | 1 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 22 | 53 | 19 | 2 | 0 | | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 89 | 11 | | | 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | 42 | 29 | 4 | | 4 | | 0 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 27 | 42 | 23 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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