Houston Astros Playoff Chances 2018

Lost to Dodgers 79-108, playoff odds down 22.3 to 58.1%

6-3-0 .667

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Astros finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

17		11	-	0	-	0	In		73	26	1										174,500
16	.5	10	-	0	-	1	In		49	46	6										54,828
16		10	-	1	-	0	99.6	%	27	58	12	3	0								765,359
		9	-	0	-	2	100.0		29	59	11	0	0								7,760
15	.5	9	-	1	-	1	98.7		8	53	32	5	1								213,448
		8	-	0	-	3	99.5		10	60	28	2	0								661
15		9	-	2	-	0	88.2		3	38	33	14	12	0							1,424,067
		8	-	1	-	2	92.1		3	43	36	10	8								26,767
		7	-	0	-	4	92.9			39	46	7	7								28
14	.5	8	-	2	-	1	77.5		0	18	46	13	22	0							351,427
		7	-	1	-	3	81.2		0	20	49	12	19								2,030
14		8	-	3	-	0	50.0		0	8	29	12	50	0							1,471,824
		7	-	2	-	2	56.4		0	10	35	11	43	0							38,169
		6	-	1	-	4	59.2			10	33	16	41								98
13	.5	7	-	3	-	1	34.7		0	2	25	7	63	2	0						316,641
		6	-	2	-	3	35.0			2	26	7	63	2							2,483
		5	-	1	-	5	66.7			33	33		33								3
13		7	-	4	-	0	15.9		0	1	11	4	80	4	0						928,407
		6	-	3	-	2	18.4			1	14	4	77	4							29,662
		5	-	2	-	4	17.8				13	5	77	6							107
		4	-	1	-	6	Out						100								1
12	.5	6	-	4	-	1	8.4			0	7	1	76	15	0						170,660
		5	-	3	-	3	9.2				8	2	75	16							1,559
		4	-	2	-	5	Out						100								1
12		6	-	5	-	0	2.9			0	2	1	76	20	0						372,604
		5	-	4	-	2	3.5			0	3	1	76	20	0						13,455
		4	-	3	-	4	1.9				2		80	19							54
11	.5	5	-	5	-	1	1.3				1	0	57	41	1						57,572
		4	-	4	-	3	1.1				1	0	58	40	1						569
11		5	-	6	-	0	0.3				0	0	51	47	2	0					99,138
		4	-	5	-	2	0.6				1	0	51	46	2						3,643
		3	-	4	-	4	Out						59	41							22
10	.5	4	-	6	-	1	0.1				0	0	29	66	5	0					12,364
		3	-	5	-	3	Out						32	62	6						131
		2	-	4	-	5	Out						100								1
10		4	-	7	-	0	0.0				0		22	64	13	0					17,192
		3	-	6	-	2	Out						22	66	12	0					638
		2	-	5	-	4	Out							67	33						3
9	.5	3	-	7	-	1	0.1				0		9	66	24	1					1,736
		2	-	6	-	3	Out							68	32						19
9		3	-	8	-	0	Out						5	49	40	6	0				1,922
		2	-	7	-	2	Out						7	52	38	4					56
8	.5	2	-	8	-	1	Out						1	34	51	13	1				145
		1	-	7	-	3	Out							50	50						2
8		2	-	9	-	0	Out							12	57	27	4	1			138
		1	-	8	-	2	Out							50		25	25				4
7	.5	1	-	9	-	1	Out								17	50	33				6
7		1	-	10	-	0	Out								25	38	25	13			8
6		0	-	11	-	0	Out									4	35	52	9	0	680

Total:							58.1	%	6	21	22	8	38	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	6,562,592

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

17		11	-	0	-	0	57	37	6	0	0
16	.5	10	-	0	-	1	15	39	33	12	2	0
16		10	-	1	-	0	12	37	34	14	3	0	0		0
		9	-	0	-	2	1	10	28	35	22	5	0		0
15	.5	9	-	1	-	1	1	8	25	34	24	6	0		1
		8	-	0	-	3		0	6	20	40	30	4		0
15		9	-	2	-	0	1	6	21	31	23	7	0		12	0
		8	-	1	-	2	0	0	4	17	36	32	3	0	8	0
		7	-	0	-	4					21	50	21		7
14	.5	8	-	2	-	1	0	0	3	13	30	29	3	0	22	0	0
		7	-	1	-	3			0	2	14	44	20	0	17	1	0
14		8	-	3	-	0	0	0	2	8	19	19	2	0	49	1	0
		7	-	2	-	2			0	1	9	31	14	0	40	3	0
		6	-	1	-	4						12	45	2	28	11	2
13	.5	7	-	3	-	1		0	0	1	5	19	9	0	60	5	0	0
		6	-	2	-	3					1	11	20	3	43	19	3	0
		5	-	1	-	5							67				33
13		7	-	4	-	0		0	0	0	2	9	4	0	77	7	0	0
		6	-	3	-	2				0	0	6	11	1	53	25	4	0	0
		5	-	2	-	4						1	11	6	19	42	19	3
		4	-	1	-	6											100
12	.5	6	-	4	-	1				0	0	2	5	1	59	29	4	0	0
		5	-	3	-	3						0	6	3	20	37	27	6	0
		4	-	2	-	5												100
12		6	-	5	-	0				0	0	1	2	0	61	31	5	0	0
		5	-	4	-	2						0	2	1	21	42	27	7	1	0
		4	-	3	-	4								2	4	17	37	33	6	2
11	.5	5	-	5	-	1						0	1	0	21	43	27	7	1	0
		4	-	4	-	3							1	1	2	11	31	38	16	1	0
11		5	-	6	-	0						0	0	0	21	43	28	7	1	0
		4	-	5	-	2							0	0	2	12	34	34	15	2	0
		3	-	4	-	4												9	68	23
10	.5	4	-	6	-	1							0	0	2	13	34	35	14	2	0
		3	-	5	-	3											6	27	33	21	12	1
		2	-	4	-	5														100
10		4	-	7	-	0							0	0	1	13	33	35	15	2	0
		3	-	6	-	2										1	4	20	36	29	9	1	0
		2	-	5	-	4														33		67
9	.5	3	-	7	-	1								0	0	0	5	19	36	29	10	2	0
		2	-	6	-	3													11	5	53	21	11
9		3	-	8	-	0										0	2	18	35	31	11	2	0	0
		2	-	7	-	2													4	20	38	29	11
8	.5	2	-	8	-	1												1	4	19	34	25	14	3
		1	-	7	-	3																50	50
8		2	-	9	-	0													7	12	41	27	10	4
		1	-	8	-	2																25		25	50
7	.5	1	-	9	-	1																	17	50	33
7		1	-	10	-	0																	50	38	13
6		0	-	11	-	0																		0	8	46	45	1	0

Total:							3	7	10	12	13	10	2	0	35	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0