How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Twins 230 Royals 281 -11.4
-0.6
Tigers 225.5 Indians 254 +1.7
+0.1
Red Sox 266 Yankees 236.5 -0.8
Blue Jays 273 Rays 147 -0.5
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Indians vs Twins-8.7+1.8+8.6
-0.4+0.1+0.4
Royals vs Tigers-3.5+1.5+3.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Rays vs Red Sox+1.1*+0.3-1.1
Yankees vs Blue Jays+0.5*-0.2-0.5
Mariners vs Astros+0.3*+0.1-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Angels+0.2*-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
1710-0-0In9821,577
16.59-0-1In973533
169-1-0In90100013,991
8-0-2In8911114
15.58-1-1In8217005,228
7-0-3In821811
158-2-0100.0%673210063,352
7-1-2In702910867
14.57-2-1100.0524621020,635
6-1-3In5146367
147-3-099.731588200168,015
6-2-299.832587202,944
5-1-4In25754
13.56-3-199.316641541048,262
5-2-399.620641050236
4-1-5In1001
136-4-095.965329740294,944
5-3-295.8755286405,745
4-2-4In86223813
12.55-4-191.62414098072,300
4-3-391.9241381180407
3-2-5In1001
125-5-076.60224682040353,893
4-4-277.602247819307,328
3-3-488.2592461217
11.54-5-163.10104672890071,879
3-4-359.710454329385
2-3-5In1001
114-6-040.1033433126300294,934
3-5-241.233633026305,758
2-4-450.05038138
10.53-6-124.41221273990048,017
2-5-323.923130397222
103-7-010.40100134726300168,018
2-6-210.2100134825303,022
1-5-420.0204020205
9.52-7-13.64053541141020,500
1-6-34.343314314493
92-8-00.810118442871063,104
1-7-20.61119452680816
0-6-4Out5025254
8.51-8-10.1005274123405,118
0-7-3Out73650714
81-9-00.0001133434153014,063
0-8-2Out123632163117
7.50-9-1Out2173635101562
70-10-0Out0625392551,611
Total:65.6%92627514126210001,758,736
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/10100.0*Lottery seed
Twins 230 Royals 281 +1.1
Red Sox 266 Yankees 236.5 +0.1
Blue Jays 273 Rays 147 +0.1
Tigers 225.5 Indians 254 -0.1
Pirates 282 Brewers 229 +0.1
Braves 223 Phillies 195 -0.0
Cubs 235.5 Reds 299.5 +0.0
Giants 198 Diamondbacks 275 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/17100.0*Lottery seed
Indians vs Twins+1.0+0.7-1.1
Royals vs Tigers+0.1-0.1-0.1
Nationals vs Braves+0.0-0.2-0.0
Rays vs Red Sox-0.1-0.1+0.1
Rangers vs Angels-0.1-0.1+0.1
Phillies vs Mets+0.0-0.1-0.0
Mariners vs Astros-0.1-0.1+0.1
Reds vs Pirates+0.0-0.1-0.0
Yankees vs Blue Jays-0.1-0.0+0.1
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
1710-0-0973
16.59-0-187121
169-1-0841510
8-0-2573211
15.58-1-15338810
7-0-3184536
158-2-0513991000
7-1-219412910100
14.57-2-1183931112000
6-1-311637241343
147-3-0163931122000
6-2-22112831197100
5-1-425252525
13.56-3-121127312071010
5-2-3151431331430
4-1-5100
136-4-011026302071040
5-3-2014142730163410
4-2-41531468
12.55-4-10041326291747100
4-3-3517403043100
3-2-5100
125-5-000311212414319400
4-4-200314342699410
3-3-4187166
11.54-5-100211272314157200
3-4-311148181015520
2-3-5100
114-6-00001717152224113000
3-5-2063529171710310
2-4-45013131313
10.53-6-103212102123145100
2-5-3023141425181040
103-7-0001921124271772000
2-6-2010016152624134100
1-5-4204040
9.52-7-104016162726145100
1-6-3432173527101
92-8-01015152727176100
1-7-210272230231141
0-6-42575
8.51-8-10001719292713400
0-7-37362929
81-9-0001516282916510
0-8-231427331751
7.50-9-1121026332261
70-10-00282032261020
Total:581010109869754322110000000