Minnesota Twins Playoff Chances 2018 50/50Lost to Royals 230-281, playoff odds down 11.6 to 65.6% 7-3-0 .700 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/10 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Twins 230 Royals 281 | -11.4 | | -0.6 | | Tigers 225.5 Indians 254 | +1.7 | | +0.1 | | Red Sox 266 Yankees 236.5 | -0.8 | | | | Blue Jays 273 Rays 147 | -0.5 | | | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 6/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Indians vs Twins | -8.7+1.8+8.6 | | -0.4+0.1+0.4 | | Royals vs Tigers | -3.5+1.5+3.5 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Rays vs Red Sox | +1.1*+0.3-1.1 | | | | Yankees vs Blue Jays | +0.5*-0.2-0.5 | | | | Mariners vs Astros | +0.3*+0.1-0.3 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Rangers vs Angels | +0.2*-0.1-0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 1,577 | | 16 | .5 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | 533 | | 16 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 13,991 | | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 89 | 11 | | | | | | | | | | | 114 | | 15 | .5 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 82 | 17 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 5,228 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 82 | 18 | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 15 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 67 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 63,352 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 70 | 29 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 867 | | 14 | .5 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | | 52 | 46 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 20,635 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 51 | 46 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | 67 | | 14 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.7 | | 31 | 58 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 168,015 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.8 | | 32 | 58 | 7 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 2,944 | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | 25 | 75 | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | | 13 | .5 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.3 | | 16 | 64 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 48,262 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.6 | | 20 | 64 | 10 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | 236 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 13 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 95.9 | | 6 | 53 | 29 | 7 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | 294,944 | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 95.8 | | 7 | 55 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | 5,745 | | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | In | 8 | 62 | 23 | 8 | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 91.6 | | 2 | 41 | 40 | 9 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | 72,300 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 91.9 | | 2 | 41 | 38 | 11 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | 407 | | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | In | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 12 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 76.6 | | 0 | 22 | 46 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | 353,893 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 77.6 | | 0 | 22 | 47 | 8 | 19 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 7,328 | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 88.2 | | | 59 | 24 | 6 | 12 | | | | | | | | 17 | | 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 63.1 | | 0 | 10 | 46 | 7 | 28 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 71,879 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 59.7 | | | 10 | 45 | 4 | 32 | 9 | | | | | | | 385 | | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | In | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 11 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 40.1 | | 0 | 3 | 34 | 3 | 31 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | 294,934 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 41.2 | | | 3 | 36 | 3 | 30 | 26 | 3 | 0 | | | | | 5,758 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 50.0 | | | | 50 | | 38 | 13 | | | | | | | 8 | | 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 24.4 | | | 1 | 22 | 1 | 27 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | 48,017 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 23.9 | | | | 23 | 1 | 30 | 39 | 7 | | | | | | 222 | | 10 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 10.4 | | | 0 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 47 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 168,018 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 10.2 | | | | 10 | 0 | 13 | 48 | 25 | 3 | 0 | | | | 3,022 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 20.0 | | | | 20 | | | 40 | 20 | 20 | | | | | 5 | | 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 3.6 | | | | 4 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | 20,500 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 4.3 | | | | 4 | | 3 | 31 | 43 | 14 | 4 | | | | 93 | | 9 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0.8 | | | | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 44 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 63,104 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 0.6 | | | | 1 | | 1 | 19 | 45 | 26 | 8 | 0 | | | 816 | | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | 50 | 25 | 25 | | | | 4 | | 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 0.1 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 5 | 27 | 41 | 23 | 4 | 0 | | 5,118 | | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | 7 | 36 | 50 | 7 | | | | 14 | | 8 | | 1 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 14,063 | | | 0 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | 12 | 36 | 32 | 16 | 3 | | 117 | | 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | 2 | 17 | 36 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 562 | | 7 | | 0 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 25 | 39 | 25 | 5 | 1,611 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 65.6 | % | 9 | 26 | 27 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,758,736 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 6/10 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Twins 230 Royals 281 | +1.1 | | Red Sox 266 Yankees 236.5 | +0.1 | | Blue Jays 273 Rays 147 | +0.1 | | Tigers 225.5 Indians 254 | -0.1 | | Pirates 282 Brewers 229 | +0.1 | | Braves 223 Phillies 195 | -0.0 | | Cubs 235.5 Reds 299.5 | +0.0 | | Giants 198 Diamondbacks 275 | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 6/17 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Indians vs Twins | +1.0+0.7-1.1 | | Royals vs Tigers | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | Nationals vs Braves | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | | Rays vs Red Sox | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | Rangers vs Angels | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | Phillies vs Mets | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | | Mariners vs Astros | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | Reds vs Pirates | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | | Yankees vs Blue Jays | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | Diamondbacks vs Dodgers | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | .5 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 87 | 12 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 57 | 32 | 11 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | .5 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 53 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 18 | 45 | 36 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 51 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 19 | 41 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 18 | 39 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 1 | 16 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 16 | 39 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | | | | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | | 1 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 33 | 14 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 30 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | | | | | 15 | 31 | 46 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | | | | | 5 | 17 | 40 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 26 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | | | | | | | 18 | 71 | | 6 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 23 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | | | | | | 1 | 11 | 48 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 15 | 22 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 35 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | 50 | | | 13 | | 13 | 13 | | | 13 | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | | | | | | | 0 | 23 | | | 1 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | 10 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | 20 | | | | | | | | | 40 | 40 | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 4 | | | | | | 3 | 2 | 17 | 35 | 27 | 10 | | 1 | | | | 9 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 1 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 1 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 1 | | | | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 75 | | | | | 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 36 | 29 | 29 | | | | 8 | | 1 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 14 | 27 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 1 | | 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 22 | 6 | 1 | | 7 | | 0 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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