Detroit Tigers Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Lost to Indians 225.5-254, playoff odds down 4.8 to 7%

4-6-0 .400

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Tigers finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

14		10	-	0	-	0	In		32	62	5	1									1,539
13	.5	9	-	0	-	1	98.8	%	17	67	10	5	1								599
13		9	-	1	-	0	95.3		8	59	20	8	5	0	0						14,061
		8	-	0	-	2	91.6		10	50	25	6	7	1							107
12	.5	8	-	1	-	1	86.4		2	41	30	14	13	1	0						5,148
		7	-	0	-	3	88.9			22	56	11	11								9
12		8	-	2	-	0	66.2		0	22	32	12	27	6	0						63,148
		7	-	1	-	2	67.0		1	20	35	11	28	5							840
		6	-	0	-	4	50.0			50			50								2
11	.5	7	-	2	-	1	44.2		0	8	28	9	39	16	1	0					20,583
		6	-	1	-	3	54.9			9	35	11	29	15	1						82
		5	-	0	-	5	In					100									1
11		7	-	3	-	0	22.1		0	2	16	3	34	35	9	0	0				168,442
		6	-	2	-	2	22.5			2	18	3	33	36	8	0					3,010
		5	-	1	-	4	Out						40	40	20						5
10	.5	6	-	3	-	1	8.9			0	8	1	23	45	22	1	0				47,828
		5	-	2	-	3	8.7				7	2	19	51	19	2					252
		4	-	1	-	5	Out								100						1
10		6	-	4	-	0	2.8			0	3	0	9	39	42	7	0	0			294,324
		5	-	3	-	2	2.7			0	3	0	8	39	42	7	0	0			5,970
		4	-	2	-	4	9.1				9		18	27	36	9					11
9	.5	5	-	4	-	1	0.5				1	0	2	22	53	20	2	0			72,564
		4	-	3	-	3	0.5				1		1	23	53	20	2	0			388
9		5	-	5	-	0	0.1				0	0	0	9	45	35	9	1	0	0	353,598
		4	-	4	-	2	0.1				0		0	8	47	35	9	1	0		7,317
		3	-	3	-	4	Out							11	53	37					19
8	.5	4	-	5	-	1	0.0				0		0	2	26	45	23	4	0	0	72,224
		3	-	4	-	3	Out							2	23	48	22	5	0		368
		2	-	3	-	5	Out									50	50				2
8		4	-	6	-	0	Out						0	0	13	36	35	14	2	0	294,234
		3	-	5	-	2	Out							0	13	37	34	13	2	0	6,039
		2	-	4	-	4	Out							8	8	38	38	8			13
7	.5	3	-	6	-	1	Out							0	3	19	40	29	8	1	48,182
		2	-	5	-	3	Out								2	16	41	35	6	0	216
7		3	-	7	-	0	Out							0	1	9	29	38	20	4	168,672
		2	-	6	-	2	Out								1	10	30	36	20	3	2,968
		1	-	5	-	4	Out									40	40		20		5
6	.5	2	-	7	-	1	Out								0	2	13	37	37	12	20,531
		1	-	6	-	3	Out										9	40	40	12	81
6		2	-	8	-	0	Out								0	0	6	25	43	26	63,163
		1	-	7	-	2	Out									0	5	23	43	28	871
		0	-	6	-	4	Out											100			1
5	.5	1	-	8	-	1	Out									0	1	11	42	46	5,094
		0	-	7	-	3	Out											12	53	35	17
5		1	-	9	-	0	Out									0	0	4	30	65	13,996
		0	-	8	-	2	Out											8	28	64	103
4	.5	0	-	9	-	1	Out											1	17	83	559
4		0	-	10	-	0	Out											0	7	93	1,549

Total:							7.0	%	0	2	4	1	7	14	23	19	13	9	5	2	1,758,736

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

14		10	-	0	-	0	12	34	35	15	4	0	0
13	.5	9	-	0	-	1	1	7	18	29	30	12	3	0	1
13		9	-	1	-	0	0	4	16	30	28	13	3	0	5	0	0
		8	-	0	-	2			1	1	10	30	36	13	7	1	1
12	.5	8	-	1	-	1			1	4	13	29	29	11	9	4	1	0
		7	-	0	-	3					11		11	67		11
12		8	-	2	-	0	0	0	0	3	10	22	23	9	21	11	2	0	0
		7	-	1	-	2					0	5	22	40	4	10	10	6	3	0
		6	-	0	-	4								50			50
11	.5	7	-	2	-	1				0	0	3	14	27	6	16	18	11	4	1	0
		6	-	1	-	3							5	50			1	10	17	15	2
		5	-	0	-	5								100
11		7	-	3	-	0			0	0	0	1	7	14	7	21	26	16	6	1	0	0
		6	-	2	-	2						0	1	21	0	1	7	15	22	20	10	3	0
		5	-	1	-	4												20			40	20	20
10	.5	6	-	3	-	1						0	1	8	0	2	7	17	26	23	12	4	1	0	0
		5	-	2	-	3							0	8				1	8	10	21	27	14	8	1	0
		4	-	1	-	5																	100
10		6	-	4	-	0						0	0	3	0	1	7	17	27	25	14	4	1	0	0
		5	-	3	-	2								3		0	0	1	4	12	24	28	19	7	1	0	0
		4	-	2	-	4								9									36	18	27	9
9	.5	5	-	4	-	1							0	1			0	1	4	12	24	28	20	8	2	0	0	0
		4	-	3	-	3								1						0	3	9	20	32	26	8	2
9		5	-	5	-	0								0		0	0	1	3	11	23	29	21	9	2	0	0	0
		4	-	4	-	2								0					0	0	2	10	21	31	23	9	3	0	0
		3	-	3	-	4																		5	32	32	26	5
8	.5	4	-	5	-	1								0					0	0	2	9	21	30	24	11	2	0	0
		3	-	4	-	3																1	2	8	27	30	25	7	1
		2	-	3	-	5																						50	50
8		4	-	6	-	0													0	0	2	8	20	30	25	11	3	0	0	0
		3	-	5	-	2															0	0	2	9	23	33	23	8	2	0
		2	-	4	-	4																			15	15	23	38	8
7	.5	3	-	6	-	1														0	0	0	2	8	22	32	25	9	2	0
		2	-	5	-	3																			1	17	30	33	18	1
7		3	-	7	-	0															0	0	1	7	21	32	26	10	2	0
		2	-	6	-	2																	0	0	2	12	30	35	17	3
		1	-	5	-	4																						20	40	40
6	.5	2	-	7	-	1																		0	2	11	28	36	19	4
		1	-	6	-	3																				1	5	25	49	20
6		2	-	8	-	0																	0	0	2	9	27	36	21	4
		1	-	7	-	2																				0	7	23	45	26
		0	-	6	-	4																							100
5	.5	1	-	8	-	1																			0	1	5	24	44	26
		0	-	7	-	3																						6	41	53
5		1	-	9	-	0																			0	0	4	23	44	29
		0	-	8	-	2																						8	31	61
4	.5	0	-	9	-	1																					0	4	30	66
4		0	-	10	-	0																					0	3	26	71

Total:							0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	2	3	4	5	7	8	9	10	10	9	8	7	5	3	2	1