Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Beat Yankees 266-236.5, playoff odds up 8.6 to 83.7%

8-2-0 .800

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

17.5	-18						In		100												2,184	*
17		9	-	1	-	0	In		99			1									13,834
		8	-	0	-	2	In		100												110
16	.5	8	-	1	-	1	In		98	0		2									5,294
		7	-	0	-	3	In		79			21									14
16		8	-	2	-	0	In		94	0		6									63,264
		7	-	1	-	2	In		96	0		4									905
15	.5	7	-	2	-	1	In		88	2		10									20,556
		6	-	1	-	3	In		95			5									103
15		7	-	3	-	0	100.0	%	76	2	0	22	0								168,121
		6	-	2	-	2	In		77	2		21									3,065
		5	-	1	-	4	In		83			17									6
14	.5	6	-	3	-	1	100.0		60	8	0	31	0								48,130
		5	-	2	-	3	In		63	7	0	30									254
14		6	-	4	-	0	99.9		42	8	0	49	0								294,995
		5	-	3	-	2	100.0		42	8	0	49	0								6,020
		4	-	2	-	4	In		54	8		38									13
13	.5	5	-	4	-	1	99.4		23	14	2	61	1	0							72,063
		4	-	3	-	3	99.8		21	15	1	62	0								404
13		5	-	5	-	0	97.8		11	10	2	75	2	0							353,645
		4	-	4	-	2	97.8		11	10	1	75	2	0							7,370
		3	-	3	-	4	In		12			88									17
12	.5	4	-	5	-	1	91.5		3	8	4	77	8	0							72,288
		3	-	4	-	3	90.7		2	6	3	80	9	0							388
12		4	-	6	-	0	82.2		1	3	2	75	17	1	0						294,777
		3	-	5	-	2	82.5		1	3	3	76	17	1							5,907
		2	-	4	-	4	78.6					79	21								14
11	.5	3	-	6	-	1	58.7		0	1	2	56	36	5	0						48,075
		2	-	5	-	3	54.9		0	0	1	53	39	6	0						237
11		3	-	7	-	0	41.9		0	0	1	41	44	13	1	0	0				167,764
		2	-	6	-	2	42.4		0	0	1	42	46	11	1	0					2,877
		1	-	5	-	4	33.3					33	67								3
10	.5	2	-	7	-	1	14.8			0	0	15	44	35	7	0	0				20,756
		1	-	6	-	3	15.1					15	53	26	4	1					73
10		2	-	8	-	0	6.6			0	0	6	31	42	17	3	0	0			62,852
		1	-	7	-	2	5.3					5	34	42	16	2	0				830
		0	-	6	-	4	Out						100								2
9	.5	1	-	8	-	1	0.4					0	9	38	37	14	2	0			5,170
		0	-	7	-	3	Out						18	29	29	24					17
9		1	-	9	-	0	0.1					0	3	19	37	29	11	1	0		14,133
		0	-	8	-	2	Out						4	22	38	29	7	1			104
8	.5	0	-	9	-	1	Out						0	3	23	39	28	6	1		537
8		0	-	10	-	0	Out							1	7	24	36	26	6	0	1,565

Total:							83.7	%	25	5	1	52	11	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1,758,736

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

18		10	-	0	-	0	100	0
17	.5	9	-	0	-	1	99	1
17		9	-	1	-	0	99	1	0
		8	-	0	-	2	93	7
16	.5	8	-	1	-	1	92	8	0
		7	-	0	-	3	57	36	7
16		8	-	2	-	0	90	9	0
		7	-	1	-	2	70	26	4	0
15	.5	7	-	2	-	1	68	28	4	0
		6	-	1	-	3	34	42	20	4
15		7	-	3	-	0	65	30	5	0	0				0
		6	-	2	-	2	32	41	21	6	0	0
		5	-	1	-	4			33	33	33
14	.5	6	-	3	-	1	29	42	23	5	1	0	0		0
		5	-	2	-	3	5	19	38	28	8	3
14		6	-	4	-	0	26	43	24	6	1	0	0		0
		5	-	3	-	2	5	20	35	27	10	3	0	0	0
		4	-	2	-	4				31	31	31	8
13	.5	5	-	4	-	1	4	20	34	27	11	3	0	0	1	0
		4	-	3	-	3		1	11	23	31	23	9	1	0
13		5	-	5	-	0	4	19	33	27	12	3	0	0	2	0
		4	-	4	-	2	0	1	9	21	31	24	9	2	2	0	0
		3	-	3	-	4					18	12	53	18
12	.5	4	-	5	-	1	0	1	8	21	29	22	9	1	8	1	0
		3	-	4	-	3			0	1	8	21	41	20	6	2	1
12		4	-	6	-	0	0	1	7	19	26	20	8	1	16	2	0	0
		3	-	5	-	2			0	1	6	21	35	20	9	6	2	0
		2	-	4	-	4							29	50	7			7	7
11	.5	3	-	6	-	1		0	0	1	5	15	24	14	21	15	4	1	0	0
		2	-	5	-	3						0	9	45	2	7	15	14	5	2
11		3	-	7	-	0			0	1	3	11	17	10	30	20	6	1	0	0
		2	-	6	-	2					0	1	8	33	3	11	19	14	7	2	0	0
		1	-	5	-	4								33							33	33
10	.5	2	-	7	-	1					0	0	3	11	4	16	27	23	11	3	1	0	0
		1	-	6	-	3								15				7	21	26	19	10	1	1
10		2	-	8	-	0					0	0	1	5	4	18	30	25	12	4	1	0	0
		1	-	7	-	2							0	5			2	9	18	29	21	12	4	1
		0	-	6	-	4															50	50
9	.5	1	-	8	-	1								0		0	1	8	20	28	25	13	4	0
		0	-	7	-	3															12	29	18	24	6	12
9		1	-	9	-	0								0		0	1	7	18	29	26	14	4	1	0
		0	-	8	-	2														1	11	17	25	35	9	3
8	.5	0	-	9	-	1														1	7	16	31	26	14	5	0
8		0	-	10	-	0														1	6	14	24	28	17	8	2	0

Total:							18	17	15	12	9	7	4	2	7	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0