Tampa Bay Rays Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Lost to Blue Jays 147-273, playoff odds down 0.8 to 0.2%

2-8-0 .200

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

12		10	-	0	-	0	60.7	%	1	2	2	56	35	4	0						1,559
11	.5	9	-	0	-	1	29.7			1	1	28	55	14	1						558
11		9	-	1	-	0	14.5			0	0	14	45	32	8	1					14,143
		8	-	0	-	2	11.3					11	47	37	4	1					115
10	.5	8	-	1	-	1	3.0				0	3	28	46	21	2	0				5,056
		7	-	0	-	3	Out						36	36	27						11
10		8	-	2	-	0	0.8				0	1	13	37	37	12	1	0			63,333
		7	-	1	-	2	0.5					0	12	37	39	11	0				840
		6	-	0	-	4	Out						100								1
9	.5	7	-	2	-	1	0.0					0	2	20	47	27	4	0	0		20,684
		6	-	1	-	3	Out							17	48	28	7				69
9		7	-	3	-	0	0.0					0	1	8	34	41	15	2	0	0	168,292
		6	-	2	-	2	Out						0	8	34	42	14	2	0		2,974
		5	-	1	-	4	Out							25	25		50				4
8	.5	6	-	3	-	1	Out						0	1	16	42	32	8	1	0	48,091
		5	-	2	-	3	Out							1	13	47	30	9			243
		4	-	1	-	5	Out										100				1
8		6	-	4	-	0	Out						0	0	6	29	40	20	4	0	293,810
		5	-	3	-	2	Out							0	6	29	42	20	4	0	5,965
		4	-	2	-	4	Out								8	8	62	8	15		13
7	.5	5	-	4	-	1	Out							0	1	12	36	37	14	1	72,137
		4	-	3	-	3	Out								2	10	36	37	14	1	389
7		5	-	5	-	0	Out								0	5	24	40	26	5	354,371
		4	-	4	-	2	Out								0	5	22	40	28	6	7,305
		3	-	3	-	4	Out									5	14	29	43	10	21
6	.5	4	-	5	-	1	Out								0	1	8	33	44	14	72,261
		3	-	4	-	3	Out										6	33	46	15	391
		2	-	3	-	5	Out											100			1
6		4	-	6	-	0	Out								0	0	4	21	46	29	293,617
		3	-	5	-	2	Out									0	3	20	47	30	5,909
		2	-	4	-	4	Out											31	46	23	13
5	.5	3	-	6	-	1	Out									0	0	9	44	46	48,277
		2	-	5	-	3	Out										1	9	39	51	241
5		3	-	7	-	0	Out										0	4	31	65	168,731
		2	-	6	-	2	Out											4	31	65	3,011
		1	-	5	-	4	Out												50	50	4
4	.5	2	-	7	-	1	Out										0	1	22	77	20,600
		1	-	6	-	3	Out												19	81	73
4		2	-	8	-	0	Out										0	0	11	89	63,203
		1	-	7	-	2	Out											0	12	87	807
		0	-	6	-	4	Out													100	2
3	.5	1	-	8	-	1	Out												7	93	5,175
		0	-	7	-	3	Out												11	89	9
3		1	-	9	-	0	Out												2	98	14,087
		0	-	8	-	2	Out												6	94	96
2	.5	0	-	9	-	1	Out												1	99	586
2		0	-	10	-	0	Out												0	100	1,657

Total:							0.2	%	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	12	17	19	21	20	1,758,736

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

12		10	-	0	-	0		0	0	3	14	22	17	4	26	11	2	0	0
11	.5	9	-	0	-	1					0	1	9	20	6	17	23	18	4	1	0
11		9	-	1	-	0				0		1	4	9	5	19	29	22	8	2	0	0
		8	-	0	-	2							2	10			1	11	23	27	20	7
10	.5	8	-	1	-	1							0	3	0	0	3	10	22	29	22	9	2	0
		7	-	0	-	3															9	55		27	9
10		8	-	2	-	0							0	1	0	0	2	9	22	29	23	10	2	0	0
		7	-	1	-	2								0				0	1	3	13	26	30	19	6	2
		6	-	0	-	4																		100
9	.5	7	-	2	-	1								0			0	0	1	3	12	25	30	20	8	2	0	0
		6	-	1	-	3																4	4	28	19	28	13	4
9		7	-	3	-	0								0			0	0	1	3	11	24	30	21	9	2	0	0	0
		6	-	2	-	2														0	0	2	8	21	32	25	10	2	0	0
		5	-	1	-	4																			25	50	25
8	.5	6	-	3	-	1													0	0	0	2	7	20	31	26	11	2	0	0
		5	-	2	-	3																		2	9	27	34	21	6	1
		4	-	1	-	5																							100
8		6	-	4	-	0													0	0	0	1	7	19	30	27	12	3	0	0
		5	-	3	-	2																0	0	2	10	24	34	23	6	1
		4	-	2	-	4																					8	46	31	15
7	.5	5	-	4	-	1																0	0	2	8	23	35	25	7	1
		4	-	3	-	3																			1	5	18	41	28	7
7		5	-	5	-	0																0	0	1	7	22	35	26	7	1
		4	-	4	-	2																		0	0	4	17	38	32	9
		3	-	3	-	4																					5	24	19	52
6	.5	4	-	5	-	1																		0	0	3	16	39	32	9
		3	-	4	-	3																					1	16	50	33
		2	-	3	-	5																								100
6		4	-	6	-	0																		0	0	3	16	39	33	9
		3	-	5	-	2																				0	2	18	44	35
		2	-	4	-	4																						15	23	62
5	.5	3	-	6	-	1																				0	2	17	45	36
		2	-	5	-	3																						4	23	73
5		3	-	7	-	0																			0	0	2	17	45	36
		2	-	6	-	2																					0	3	28	69
		1	-	5	-	4																							25	75
4	.5	2	-	7	-	1																					0	3	28	68
		1	-	6	-	3																							5	95
4		2	-	8	-	0																					0	3	28	69
		1	-	7	-	2																							10	90
		0	-	6	-	4																								100
3	.5	1	-	8	-	1																						0	9	90
		0	-	7	-	3																								100
3		1	-	9	-	0																						0	10	90
		0	-	8	-	2																							4	96
2	.5	0	-	9	-	1																							2	98
2		0	-	10	-	0																						0	2	98

Total:								0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	5	6	9	12	15	17	16	11