How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rangers 217 Mariners 213 +1.1
+0.6
Red Sox 266 Yankees 236.5 -0.1
+0.1
Blue Jays 273 Rays 147 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rangers vs Angels+2.3-1.0-2.3
+0.5-0.1-0.5
Mariners vs Astros+0.5*-0.1-0.5
Rays vs Red Sox+0.1*-0.2-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Yankees vs Blue Jays-0.1-0.0+0.1
Indians vs Twins-0.1-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
1310-0-099.2%75138311,627
12.59-0-190.633542119575
129-1-078.901452121740013,961
8-0-283.9195510115112
11.58-1-153.373610321315,125
7-0-376.946312313
118-2-031.612652830101063,099
7-1-231.81274293081831
6-0-4Out1002
10.57-2-112.201112142223020,744
6-1-312.13926412158
107-3-05.10507314115100168,103
6-2-24.950631421512,885
5-1-4Out171750176
9.56-3-11.11021847284048,110
5-2-31.1102244285262
4-1-5Out1001
96-4-00.3000531451620294,468
5-3-20.2005314417205,810
4-2-4Out3333339
8.55-4-10.000117453160072,370
4-3-3Out018453061391
3-2-5Out1001
85-5-00.0000631431730353,401
4-4-2Out06324218207,650
3-3-4Out439439423
7.54-5-1Out0115413310171,787
3-4-3Out116433091419
74-6-0Out0063041203294,331
3-5-2Out0629412135,870
2-4-4Out142943147
6.53-6-1Out011338381148,354
2-5-3Out11640358226
63-7-0Out006294519168,485
2-6-2Out052846202,943
1-5-4Out2040405
5.52-7-1Out0112444320,693
1-6-3Out210414687
52-8-0Out007385463,568
1-7-2Out073755818
0-6-4Out50502
4.51-8-1Out120795,158
0-7-3Out138715
41-9-0Out0158514,069
0-8-2Out11683109
3.50-9-1Out595572
30-10-0Out2981,581
Total:2.8%002026132021171261,758,736
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/10100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers 217 Mariners 213 -1.0
Pirates 282 Brewers 229 -0.1
Blue Jays 273 Rays 147 -0.1
Red Sox 266 Yankees 236.5 -0.1
Braves 223 Phillies 195 +0.0
Cubs 235.5 Reds 299.5 -0.0
Giants 198 Diamondbacks 275 -0.0
Tigers 225.5 Indians 254 +0.0
Mets 231.5 Nationals 313.5 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/17100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers vs Angels-1.1+1.0+1.0
Yankees vs Blue Jays+0.1-0.1-0.1
Brewers vs Cubs-0.0-0.1+0.0
Indians vs Twins+0.1-0.1-0.1
Royals vs Tigers-0.0-0.1+0.1
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers-0.1-0.1+0.1
Rays vs Red Sox+0.1-0.1-0.1
Rockies vs Giants-0.0-0.1+0.0
Phillies vs Mets-0.0-0.1+0.0
Nationals vs Braves-0.0-0.1+0.0
Mariners vs Astros+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
1310-0-014183129143010
12.59-0-11210273615631
129-1-0002923311313720
8-0-212235813543
11.58-1-10214374121611410
7-0-377815
118-2-000182251723166100
7-1-223001510182011310
6-0-45050
10.57-2-1011201413232516610
6-1-3121028261725
107-3-0005014122427197200
6-2-25002718262314400
5-1-48317
9.56-3-11002717272614510
5-2-310271426311351
4-1-5100
96-4-000000161627271651000
5-3-20001515273017510
4-2-4114444
8.55-4-10001413273018610
4-3-3015173133102
3-2-5100
85-5-0000014122631206100
4-4-20151731301430
3-3-49393517
7.54-5-100141531311530
3-4-30292939183
74-6-000031430321640
3-5-20182736236
2-4-4432929
6.53-6-100172537245
2-5-313244923
63-7-000172337266
2-6-204234329
1-5-48020
5.52-7-1004224330
1-6-323463
52-8-0003204432
1-7-2043263
0-6-4100
4.51-8-1043066
0-7-3100
41-9-0032869
0-8-21387
3.50-9-101188
30-10-00793
Total:0000001201123457910121211973