Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Lost to Braves 195-223, playoff odds down 13.7 to 37.6%

6-4-0 .600

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

16		10	-	0	-	0	In		99	1											1,622
15	.5	9	-	0	-	1	In		96	4											561
15		9	-	1	-	0	In		91	8	0	1									13,942
		8	-	0	-	2	In		90	10											97
14	.5	8	-	1	-	1	In		80	19	0	1									5,234
		7	-	0	-	3	In		75	25											8
14		8	-	2	-	0	100.0	%	67	26	1	6	0								63,293
		7	-	1	-	2	In		70	25	1	4									887
13	.5	7	-	2	-	1	99.7		44	42	3	11	0								20,302
		6	-	1	-	3	In		39	48	4	10									80
13		7	-	3	-	0	97.9		27	40	7	24	2	0							168,164
		6	-	2	-	2	98.4		28	42	7	22	2								2,897
		5	-	1	-	4	85.7			71		14	14								7
12	.5	6	-	3	-	1	92.1		10	40	12	30	8	0	0						47,944
		5	-	2	-	3	93.6		9	40	16	29	6	1							251
12		6	-	4	-	0	75.0		3	19	15	38	22	3	0	0					294,745
		5	-	3	-	2	76.5		3	21	16	37	21	3	0						5,731
		4	-	2	-	4	81.3			31	19	31	19								16
11	.5	5	-	4	-	1	50.0		0	9	14	27	39	11	1	0					72,372
		4	-	3	-	3	46.7		0	8	13	26	38	14	1						413
		3	-	2	-	5	Out						100								1
11		5	-	5	-	0	20.9		0	1	6	13	38	30	9	1	0	0			354,309
		4	-	4	-	2	21.0		0	1	7	13	40	29	8	1					7,198
		3	-	3	-	4	25.0			5	15	5	40	30	5						20
10	.5	4	-	5	-	1	5.3			0	2	3	22	40	25	6	1	0			72,116
		3	-	4	-	3	5.1			0	3	2	22	42	24	7	0	0			433
10		4	-	6	-	0	0.7			0	0	0	6	23	36	25	8	1	0		295,180
		3	-	5	-	2	0.6				0	0	6	24	36	24	8	1	0		5,843
		2	-	4	-	4	Out							40	40	20					10
9	.5	3	-	6	-	1	0.0				0	0	1	7	25	38	24	6	0		47,780
		2	-	5	-	3	Out						0	7	23	42	22	4	1		214
9		3	-	7	-	0	0.0				0	0	0	1	9	28	37	21	4	0	168,747
		2	-	6	-	2	Out						0	1	10	27	37	21	4		2,956
		1	-	5	-	4	Out								8	33	50	8			12
8	.5	2	-	7	-	1	Out							0	1	10	33	41	15	0	20,638
		1	-	6	-	3	Out								1	10	38	38	13		71
8		2	-	8	-	0	Out								0	3	20	43	33	2	62,318
		1	-	7	-	2	Out								0	4	19	43	33	2	874
		0	-	6	-	4	Out											50	50		2
7	.5	1	-	8	-	1	Out									0	5	32	54	8	5,034
		0	-	7	-	3	Out										9	45	45		11
7		1	-	9	-	0	Out									0	2	20	65	12	14,128
		0	-	8	-	2	Out										2	16	65	18	114
6	.5	0	-	9	-	1	Out											6	64	31	559
6		0	-	10	-	0	Out										0	2	62	35	1,602

Total:							37.6	%	7	10	6	14	16	13	11	9	7	5	3	0	1,758,736

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

16		10	-	0	-	0	77	21	1
15	.5	9	-	0	-	1	44	46	8	1	0
15		9	-	1	-	0	43	43	12	1	0
		8	-	0	-	2	12	43	35	9
14	.5	8	-	1	-	1	12	37	35	13	3	0
		7	-	0	-	3			25	25	38	13
14		8	-	2	-	0	11	35	35	15	4	0	0		0	0
		7	-	1	-	2	1	7	23	36	24	8	2	0
13	.5	7	-	2	-	1	1	7	22	32	25	11	2	0	0	0
		6	-	1	-	3				5	26	39	26	4
13		7	-	3	-	0	1	6	20	31	25	11	2	0	2	0	0
		6	-	2	-	2		0	2	9	24	32	25	6	1	0	0
		5	-	1	-	4							57	29		14
12	.5	6	-	3	-	1		0	2	8	21	31	23	6	6	2	0	0
		5	-	2	-	3				0	2	12	39	40	1	2	2	1
12		6	-	4	-	0	0	0	1	6	17	25	20	6	18	6	1	0	0
		5	-	3	-	2				0	2	11	31	32	6	9	6	2	0	0
		4	-	2	-	4							13	69		6	6	6
11	.5	5	-	4	-	1			0	0	1	8	20	21	13	19	13	4	1	0	0
		4	-	3	-	3						0	5	41	1	8	12	18	9	3	0
		3	-	2	-	5															100
11		5	-	5	-	0			0	0	1	3	8	9	19	30	21	8	1	0	0
		4	-	4	-	2						0	3	18	1	8	20	23	17	7	2	0
		3	-	3	-	4								25				10	5	15	25	15	5
10	.5	4	-	5	-	1					0	0	1	5	1	9	21	28	21	10	3	1	0	0
		3	-	4	-	3								5			2	9	14	22	23	17	6	1	0
10		4	-	6	-	0						0	0	1	1	8	21	29	24	12	4	1	0	0
		3	-	5	-	2							0	1		0	1	5	15	26	27	18	6	2	0	0
		2	-	4	-	4															10	20	40	30
9	.5	3	-	6	-	1								0		0	1	4	13	25	28	19	8	2	0	0	0
		2	-	5	-	3														1	9	17	32	24	12	4	0
9		3	-	7	-	0								0		0	1	3	12	24	29	21	9	2	0	0	0
		2	-	6	-	2													0	2	7	19	28	27	13	3	1	0
		1	-	5	-	4																		25	25	42	8
8	.5	2	-	7	-	1												0	0	1	6	18	29	27	14	4	1	0
		1	-	6	-	3																	1	14	27	27	24	7
8		2	-	8	-	0												0	0	1	5	16	28	28	16	5	1	0
		1	-	7	-	2																0	2	14	27	34	18	4	1
		0	-	6	-	4																					50	50
7	.5	1	-	8	-	1															0	0	3	12	30	31	19	5	1
		0	-	7	-	3																				18	27	36	18
7		1	-	9	-	0															0	0	2	11	27	33	19	6	1	0
		0	-	8	-	2																		1	2	15	34	39	10
6	.5	0	-	9	-	1																		0	3	15	31	33	15	2
6		0	-	10	-	0																		0	2	13	33	33	15	3

Total:							1	2	4	5	6	7	7	4	8	10	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0