Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Beat Mets 313.5-231.5, playoff odds up 11.4 to 64%

7-3-0 .700

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

17		10	-	0	-	0	In		100	0											1,557
16	.5	9	-	0	-	1	In		99	1											560
16		9	-	1	-	0	In		98	2											13,994
		8	-	0	-	2	In		99	1											95
15	.5	8	-	1	-	1	In		94	6											5,073
		7	-	0	-	3	In		100												9
15		8	-	2	-	0	100.0	%	89	11	0	0	0								63,351
		7	-	1	-	2	In		91	9	0	0									857
		6	-	0	-	4	In		100												1
14	.5	7	-	2	-	1	In		78	22	0	0									20,815
		6	-	1	-	3	In		84	16											74
14		7	-	3	-	0	100.0		64	33	1	2	0								168,618
		6	-	2	-	2	99.9		66	32	1	1	0								3,017
		5	-	1	-	4	In		80	20											5
13	.5	6	-	3	-	1	99.9		45	49	2	4	0								47,705
		5	-	2	-	3	99.6		52	42	2	3	0								276
13		6	-	4	-	0	98.5		27	52	9	11	1	0							294,665
		5	-	3	-	2	98.7		28	53	8	9	1	0							5,809
		4	-	2	-	4	In		25	75											4
12	.5	5	-	4	-	1	95.1		11	52	14	18	5	0							71,876
		4	-	3	-	3	95.7		9	54	14	19	4	0							420
12		5	-	5	-	0	81.2		3	31	24	23	17	2	0	0					354,422
		4	-	4	-	2	82.5		3	33	25	22	16	2	0						7,382
		3	-	3	-	4	69.2			23	31	15	31								13
11	.5	4	-	5	-	1	59.2		0	14	22	22	32	8	1	0					72,156
		3	-	4	-	3	62.7			18	25	20	31	6	1						383
11		4	-	6	-	0	29.9		0	3	16	11	35	26	8	1	0	0			294,559
		3	-	5	-	2	28.7		0	3	15	11	37	26	8	1	0				5,855
		2	-	4	-	4	33.3			13	20		40	13	13						15
10	.5	3	-	6	-	1	8.9			0	6	3	22	39	24	6	1	0			48,009
		2	-	5	-	3	10.4			0	7	3	27	30	28	4	0				240
		1	-	4	-	5	Out						100								1
10		3	-	7	-	0	2.0			0	2	0	6	24	36	24	7	1	0	0	168,331
		2	-	6	-	2	1.7			0	1	0	6	23	36	25	7	1			2,902
		1	-	5	-	4	Out						50			50					2
9	.5	2	-	7	-	1	0.1				0	0	1	6	25	38	24	6	0	0	20,817
		1	-	6	-	3	Out						1	5	22	30	29	12	1		77
9		2	-	8	-	0	0.0				0		0	1	8	27	37	22	4	0	62,670
		1	-	7	-	2	Out							1	7	27	39	21	5	0	859
		0	-	6	-	4	Out											50	50		2
8	.5	1	-	8	-	1	Out								1	10	32	41	16	1	5,125
		0	-	7	-	3	Out										58	17	25		12
8		1	-	9	-	0	Out								0	2	17	41	33	6	13,859
		0	-	8	-	2	Out									2	14	48	29	7	87
7	.5	0	-	9	-	1	Out										4	30	55	10	582
7		0	-	10	-	0	Out										1	17	50	31	1,595

Total:							64.0	%	19	24	11	11	12	9	6	4	3	1	1	0	1,758,736

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

17		10	-	0	-	0	95	5
16	.5	9	-	0	-	1	81	18	1
16		9	-	1	-	0	78	21	1	0
		8	-	0	-	2	38	39	21	2
15	.5	8	-	1	-	1	46	42	11	1	0
		7	-	0	-	3	11	44	33	11
15		8	-	2	-	0	46	42	11	1	0				0
		7	-	1	-	2	14	37	33	13	3
		6	-	0	-	4					100
14	.5	7	-	2	-	1	14	38	33	12	2	0	0
		6	-	1	-	3	1	8	23	50	12	5
14		7	-	3	-	0	14	38	33	13	2	0	0		0
		6	-	2	-	2	1	10	29	33	20	7	1	0	0
		5	-	1	-	4			20	20	20	40
13	.5	6	-	3	-	1	1	11	27	32	21	7	1	0	0	0
		5	-	2	-	3		1	6	16	30	33	11	2	0
13		6	-	4	-	0	1	10	26	32	21	7	1	0	1	0
		5	-	3	-	2	0	0	4	15	29	31	16	4	1	0	0	0
		4	-	2	-	4					25	50	25
12	.5	5	-	4	-	1	0	0	4	13	27	30	17	4	4	1	0	0
		4	-	3	-	3			0	1	4	19	41	30	2	1	0	1
12		5	-	5	-	0	0	0	3	11	23	25	15	3	15	3	0	0
		4	-	4	-	2			0	0	4	17	35	26	7	7	3	1	0
		3	-	3	-	4							8	62			8	23
11	.5	4	-	5	-	1			0	0	3	12	25	19	14	16	8	2	0	0	0
		3	-	4	-	3						1	11	51	2	8	11	10	4	2	1
11		4	-	6	-	0		0	0	0	1	6	12	10	25	28	13	4	1	0	0
		3	-	5	-	2					0	0	5	24	2	11	21	21	11	4	1	0
		2	-	4	-	4								33		7		13	13		13	20
10	.5	3	-	6	-	1					0	0	1	7	3	13	25	26	16	6	1	0	0
		2	-	5	-	3								10			3	6	13	28	23	11	4	1
		1	-	4	-	5																			100
10		3	-	7	-	0					0	0	0	2	2	13	26	29	19	7	2	0	0	0
		2	-	6	-	2								2		0	1	8	18	29	24	14	4	1
		1	-	5	-	4																	50	50
9	.5	2	-	7	-	1							0	0		0	1	6	17	28	26	15	5	1	0	0
		1	-	6	-	3														5	12	18	34	21	9		1
9		2	-	8	-	0							0	0		0	1	5	15	27	28	17	6	1	0	0
		1	-	7	-	2														3	8	21	30	24	10	3	0
		0	-	6	-	4																			50		50
8	.5	1	-	8	-	1													0	2	8	20	29	26	12	3	1
		0	-	7	-	3																	8	17	25	42	8
8		1	-	9	-	0												0	0	1	6	18	30	27	14	4	1	0
		0	-	8	-	2																	2	18	28	30	18	3
7	.5	0	-	9	-	1																1	4	12	28	32	17	6	1
7		0	-	10	-	0																0	3	11	25	30	21	9	1	0

Total:							4	8	10	11	11	9	7	4	9	8	6	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0