Seattle Mariners Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Lost to Rangers 213-217, playoff odds down 0.3 to 0.2%

1-9-0 .100

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

11		10	-	0	-	0	52.8	%		6	44	3	29	16	2	0					1,526
10	.5	9	-	0	-	1	22.1			1	20	1	28	35	13	2					539
10		9	-	1	-	0	10.2			0	10	0	14	38	30	7	1	0			14,028
		8	-	0	-	2	7.1			1	6		12	37	36	7	1				98
9	.5	8	-	1	-	1	1.9				2	0	3	24	45	23	3	0			5,152
		7	-	0	-	3	Out							38	50	13					16
9		8	-	2	-	0	0.5				1		1	8	33	38	17	3	0	0	62,878
		7	-	1	-	2	0.1				0		0	9	33	38	16	3	0		804
8	.5	7	-	2	-	1	0.0				0		0	1	15	39	33	10	1	0	20,546
		6	-	1	-	3	Out							1	17	48	31	3			77
8		7	-	3	-	0	0.0				0		0	0	5	22	38	27	7	1	168,901
		6	-	2	-	2	Out							0	4	24	39	26	6	1	2,894
		5	-	1	-	4	Out										67		33		3
7	.5	6	-	3	-	1	Out							0	1	9	31	39	18	2	48,040
		5	-	2	-	3	Out								0	10	31	42	15	2	227
7		6	-	4	-	0	Out							0	0	2	16	39	33	10	294,790
		5	-	3	-	2	Out								0	3	16	39	33	9	5,861
		4	-	2	-	4	Out										18	59	18	6	17
6	.5	5	-	4	-	1	Out								0	0	6	27	45	22	72,214
		4	-	3	-	3	Out									1	5	25	45	25	399
6		5	-	5	-	0	Out									0	2	16	44	39	353,523
		4	-	4	-	2	Out									0	1	16	44	39	7,280
		3	-	3	-	4	Out											13	60	27	15
5	.5	4	-	5	-	1	Out									0	0	5	34	60	72,430
		3	-	4	-	3	Out											4	32	64	388
5		4	-	6	-	0	Out										0	2	25	73	293,813
		3	-	5	-	2	Out										0	2	24	75	6,004
		2	-	4	-	4	Out												21	79	14
4	.5	3	-	6	-	1	Out											0	11	88	48,279
		2	-	5	-	3	Out											0	14	85	235
4		3	-	7	-	0	Out											0	7	92	168,403
		2	-	6	-	2	Out											0	7	93	2,997
		1	-	5	-	4	Out													100	3
3	.5	2	-	7	-	1	Out											0	2	98	20,710
		1	-	6	-	3	Out												1	99	84
3		2	-	8	-	0	Out											0	1	99	63,195
		1	-	7	-	2	Out												1	99	821
2	.5	1	-	8	-	1	Out												0	100	5,168
		0	-	7	-	3	Out													100	15
2		1	-	9	-	0	Out												0	100	14,086
		0	-	8	-	2	Out													100	92
1	-1.5						Out													100	2,171	*

Total:							0.2	%		0	0	0	0	1	2	5	9	16	24	43	1,758,736

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

11		10	-	0	-	0					0	2	15	36	4	13	16	10	3	0	0
10	.5	9	-	0	-	1							1	21	0		2	6	19	24	19	6	1	1
10		9	-	1	-	0							0	10	0	0	2	9	20	26	21	9	2	0	0
		8	-	0	-	2								7				1		1	9	21	22	26	12
9	.5	8	-	1	-	1								2			0	0	0	2	9	22	30	22	9	2	0	0
		7	-	0	-	3																		13	38	13	19	19
9		8	-	2	-	0								1				0	0	2	9	21	30	24	11	3	0	0
		7	-	1	-	2								0								1	5	14	30	30	15	3	1
8	.5	7	-	2	-	1								0					0		0	1	4	14	28	30	17	5	1	0
		6	-	1	-	3																			9	22	34	21	12	3
8		7	-	3	-	0								0						0	0	1	4	14	28	31	18	5	1	0
		6	-	2	-	2																		1	5	15	34	31	13	2
		5	-	1	-	4																						33	67
7	.5	6	-	3	-	1																	0	1	4	15	32	32	15	2
		5	-	2	-	3																			0	2	8	29	43	18
7		6	-	4	-	0															0	0	0	0	3	14	31	33	15	2
		5	-	3	-	2																		0	0	1	9	28	43	19
		4	-	2	-	4																					6	18	41	35
6	.5	5	-	4	-	1																			0	1	8	29	42	20
		4	-	3	-	3																					2	9	37	53
6		5	-	5	-	0																		0	0	1	8	28	43	20
		4	-	4	-	2																					1	7	38	54
		3	-	3	-	4																						7	20	73
5	.5	4	-	5	-	1																				0	1	8	37	54
		3	-	4	-	3																						0	17	82
5		4	-	6	-	0																				0	1	7	37	55
		3	-	5	-	2																					0	1	17	83
		2	-	4	-	4																								100
4	.5	3	-	6	-	1																					0	1	17	82
		2	-	5	-	3																						0	6	94
4		3	-	7	-	0																					0	1	16	83
		2	-	6	-	2																						0	5	95
		1	-	5	-	4																								100
3	.5	2	-	7	-	1																						0	5	95
		1	-	6	-	3																							1	99
3		2	-	8	-	0																						0	5	95
		1	-	7	-	2																							1	99
2	.5	1	-	8	-	1																							1	99
		0	-	7	-	3																								100
2		1	-	9	-	0																							1	99
		0	-	8	-	2																								100
1	.5	0	-	9	-	1																							0	100
1		0	-	10	-	0																							0	100

Total:											0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	4	7	10	16	24	34