How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates 282 Brewers 229 -0.3
-0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brewers vs Cubs+0.2-0.1-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Brewers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
1110-0-028.1%142339257101,544
10.59-0-15.01424412360558
109-1-01.001824342381014,054
8-0-2Out12193720101105
9.58-1-1Out05213826815,106
7-0-3Out292936714
98-2-00.000172334269163,092
7-1-2Out018213127102850
6-0-4Out1001
8.57-2-1Out005233926520,597
6-1-3Out7363619373
87-3-0Out00110304018168,167
6-2-2Out0183140192,957
5-1-4Out3333333
7.56-3-1Out0214444147,981
5-2-3Out1104048242
76-4-0Out0063360294,136
5-3-2Out00632625,901
4-2-4Out6227218
6.55-4-1Out01188172,515
4-3-3Out21781390
65-5-0Out001189353,507
4-4-2Out010907,257
3-3-4Out277315
5.54-5-1Out039772,170
3-4-3Out595403
54-6-0Out0298294,947
3-5-2Out2985,962
2-4-4Out10016
4.53-6-1Out010048,194
2-5-3Out100223
43-7-0Out0100168,524
2-6-2Out01002,908
1-5-4Out1004
1-3.5Out100106,302*
Total:0.0%00000113615741,758,736

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/10100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates 282 Brewers 229 +0.6
Blue Jays 273 Rays 147 -0.1
Tigers 225.5 Indians 254 +0.1
Cubs 235.5 Reds 299.5 -0.0
Braves 223 Phillies 195 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/17100.0*Lottery seed
Brewers vs Cubs-0.6+0.5+0.5
Mariners vs Astros+0.1-0.1-0.1
Rays vs Red Sox+0.1-0.1-0.1
Indians vs Twins+0.1-0.1-0.1
Yankees vs Blue Jays+0.1-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Angels+0.1-0.0-0.0
Rockies vs Giants-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
1110-0-0001819618271451
10.59-0-1513922292191
109-1-001002102429229200
8-0-2211302817101
9.58-1-1003102329229200
7-0-343142914
98-2-000002922302310300
7-1-20161728281540
6-0-4100
8.57-2-1001515282917510
6-1-3416264112
87-3-0001414273018510
6-2-20014163232132
5-1-43367
7.56-3-10014153132152
5-2-329314217
76-4-00003143133162
5-3-2019304318
4-2-463956
6.55-4-10018294220
4-3-30073656
65-5-00018284320
4-4-2183853
3-3-41387
5.54-5-10173854
3-4-311981
54-6-00173855
3-5-2011683
2-4-41388
4.53-6-1011783
2-5-3595
43-7-0011683
2-6-20496
1-5-4100
3.52-7-10595
1-6-3199
32-8-00496
1-7-2199
0-6-4100
2.51-8-1199
0-7-3100
21-9-0199
0-8-2199
1.50-9-1100
10-10-00100
Total:0000000000011234610162434