Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Beat Rays 273-147, playoff odds up 4.2 to 93%

9-1-0 .900

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

17.5	-19						In		100												21,243	*
17		8	-	2	-	0	In		100	0		0									63,428
		7	-	1	-	2	In		100			0									810
		6	-	0	-	4	In		100												2
16	.5	7	-	2	-	1	In		100	0		0									20,721
		6	-	1	-	3	In		100												77
16		7	-	3	-	0	In		98	1	0	1									168,540
		6	-	2	-	2	In		99	0		1									2,858
		5	-	1	-	4	In		100												8
15	.5	6	-	3	-	1	In		95	2	0	3									48,543
		5	-	2	-	3	In		94	3		3									261
15		6	-	4	-	0	100.0	%	88	5	0	7	0								295,383
		5	-	3	-	2	In		89	4	0	6									5,945
		4	-	2	-	4	In		92	8											13
14	.5	5	-	4	-	1	100.0		75	10	0	14	0								72,214
		4	-	3	-	3	In		79	8		13									430
14		5	-	5	-	0	99.9		59	17	1	23	0								353,554
		4	-	4	-	2	99.9		60	15	1	24	0								7,293
		3	-	3	-	4	In		75	10		15									20
13	.5	4	-	5	-	1	99.6		36	22	3	38	0								72,374
		3	-	4	-	3	99.5		36	25	2	37	1								400
		2	-	3	-	5	In					100									2
13		4	-	6	-	0	97.2		20	23	6	48	3	0							293,565
		3	-	5	-	2	97.1		20	23	5	49	3	0							5,695
		2	-	4	-	4	In		8	15	8	69									13
12	.5	3	-	6	-	1	92.1		6	17	8	60	8	0							48,171
		2	-	5	-	3	93.7		7	16	9	62	6								255
12		3	-	7	-	0	77.9		2	10	9	56	20	2	0						168,223
		2	-	6	-	2	77.5		2	8	9	58	21	2	0						2,876
		1	-	5	-	4	80.0			20	20	40	20								5
11	.5	2	-	7	-	1	57.1		0	3	7	47	36	7	0						20,646
		1	-	6	-	3	54.4			3	6	46	43	3							79
11		2	-	8	-	0	32.1		0	1	4	27	45	20	3	0					62,833
		1	-	7	-	2	33.0		0	1	2	29	44	20	3						828
		0	-	6	-	4	Out						100								1
10	.5	1	-	8	-	1	12.0			0	1	11	40	39	9	0					5,188
		0	-	7	-	3	Out						63	25	13						8
10		1	-	9	-	0	3.3				0	3	21	42	27	6	1	0			13,904
		0	-	8	-	2	3.7					4	22	40	29	5	1				108
9	.5	0	-	9	-	1	0.5					0	8	35	42	13	1				610
9		0	-	10	-	0	0.1					0	1	12	36	35	14	2			1,609

Total:							93.0	%	54	11	3	25	5	1	0	0	0	0			1,758,736

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

18.5	-19						100
18		9	-	1	-	0	100	0
		8	-	0	-	2	99	1
17	.5	8	-	1	-	1	100	0
		7	-	0	-	3	100
17		8	-	2	-	0	100	0
		7	-	1	-	2	98	2
		6	-	0	-	4	100
16	.5	7	-	2	-	1	96	3	0
		6	-	1	-	3	86	13	1
16		7	-	3	-	0	96	4	0
		6	-	2	-	2	84	15	1
		5	-	1	-	4	75	13	13
15	.5	6	-	3	-	1	82	17	1	0
		5	-	2	-	3	59	29	11	1
15		6	-	4	-	0	81	18	2	0	0				0
		5	-	3	-	2	49	38	11	2	0
		4	-	2	-	4	8	8	69	8		8
14	.5	5	-	4	-	1	47	38	12	2	0	0			0
		4	-	3	-	3	16	32	33	15	4	0
14		5	-	5	-	0	44	39	14	3	0	0	0		0
		4	-	4	-	2	11	31	33	18	6	1	0		0
		3	-	3	-	4			20	30	30	10	10
13	.5	4	-	5	-	1	10	29	33	19	6	1	0	0	0
		3	-	4	-	3	0	4	13	28	29	19	5	1	0	0
		2	-	3	-	5							50	50
13		4	-	6	-	0	9	27	33	20	7	1	0	0	3	0
		3	-	5	-	2	0	3	14	27	29	17	6	1	3	0
		2	-	4	-	4						23	46	31
12	.5	3	-	6	-	1	0	3	12	25	28	17	6	1	7	1	0	0
		2	-	5	-	3			0	1	9	26	37	20	4	1	1
12		3	-	7	-	0	0	2	10	20	24	16	5	1	21	1	0	0
		2	-	6	-	2			0	1	7	22	30	16	12	7	3	0	0
		1	-	5	-	4							20	60				20
11	.5	2	-	7	-	1	0	0	0	1	6	16	22	12	25	14	3	1	0	0
		1	-	6	-	3						1	15	38	4	18	10	9	5
11		2	-	8	-	0			0	1	3	9	13	7	40	21	5	1	0	0
		1	-	7	-	2					0	1	7	25	3	16	22	16	7	2
		0	-	6	-	4															100
10	.5	1	-	8	-	1					0	0	3	9	5	18	30	22	9	3	0	0
		0	-	7	-	3													13	63		25
10		1	-	9	-	0					0	0	1	3	5	19	32	26	12	3	0	0
		0	-	8	-	2								4			1	6	24	35	22	6	2
9	.5	0	-	9	-	1								0			1	9	19	33	24	12	3	0
9		0	-	10	-	0								0			1	6	17	28	24	15	6	2	0	0

Total:							44	20	12	8	5	3	2	1	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0