"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will finish season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.Change
Red Sox16-2-1.86815641001.0Boston Red Sox
Reds13-6-0.68445123232422903.7-2.38Cincinatti Reds
Angels13-6-0.684928.521212014741034.4-1.61Los Angeles Angels
Pirates13-6-0.684549202019151221114.5+1.57Pittsburgh Pirates
Twins13-6-0.68481219191918112924.5-1.39Minnesota Twins
Nationals13-6-0.6849121717158523155.6-0.79Washington Nationals
Astros12-7-0.632585.5021019448187.3+1.93Houston Astros
Phillies12-7-0.632601018231618337.9+2.22Philadelphia Phillies
Royals12-7-0.632203015143013378.1-1.02Kansas City Royals
Rockies10-9-0.52626150500010.0-1.70Colorado Rockies
Diamondbacks10-9-0.526-126.5505010.0-1.87Arizona Diamondbacks
Blue Jays11-8-0.579251.510011.0+1.47Toronto Blue Jays
Dodgers9-10-0.47477.5033333314.0+1.72Los Angeles Dodgers
Rangers9-10-0.47432.533333314.0+0.81Texas Rangers
Mets9-10-0.474-342333333014.0-2.27New York Mets
Yankees8-11-0.421-452921212917.5-1.26New York Yankees
Braves8-10-1.447-53502129292117.5+1.23Atlanta Braves
Rays8-11-0.421-7982921212917.5+1.15Tampa Bay Rays
Giants8-11-0.421-456.52129292117.5+2.04San Francisco Giants
Cubs6-13-0.316-142.5505020.5+0.08Chicago Cubs
Tigers6-13-0.316-930505020.5+0.08Detroit Tigers
Indians4-15-0.211-1316.510022.0Cleveland Indians
Brewers2-17-0.105-1263.5505023.5Milwaukee Brewers
Mariners2-17-0.105-1273505023.5Seattle Mariners

Lottery Big Games

Week of 8/12
Phillies 302 Braves 202
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Reds+0.3
Phillies-1.0
Braves+1.0
Astros 138 Rangers 277.5
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Angels-0.3
Astros+0.9
Rangers-1.0
Nationals 401 Mets 277.5
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Reds+0.3
Nationals-1.0
Mets+1.0
Blue Jays 279 Rays 329.5
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Angels-0.3
Astros-0.2
Blue Jays+1.1
Rays-0.8
Rockies 232.5 Dodgers 265.5
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Rockies+1.2
Dodgers-1.5
Diamondbacks 173 Giants 138.5
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Diamondbacks-1.7
Giants+1.6
Reds 261.5 Cubs 224.5
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Reds-1.1
Pirates+0.2
Nationals+0.2
Phillies+0.3
Cubs+0.4
Twins 300 Royals 340.5
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Twins+1.1
Royals-1.0
Angels 320.5 Mariners 276
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Angels-1.1
Blue Jays+0.4
Brewers 260.5 Pirates 295.5
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates-0.9
Yankees 290 Red Sox 367
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees+0.8
Tigers 245.5 Indians 168.5
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Tigers-0.3
Indians+0.2
Week of 8/19
Diamondbacks 383 Dodgers 309
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Rockies-0.4
Diamondbacks-1.7
Dodgers+1.8
Giants+0.3
Phillies 268.5 Mets 321
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Reds-0.6
Pirates-0.2
Phillies+1.2
Mets-0.9
Rays+0.2
Rockies 293 Giants 144
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Rockies-1.5
Dodgers+0.2
Giants+1.6
Angels 289 Rangers 238.5
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Angels-1.2
Twins+0.3
Blue Jays+0.3
Rangers+0.7
Nationals 287 Braves 217
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Reds+0.3
Pirates+0.2
Nationals-1.0
Braves+0.8
Rays-0.2
Reds 346.5 Pirates 262.5
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Reds-1.5
Pirates+0.8
Phillies+0.3
Indians 239.5 Twins 261.5
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Angels+0.2
Twins-1.4
Astros+0.2
Royals+0.5
Yankees 237 Blue Jays 218.5
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Angels-0.3
Royals-0.2
Blue Jays+0.9
Yankees-0.5
Royals 267.5 Tigers 187.5
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Twins+0.4
Royals-1.1
Blue Jays+0.3
Cubs-0.2
Tigers+0.3
Mariners 195 Astros 155
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Twins-0.3
Astros+1.1
Blue Jays-0.2
Rays 270 Red Sox 329.5
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Mets-0.2
Rays+0.9
Brewers 225.5 Cubs 218
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs+0.3
Tigers-0.2
Brewers-0.2
Mariners+0.2
Week of 8/26
Phillies vs NationalsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates4.73.74.2
Nationals8.15.33.2
Phillies6.19.79.6
Astros vs AngelsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Angels5.94.82.9
Twins4.83.74.2
Astros6.18.38.4
Rockies vs DiamondbacksHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Rockies8.0*10.012.0
Diamondbacks12.0*10.08.0
Indians vs RoyalsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Twins4.04.05.1
Astros6.78.07.8
Royals9.78.46.5
Tigers vs TwinsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Angels3.64.85.2
Twins6.04.83.0
Pirates vs CubsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates3.04.85.9
Nationals6.36.05.0
Brewers vs RedsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Reds4.64.52.8
Pirates3.74.95.2
Nationals6.04.95.3
Dodgers vs GiantsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Dodgers13.514.514.5
Giants18.218.216.7
Braves vs MetsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Mets14.514.513.5
Braves16.718.218.2
Yankees vs RaysHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees16.518.018.5
Rays18.518.016.5
Rangers vs MarinersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers13.514.514.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.