How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies 302 Braves 202 +13.1
+0.4
Reds 261.5 Cubs 224.5 -7.4
-0.1
Brewers 260.5 Pirates 295.5 -2.8
-0.1
Nationals 401 Mets 277.5 -1.4
-0.1
Week of 8/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies 137.5 Mets 174 -15.5
-0.3
Reds 182.5 Pirates 115.5 -9.2
Nationals 96 Braves 128 +0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 8/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies vs NationalsIn*-0.0Out
+1.6-0.1-1.6
Pirates vs Cubs-0.1-0.1+0.1
Brewers vs Reds+0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
131-0-0In24762,674,219
12.50-0-150.0%5050108,833
120-1-0Out1002,674,068
Total:50.0%1238505,457,120
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/12100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 302 Braves 202 -1.0
Reds 261.5 Cubs 224.5 +0.3
Brewers 260.5 Pirates 295.5 +0.2
Nationals 401 Mets 277.5 +0.1
Angels 320.5 Mariners 276 +0.1
Blue Jays 279 Rays 329.5 -0.1
Astros 138 Rangers 277.5 -0.1
Twins 300 Royals 340.5 -0.1
Week of 8/19100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 137.5 Mets 174 +1.2
Reds 182.5 Pirates 115.5 +0.3
Mariners 67 Astros 54.5 -0.2
Indians 101.5 Twins 122.5 +0.1
Angels 125.5 Rangers 78 +0.1
Nationals 96 Braves 128 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 8/26100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies vs Nationals-1.7+0.3+1.7
Indians vs Royals-0.1-0.1+0.1
Astros vs Angels+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
131-0-0095634
12.50-0-15451832
120-1-03565
Total:0528181832