Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Lost to Braves 96-128, playoff odds down 9.8 to 50%
12-7-0 .632
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 8/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Nationals 401 Mets 277.5 | +12.1 | +0.4 | ||
| Reds 261.5 Cubs 224.5 | -4.7 | -0.1 | ||
| Phillies 302 Braves 202 | -3.7 | -0.2 | ||
| Brewers 260.5 Pirates 295.5 | -3.3 | -0.1 | ||
| Week of 8/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Nationals 96 Braves 128 | -10.0 | -0.2 | ||
| Reds 182.5 Pirates 115.5 | -3.6 | |||
| Phillies 137.5 Mets 174 | +0.3 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Phillies vs Nationals | Out*+0.0In | -1.6-0.1+1.6 | ||
| Brewers vs Reds | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||
| Pirates vs Cubs | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 13 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 24 | 76 | 2,674,068 | |||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 50.0 | % | 50 | 50 | 108,833 | |||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Out | 100 | 2,674,219 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 50.0 | % | 12 | 38 | 50 | 5,457,120 | ||||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 8/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Nationals 401 Mets 277.5 | -1.0 | |
| Reds 261.5 Cubs 224.5 | +0.2 | |
| Brewers 260.5 Pirates 295.5 | +0.2 | |
| Phillies 302 Braves 202 | +0.2 | |
| Angels 320.5 Mariners 276 | +0.1 | |
| Blue Jays 279 Rays 329.5 | -0.1 | |
| Astros 138 Rangers 277.5 | -0.1 | |
| Twins 300 Royals 340.5 | -0.0 | |
| Week of 8/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Nationals 96 Braves 128 | +1.0 | |
| Reds 182.5 Pirates 115.5 | +0.1 | |
| Mariners 67 Astros 54.5 | -0.1 | |
| Indians 101.5 Twins 122.5 | +0.1 | |
| Angels 125.5 Rangers 78 | +0.1 | |
| Royals 95.5 Tigers 88 | +0.1 | |
| Yankees 131.5 Blue Jays 112.5 | -0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Phillies vs Nationals | +1.7+0.3-1.7 | |
| Astros vs Angels | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Indians vs Royals | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | |
| 13 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 9 | 56 | 34 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 5 | 45 | 18 | 32 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 35 | 65 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 5 | 28 | 18 | 18 | 32 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:12 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
