Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 2018
Beat Braves 287-217, playoff odds up 8.6 to 69.7%
13-6-0 .684
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 8/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Reds 261.5 Cubs 224.5 | -5.7 | -0.1 | ||
| Nationals 401 Mets 277.5 | +2.8 | +0.1 | ||
| Phillies 302 Braves 202 | -0.9 | -0.0 | ||
| Brewers 260.5 Pirates 295.5 | -0.4 | -0.0 | ||
| Week of 8/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Reds 346.5 Pirates 262.5 | +2.2 | +0.2 | ||
| Nationals 287 Braves 217 | +0.7 | +0.0 | ||
| Phillies 268.5 Mets 321 | +0.4 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Phillies vs Nationals | -48.1InIn | -2.2+0.6+1.4 | ||
| Pirates vs Cubs | -8.3-8.5+28.2 | +0.1-0.5-0.1 | ||
| Brewers vs Reds | -8.3+0.3+0.5 | +0.1+0.1-0.0 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 14 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 77 | 23 | 8,189,369 | |||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 1 | 99 | 276,060 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 21.5 | % | 22 | 78 | 5,333,115 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 69.7 | % | 46 | 16 | 8 | 30 | 13,798,544 | |||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 8/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Nationals 401 Mets 277.5 | -0.2 | |
| Reds 261.5 Cubs 224.5 | +0.2 | |
| Astros 138 Rangers 277.5 | -0.2 | |
| Blue Jays 279 Rays 329.5 | -0.1 | |
| Phillies 302 Braves 202 | +0.0 | |
| Twins 300 Royals 340.5 | +0.0 | |
| Brewers 260.5 Pirates 295.5 | +0.0 | |
| Week of 8/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Mariners 195 Astros 155 | -0.2 | |
| Nationals 287 Braves 217 | -0.2 | |
| Angels 289 Rangers 238.5 | +0.1 | |
| Reds 346.5 Pirates 262.5 | +0.0 | |
| Indians 239.5 Twins 261.5 | +0.0 | |
| Royals 267.5 Tigers 187.5 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Phillies vs Nationals | +2.4-0.1-1.5 | |
| Pirates vs Cubs | +0.4+0.1-1.4 | |
| Tigers vs Twins | -0.5-0.5+0.0 | |
| Brewers vs Reds | -0.2-0.5+0.0 | |
| Astros vs Angels | -0.1-0.3+0.1 | |
| Indians vs Royals | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | |
| 14 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 34 | 14 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 47 | 21 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 65 | 14 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 1 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 25 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:12 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
