Houston Astros Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to Mariners 155-195, playoff odds down 55.5 to 41.8%
12-7-0 .632
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 8/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Astros 138 Rangers 277.5 | -5.8 | -0.5 | ||
| Blue Jays 279 Rays 329.5 | +1.5 | |||
| Twins 300 Royals 340.5 | -0.1 | +0.2 | ||
| Angels 320.5 Mariners 276 | -0.0 | |||
| Week of 8/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Mariners 195 Astros 155 | -45.6 | -0.9 | ||
| Royals 267.5 Tigers 187.5 | -0.4 | |||
| Yankees 237 Blue Jays 218.5 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Astros vs Angels | In-32.8-34.8 | +1.2-0.7-0.7 | ||
| Indians vs Royals | In-2.4-4.5 | +0.6-0.0-0.0 | ||
| Tigers vs Twins | +0.4-0.0-0.0 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Astros finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 13 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 4 | 96 | 5,154,373 | |||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 9.0 | % | 9 | 91 | 275,483 | |||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 7.1 | 7 | 93 | 8,368,688 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 41.8 | % | 2 | 36 | 4 | 58 | 13,798,544 | |||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 8/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Astros 138 Rangers 277.5 | +1.3 | |
| Twins 300 Royals 340.5 | -0.3 | |
| Brewers 260.5 Pirates 295.5 | +0.0 | |
| Week of 8/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Mariners 195 Astros 155 | +2.3 | |
| Phillies 268.5 Mets 321 | -0.2 | |
| Reds 346.5 Pirates 262.5 | +0.2 | |
| Angels 289 Rangers 238.5 | +0.1 | |
| Nationals 287 Braves 217 | +0.0 | |
| Indians 239.5 Twins 261.5 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Astros vs Angels | -1.8+1.0+1.1 | |
| Indians vs Royals | -1.6-0.0+0.1 | |
| Phillies vs Nationals | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| Tigers vs Twins | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | |
| 13 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 69 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 9 | 29 | 62 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 7 | 29 | 64 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 18 | 40 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:12 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
