Minnesota Twins Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Beat Royals 339-312.5, playoff odds up 8.6 to 41.9%

1-0-0 1.000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

18	-20						In		100												648	*
17	.5	16	-	2	-	1	In		100	0											269	*
17		16	-	3	-	0	In		100	0											2,178	*
16	.5	15	-	3	-	1	In		99	1		0									1,453	*
16		15	-	4	-	0	In		98	2		0									8,450
		14	-	3	-	2	In		98	2		0									467	*
15	.5	14	-	4	-	1	In		97	3		1									5,138	*
15		14	-	5	-	0	In		92	7	0	1									25,469
		13	-	4	-	2	In		94	5	0	1									1,492	*
14	.5	13	-	5	-	1	In		85	12	0	2									14,720	*
14		13	-	6	-	0	100.0	%	73	21	1	5	0								59,466
		12	-	5	-	2	99.9		73	21	1	4	0								3,887	*
13	.5	12	-	6	-	1	99.9		58	30	3	9	0								31,291
		11	-	5	-	3	In		60	29	2	8									663	*
13		12	-	7	-	0	99.2		38	39	7	15	1	0							110,087
		11	-	6	-	2	99.1		39	38	7	15	1	0							7,620	*
12	.5	11	-	7	-	1	97.1		21	40	14	23	3	0							53,657
		10	-	6	-	3	97.5		21	40	16	21	3								1,195	*
12		11	-	8	-	0	89.4		8	31	22	28	10	1	0						164,346
		10	-	7	-	2	90.1		8	32	22	28	9	1	0						12,192	*
11	.5	10	-	8	-	1	75.1		2	18	27	28	20	4	0	0					74,384
		9	-	7	-	3	75.6		2	20	27	27	20	5	0						1,656	*
11		10	-	9	-	0	50.4		0	7	25	18	29	16	4	0	0				201,394
		9	-	8	-	2	50.5		0	7	25	18	30	16	4	0					15,317	*
10	.5	9	-	9	-	1	26.1		0	2	18	7	26	31	14	3	0	0			82,285
		8	-	8	-	3	26.4			1	18	7	27	28	14	4	0				1,770	*
10		9	-	10	-	0	11.8		0	0	10	2	11	28	29	15	4	0	0		200,961
		8	-	9	-	2	11.6			0	10	1	11	28	29	15	4	0	0		15,485	*
9	.5	8	-	10	-	1	4.1			0	4	0	2	13	30	32	15	3	0	0	73,350
		7	-	9	-	3	4.5			0	4	0	2	11	32	32	15	3	0		1,598	*
9		8	-	11	-	0	1.6			0	2	0	0	3	14	30	31	16	3	0	164,464
		7	-	10	-	2	1.4				1	0	0	3	14	29	32	16	3	0	12,241	*
8	.5	7	-	11	-	1	0.4				0		0	0	3	15	34	33	13	2	54,097
		6	-	10	-	3	0.3				0			0	2	13	35	33	14	2	1,147	*
8		7	-	12	-	0	0.1				0		0	0	1	5	20	37	29	8	110,252
		6	-	11	-	2	0.2				0			0	1	5	20	37	30	8	7,715	*
7	.5	6	-	12	-	1	0.0				0				0	1	7	28	43	20	31,297
		5	-	11	-	3	Out									1	7	29	44	19	643	*
7		6	-	13	-	0	0.0				0				0	0	2	15	44	39	59,346
		5	-	12	-	2	Out									0	2	14	44	40	3,891	*
6	.5	5	-	13	-	1	Out										0	6	35	59	14,835	*
6		5	-	14	-	0	Out										0	2	24	74	25,387
		4	-	13	-	2	Out											1	21	77	1,506	*
5	.5	4	-	14	-	1	Out										0	0	13	87	5,270	*
5		4	-	15	-	0	Out											0	8	92	8,843	*
4	.5	3	-	15	-	1	Out												4	96	1,354	*
4		3	-	16	-	0	Out												2	98	2,228	*
3	.5	2	-	16	-	1	Out												0	100	255	*
3		2	-	17	-	0	Out												1	99	389	*
1	-2.5						Out													100	256	*

Total:							41.9	%	11	11	10	9	9	8	8	8	7	7	6	5	1,678,304

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

18.5	-20						100
18		17	-	2	-	0	99	1
17	.5	16	-	2	-	1	99	1
17		16	-	3	-	0	99	1
16	.5	15	-	3	-	1	95	5	0
16		15	-	4	-	0	95	5	0	0
15	.5	14	-	4	-	1	84	15	1	0
15		14	-	5	-	0	83	16	1	0
		13	-	4	-	2	56	34	9	2	0
14	.5	13	-	5	-	1	53	35	10	2	0	0
14		13	-	6	-	0	52	36	10	1	0	0			0
		12	-	5	-	2	18	35	29	14	3	1	0		0
13	.5	12	-	6	-	1	17	34	30	14	4	1	0	0	0
		11	-	5	-	3	2	10	21	27	24	12	3	0
13		12	-	7	-	0	16	33	30	15	4	1	0	0	1	0
		11	-	6	-	2	2	9	20	27	23	13	5	1	1	0
12	.5	11	-	7	-	1	1	8	19	27	24	13	4	1	3	0	0
		10	-	6	-	3		0	2	5	18	28	29	14	2	1	0	0
12		11	-	8	-	0	1	7	17	25	22	13	4	1	9	1	0	0
		10	-	7	-	2		0	1	5	15	27	27	14	4	4	1	0	0
11	.5	10	-	8	-	1	0	0	1	4	12	22	23	12	11	9	4	1	0	0	0
		9	-	7	-	3					0	5	23	48	2	4	5	6	5	2	1	0	0
11		10	-	9	-	0	0	0	1	3	8	15	16	9	22	17	8	2	0	0	0
		9	-	8	-	2				0	0	2	14	33	2	7	12	12	9	5	2	0	0	0		0
10	.5	9	-	9	-	1				0	0	1	7	18	3	10	17	18	13	8	3	1	0	0
		8	-	8	-	3							1	25			1	3	9	13	17	15	9	5	2	0	0
10		9	-	10	-	0				0	0	0	3	8	4	12	19	21	17	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
		8	-	9	-	2						0	0	11	0	0	1	4	9	15	19	17	13	7	3	1	0	0	0
9	.5	8	-	10	-	1						0	0	4	0	0	1	3	9	16	21	19	14	8	3	1	0	0
		7	-	9	-	3								5					0	0	2	7	14	21	19	17	12	3	1	0
9		8	-	11	-	0							0	2	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	21	16	9	4	1	0	0
		7	-	10	-	2								1					0	0	1	5	13	20	23	19	11	4	1	0
8	.5	7	-	11	-	1								0				0	0	0	1	5	12	20	24	20	12	4	1	0
		6	-	10	-	3								0									0	2	6	18	25	27	15	5
8		7	-	12	-	0								0				0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1	0
		6	-	11	-	2								0								0	0	2	6	15	26	28	18	5
7	.5	6	-	12	-	1								0								0	0	1	5	15	26	29	18	5
		5	-	11	-	3																				2	7	23	37	31
7		6	-	13	-	0								0								0	0	1	5	14	26	30	19	6
		5	-	12	-	2																			0	1	6	21	40	31
6	.5	5	-	13	-	1																		0	0	1	6	21	40	32
6		5	-	14	-	0																		0	0	1	5	20	40	34
		4	-	13	-	2																				0	0	4	28	68
5	.5	4	-	14	-	1																					0	4	25	71
5		4	-	15	-	0																					0	3	24	73
4	.5	3	-	15	-	1																						0	8	91
4		3	-	16	-	0																						0	9	90
3	.5	2	-	16	-	1																						0	2	98
3		2	-	17	-	0																						0	2	98
1	-2.5																													100

Total:							6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	2