Detroit Tigers Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Beat Indians 323-245.5, playoff odds up 8.5 to 41.9%

1-0-0 1.000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Tigers finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

17.5	-20						In		100												854	*
17		16	-	3	-	0	In		100	0		0									2,217	*
16	.5	15	-	3	-	1	In		100												1,461	*
16		15	-	4	-	0	In		98	2		0									8,530
		14	-	3	-	2	In		98	1		0									414	*
15	.5	14	-	4	-	1	In		97	3	0	0									5,336	*
15		14	-	5	-	0	100.0	%	92	7	0	1	0								25,289
		13	-	4	-	2	In		92	6	0	1									1,506	*
14	.5	13	-	5	-	1	100.0		86	12	0	2	0								14,580
		12	-	4	-	3	In		85	14	0	1									258	*
14		13	-	6	-	0	100.0		73	21	1	5	0								59,037
		12	-	5	-	2	99.9		74	20	1	5	0								3,926	*
13	.5	12	-	6	-	1	99.9		58	30	3	9	0								31,531
		11	-	5	-	3	In		59	29	2	10									633
13		12	-	7	-	0	99.1		38	38	7	15	1	0							109,994
		11	-	6	-	2	99.3		39	39	7	15	1	0							7,811	*
12	.5	11	-	7	-	1	97.1		21	40	14	23	3	0	0						53,558
		10	-	6	-	3	96.4		22	39	13	22	3	0							1,054	*
12		11	-	8	-	0	89.6		8	31	22	28	9	1	0						164,062
		10	-	7	-	2	90.7		8	32	22	28	8	1	0						12,364	*
11	.5	10	-	8	-	1	74.9		2	18	27	28	20	5	0	0					74,016
		9	-	7	-	3	75.8		2	17	27	29	19	5	0						1,668	*
11		10	-	9	-	0	50.4		0	7	25	18	29	16	4	0	0				201,322
		9	-	8	-	2	50.4		0	7	25	18	30	16	4	0	0				15,237	*
10	.5	9	-	9	-	1	25.8		0	2	17	7	26	31	14	3	0	0			81,969
		8	-	8	-	3	24.2			2	16	7	25	33	15	3	0				1,849	*
10		9	-	10	-	0	11.7			0	10	2	12	27	29	15	4	0	0		201,736
		8	-	9	-	2	11.4			0	10	1	11	28	30	15	4	0	0		15,330	*
9	.5	8	-	10	-	1	4.1			0	4	0	2	12	30	32	15	3	0	0	73,708
		7	-	9	-	3	4.0				4		3	12	29	34	15	4	0		1,668	*
9		8	-	11	-	0	1.6			0	2	0	0	3	14	30	31	16	3	0	165,133
		7	-	10	-	2	1.7				2	0	0	3	15	30	31	16	3	0	12,177	*
8	.5	7	-	11	-	1	0.4				0		0	0	3	15	33	33	13	2	53,983
		6	-	10	-	3	0.3				0			0	3	15	33	32	15	2	1,111	*
8		7	-	12	-	0	0.1				0			0	1	5	20	37	29	8	109,763
		6	-	11	-	2	0.1				0			0	0	5	20	37	29	8	7,717	*
7	.5	6	-	12	-	1	0.0				0				0	1	7	28	43	21	31,411
		5	-	11	-	3	Out									1	7	28	45	20	649	*
7		6	-	13	-	0	0.0				0					0	2	16	44	38	59,012
		5	-	12	-	2	Out									0	2	15	45	38	3,986	*
6	.5	5	-	13	-	1	Out										0	6	35	59	14,751	*
6		5	-	14	-	0	Out										0	2	24	74	25,549
		4	-	13	-	2	Out											2	21	76	1,535	*
5	.5	4	-	14	-	1	Out										0	1	13	86	5,211	*
5		4	-	15	-	0	Out											0	8	92	8,512
		3	-	14	-	2	Out											0	9	91	449	*
4	.5	3	-	15	-	1	Out												4	96	1,312	*
4		3	-	16	-	0	Out												2	98	2,238	*
3	.5	2	-	16	-	1	Out												0	100	261	*
1	-3						Out													100	626	*

Total:							41.9	%	12	11	10	9	9	8	8	8	7	7	6	5	1,678,304

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

18	-20						100
17	.5	16	-	2	-	1	99	1
17		16	-	3	-	0	99	1
16	.5	15	-	3	-	1	96	4	0
16		15	-	4	-	0	95	5	0
15	.5	14	-	4	-	1	83	15	1
15		14	-	5	-	0	82	17	1	0					0
		13	-	4	-	2	56	33	9	1	0
14	.5	13	-	5	-	1	53	36	10	1	0	0	0		0
14		13	-	6	-	0	52	36	10	2	0	0			0
		12	-	5	-	2	17	35	29	14	4	1	0		0
13	.5	12	-	6	-	1	17	35	30	14	4	1	0		0
		11	-	5	-	3	1	9	24	27	22	12	4	1
13		12	-	7	-	0	16	33	30	15	4	1	0	0	1	0
		11	-	6	-	2	1	8	21	28	23	13	4	1	1	0
12	.5	11	-	7	-	1	1	7	19	27	24	14	4	1	3	0	0
		10	-	6	-	3	0	0	1	6	17	29	30	13	1	1	1	0
12		11	-	8	-	0	1	6	17	25	23	13	4	1	9	1	0	0
		10	-	7	-	2		0	1	5	15	27	28	14	4	3	1	0	0	0
11	.5	10	-	8	-	1	0	0	1	4	12	22	24	12	11	9	4	1	0	0
		9	-	7	-	3					1	5	22	48	1	4	5	7	4	2	1	0	0
11		10	-	9	-	0	0	0	1	3	8	15	16	9	22	17	7	2	0	0	0	0
		9	-	8	-	2				0	0	3	15	33	2	7	12	12	9	5	2	0	0	0	0
10	.5	9	-	9	-	1					0	1	7	17	3	11	17	18	14	8	3	1	0	0	0
		8	-	8	-	3							1	23		0	1	4	8	14	16	14	11	5	2	0	0
10		9	-	10	-	0				0	0	0	3	8	3	12	19	21	17	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
		8	-	9	-	2						0	0	11	0	0	1	3	9	16	19	18	12	7	2	1	0	0	0
9	.5	8	-	10	-	1							0	4	0	0	1	3	9	16	20	20	15	8	3	1	0	0
		7	-	9	-	3								4					0	0	2	6	14	23	21	16	9	3	1	0
9		8	-	11	-	0							0	2	0	0	1	3	8	15	20	21	16	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
		7	-	10	-	2							0	2					0	0	2	6	12	20	23	19	11	4	1	0
8	.5	7	-	11	-	1							0	0				0	0	0	1	5	12	20	24	20	12	5	1	0
		6	-	10	-	3								0								0	0	1	6	17	28	29	16	4
8		7	-	12	-	0								0				0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1	0
		6	-	11	-	2								0								0	0	2	6	15	26	28	18	5
7	.5	6	-	12	-	1								0								0	0	1	5	15	26	29	18	5
		5	-	11	-	3																			0	1	6	25	39	29
7		6	-	13	-	0								0								0	0	1	5	14	26	30	20	5
		5	-	12	-	2																			0	1	7	21	40	31
6	.5	5	-	13	-	1																			0	1	6	20	39	34
6		5	-	14	-	0																			0	1	5	19	41	34
		4	-	13	-	2																					0	4	28	67
5	.5	4	-	14	-	1																					0	4	26	71
5		4	-	15	-	0																				0	0	4	25	71
		3	-	14	-	2																						1	9	90
4	.5	3	-	15	-	1																						0	9	91
4		3	-	16	-	0																						0	7	93
3	.5	2	-	16	-	1																							3	97
3		2	-	17	-	0																							2	98
1	-2.5																													100

Total:							6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	2