"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Indians 245.5 Tigers 323 +8.6
+0.8
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 4/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tigers vs Royals+8.4-0.7-10.1
+0.6-0.0-0.7
Twins vs Indians-0.9*+0.0+1.1
Red Sox vs Rays-0.2*+0.2+0.2
Blue Jays vs Yankees-0.1*+0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tigers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
18.5-20In1001,203*
1817-2-0In10003,096*
17.516-2-1In10001,955*
1716-3-0In991014,919*
16.515-3-1In99109,216*
1615-4-0In9730051,603
14-3-2In982002,652*
15.514-4-1In9450129,928*
1514-5-0100.0%8711010135,042
13-4-2In8811018,086*
14.513-5-1100.0791813073,610*
1413-6-0100.064282600274,942
12-5-2100.0652725018,179*
13.512-6-199.8483751000136,522
11-5-399.8483851002,790*
1312-7-098.93042121610445,880
11-6-299.0304211161031,290*
12.511-7-196.415401923300204,151
10-6-396.615411922304,370*
1211-8-087.852827271110581,576*
10-7-288.252927271010042,635
11.510-8-172.51153126225000244,172
9-7-372.91153026225005,443*
1110-9-048.80627162917400619,923
9-8-248.7062716301740046,774*
10.59-9-125.901186253115300237,587
8-8-327.51206253014305,258*
109-10-012.2010212283015300538,969
8-9-212.30112112930153041,126*
9.58-10-14.5040214323113200185,613
7-9-34.240215323013304,183*
98-11-01.7020041733291320384,436
7-10-21.52004163230132028,511*
8.57-11-10.4000520362991117,137
6-10-30.61015183728912,636*
87-12-00.1000182537245222,806
6-11-20.10016243825515,741*
7.56-12-10.000011133401460,781*
76-13-00.00004214530103,702
5-12-2Out0042145306,629*
6.55-13-1Out0110414924,080*
65-14-0Out004306538,679
4-13-2Out0428682,319*
5.54-14-1Out0120797,357*
54-15-0Out0118811,854*
4.53-15-1Out04961,755*
43-16-0Out03972,569*
3.52-16-1Out199273*
32-17-0Out199370*
1-2.5Out100584*
Total:52.4%15141310987765425,034,912

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/8100.0*Lottery seed
Indians 245.5 Tigers 323 -1.5
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 4/15100.0*Lottery seed
Tigers vs Royals-1.2+1.0+1.4
Twins vs Indians+0.0-0.1-0.0
Blue Jays vs Yankees+0.0-0.1-0.0
Red Sox vs Rays+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
19-20100
18.517-1-11000
1817-2-01000
17.516-2-1982
1716-3-09820
16.515-3-19370
1615-4-092800
15.514-4-17621300
1514-5-076222000
13-4-2463813300
14.513-5-144391430000
1413-6-042391530000
12-5-21330321861000
13.512-6-112303218610000
11-5-317182726155100
1312-7-011293119720010
11-6-2161727261651100
12.511-7-11515252617613000
10-6-3015152832162100
1211-8-014132324166111100
10-7-2014132529166420000
11.510-8-1001310212413131041000
9-7-3032148258742100
1110-9-0000261417102417720000
9-8-2002133339131384100000
10.59-9-100171841219181262000
8-8-3012600251117161263100
109-10-000039414222215831000
8-9-200120015131920169410000
9.58-10-10040015122022181051000
7-9-304001411192420115100
98-11-000200141120231912520000
7-10-202001410192421135100
8.57-11-10000139182422147200
87-12-00000138172423157200
6-11-2000141222292192
7.56-12-10001311222823102
76-13-00001310212924112
5-12-200312303718
6.55-13-1000311283720
65-14-000210273823
5.54-14-10183557
54-15-00173359
4.53-15-111386
43-16-0011485
3.52-16-1397
32-17-0397
2.51-17-1100
21-18-0397
1-1.5100
Total:987766556554443333222111