Colorado Rockies Playoff Chances 2018

Beat Dodgers 395-341.5, playoff odds up 16.7 to 50.1%

1-0-0 1.000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Rockies finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

18.5	-20						In		100												1,051	*
18		17	-	2	-	0	In		100	0											2,542	*
17	.5	16	-	2	-	1	In		100	0											1,609	*
17		16	-	3	-	0	In		99	0		0									13,153	*
16	.5	15	-	3	-	1	In		99	1		0									7,821	*
16		15	-	4	-	0	In		97	3	0	0									45,068
		14	-	3	-	2	In		98	2		0									2,127	*
15	.5	14	-	4	-	1	In		95	5	0	1									26,421	*
15		14	-	5	-	0	100.0	%	89	10	0	2	0								121,368
		13	-	4	-	2	In		89	10	0	1									7,226	*
14	.5	13	-	5	-	1	100.0		81	16	0	3	0								66,804	*
14		13	-	6	-	0	100.0		67	25	2	6	0								253,945
		12	-	5	-	2	100.0		68	25	2	6	0								16,632	*
13	.5	12	-	6	-	1	99.8		51	34	4	10	0	0							127,400
		11	-	5	-	3	99.8		52	33	3	11	0								2,568	*
13		12	-	7	-	0	98.9		32	40	10	17	1	0							421,990
		11	-	6	-	2	98.9		32	40	9	17	1	0							30,050	*
12	.5	11	-	7	-	1	96.5		16	39	17	24	3	0	0						195,600
		10	-	6	-	3	96.7		16	41	17	24	3	0							4,264	*
12		11	-	8	-	0	87.8		6	29	24	29	11	1	0	0					569,325
		10	-	7	-	2	88.3		6	29	24	29	11	1	0						42,296	*
11	.5	10	-	8	-	1	72.5		1	16	28	27	22	5	0	0					241,498
		9	-	7	-	3	72.6		1	16	28	28	22	5	0	0					5,326	*
11		10	-	9	-	0	48.3		0	6	25	17	30	17	4	0	0	0			620,481
		9	-	8	-	2	48.6		0	6	25	17	30	17	4	0	0	0			46,820	*
10	.5	9	-	9	-	1	25.2		0	1	17	7	26	31	15	3	0	0			239,784
		8	-	8	-	3	25.9			1	18	7	26	30	14	3	0	0			5,550	*
10		9	-	10	-	0	11.6			0	10	2	12	28	30	15	3	0	0		556,142
		8	-	9	-	2	11.4			0	10	2	12	29	30	15	3	0	0		42,271	*
9	.5	8	-	10	-	1	4.1			0	4	0	2	14	32	31	14	3	0	0	193,779
		7	-	9	-	3	4.3				4	0	3	13	31	32	14	3	0		4,422	*
9		8	-	11	-	0	1.6			0	2	0	0	4	16	32	30	13	3	0	406,773
		7	-	10	-	2	1.5			0	1	0	0	4	16	32	31	13	2	0	29,948	*
8	.5	7	-	11	-	1	0.4				0		0	0	4	18	36	30	10	1	125,347
		6	-	10	-	3	0.4				0			0	4	19	34	30	11	1	2,688	*
8		7	-	12	-	0	0.1				0		0	0	1	7	24	38	25	6	242,422
		6	-	11	-	2	0.1				0			0	1	6	23	38	26	6	17,072	*
7	.5	6	-	12	-	1	0.0				0			0	0	1	10	32	41	16	65,501
		5	-	11	-	3	Out									2	10	32	38	18	1,352	*
7		6	-	13	-	0	0.0				0				0	0	3	20	45	32	116,889
		5	-	12	-	2	Out									0	3	19	44	34	7,614	*
6	.5	5	-	13	-	1	Out									0	1	9	39	51	27,571	*
6		5	-	14	-	0	Out									0	0	4	29	68	44,671
		4	-	13	-	2	Out										0	3	28	68	2,573	*
5	.5	4	-	14	-	1	Out											1	17	82	8,656	*
5		4	-	15	-	0	Out											0	10	90	13,720	*
4	.5	3	-	15	-	1	Out												5	95	2,186	*
4		3	-	16	-	0	Out												2	98	3,181	*
3	.5	2	-	16	-	1	Out												1	99	331	*
1	-3						Out													100	1,084	*

Total:							50.1	%	14	13	12	11	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	3	5,034,912

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

19	-20						100
18	.5	17	-	1	-	1	99	1
18		17	-	2	-	0	100	0
17	.5	16	-	2	-	1	98	2
17		16	-	3	-	0	98	2
16	.5	15	-	3	-	1	93	7	0
16		15	-	4	-	0	92	8	0	0
15	.5	14	-	4	-	1	75	22	3	0	0
15		14	-	5	-	0	75	23	3	0	0				0
		13	-	4	-	2	43	40	15	3	0	0
14	.5	13	-	5	-	1	42	39	15	3	0	0			0
14		13	-	6	-	0	42	40	15	3	0	0	0		0
		12	-	5	-	2	12	31	32	18	6	1	0	0	0
13	.5	12	-	6	-	1	11	29	32	19	7	1	0	0	0	0
		11	-	5	-	3	1	6	18	26	26	17	6	1	0	0
13		12	-	7	-	0	10	28	31	20	7	2	0	0	1	0
		11	-	6	-	2	1	5	16	27	26	17	6	1	1	0	0
12	.5	11	-	7	-	1	1	5	15	25	26	17	7	1	3	0	0	0
		10	-	6	-	3		0	1	4	15	27	32	17	2	1	0	0
12		11	-	8	-	0	1	4	13	22	24	16	6	1	11	1	0	0
		10	-	7	-	2	0	0	1	4	13	25	29	16	5	4	2	0	0	0	0	0
11	.5	10	-	8	-	1	0	0	0	3	10	20	25	14	13	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
		9	-	7	-	3				0	0	3	21	49	1	5	8	6	5	2	1	0
11		10	-	9	-	0	0	0	0	2	6	13	17	10	24	18	8	2	0	0	0	0
		9	-	8	-	2				0	0	2	13	34	3	9	13	12	8	4	1	0	0	0	0
10	.5	9	-	9	-	1				0	0	1	6	18	4	12	19	19	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
		8	-	8	-	3							1	25		0	1	5	12	16	16	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
10		9	-	10	-	0				0	0	0	3	9	4	13	22	22	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
		8	-	9	-	2						0	0	11	0	0	1	5	12	19	21	16	9	4	1	0	0	0
9	.5	8	-	10	-	1						0	0	4	0	0	1	5	12	20	22	18	11	5	2	0	0	0	0
		7	-	9	-	3							0	4				0	0	1	4	10	19	22	21	12	5	1	0	0
9		8	-	11	-	0							0	2	0	0	1	4	11	19	23	19	12	6	2	0	0	0	0
		7	-	10	-	2								1				0	0	1	3	10	19	24	21	13	6	2	0	0
8	.5	7	-	11	-	1								0				0	0	1	3	9	18	24	22	14	6	2	0	0
		6	-	10	-	3								0							0	0	1	4	14	22	28	19	9	2
8		7	-	12	-	0								0				0	0	0	2	8	17	24	23	16	7	2	0	0
		6	-	11	-	2								0							0	0	1	4	12	23	28	21	9	2
7	.5	6	-	12	-	1								0							0	0	1	3	11	22	28	23	11	2
7		6	-	13	-	0								0							0	0	0	3	10	21	29	24	11	2
		5	-	12	-	2																		0	0	3	12	29	36	19
6	.5	5	-	13	-	1																		0	0	3	11	28	38	20
6		5	-	14	-	0																		0	0	2	10	28	38	22
		4	-	13	-	2																					1	8	34	56
5	.5	4	-	14	-	1																				0	1	8	33	58
5		4	-	15	-	0																				0	1	7	33	60
4	.5	3	-	15	-	1																					0	1	13	87
4		3	-	16	-	0																						1	13	86
3	.5	2	-	16	-	1																							3	97
3		2	-	17	-	0																							2	98
1	-2.5																													100

Total:							8	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	6	5	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1