Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Beat Yankees 417.5-401, playoff odds up 8.6 to 41.9%

1-0-0 1.000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

17.5	-20						In		100												896	*
17		16	-	3	-	0	In		100	0											2,150	*
16	.5	15	-	3	-	1	In		99	1		0									1,442	*
16		15	-	4	-	0	In		98	2		0									8,546
		14	-	3	-	2	In		99	1											405	*
15	.5	14	-	4	-	1	In		97	3		0									5,173	*
15		14	-	5	-	0	In		92	7	0	1									25,358
		13	-	4	-	2	In		92	7	0	1									1,569	*
14	.5	13	-	5	-	1	In		85	12	0	2									14,851	*
14		13	-	6	-	0	100.0	%	73	21	1	5	0								59,836
		12	-	5	-	2	99.9		74	21	1	4	0								3,941	*
13	.5	12	-	6	-	1	99.9		58	30	3	9	0								31,100
		11	-	5	-	3	99.7		60	27	3	9	0								644	*
13		12	-	7	-	0	99.2		38	38	7	15	1	0							109,958
		11	-	6	-	2	99.1		39	38	8	14	1								7,676	*
12	.5	11	-	7	-	1	97.1		21	40	14	22	3	0							53,637
		10	-	6	-	3	97.0		19	41	14	23	3								1,152	*
12		11	-	8	-	0	89.4		8	31	22	28	10	1	0						164,813
		10	-	7	-	2	90.2		8	32	22	28	9	1	0						12,211	*
11	.5	10	-	8	-	1	74.8		2	18	27	28	21	4	0	0					74,565
		9	-	7	-	3	75.1		2	17	28	29	21	3	0	0					1,667	*
11		10	-	9	-	0	50.4		0	7	25	18	29	16	4	0	0				201,033
		9	-	8	-	2	51.3		0	7	25	18	29	16	3	0	0				15,398	*
10	.5	9	-	9	-	1	25.9		0	1	17	7	26	30	14	3	0	0			81,994
		8	-	8	-	3	26.1			1	18	7	27	31	13	3	0				1,811	*
10		9	-	10	-	0	11.7			0	10	2	12	28	30	15	4	0	0		201,073
		8	-	9	-	2	11.3		0	0	9	2	11	28	30	15	3	0			15,399	*
9	.5	8	-	10	-	1	4.2			0	4	0	2	12	30	32	16	3	0	0	74,088
		7	-	9	-	3	3.7				4	0	2	13	30	32	16	3	0		1,670	*
9		8	-	11	-	0	1.6				2	0	0	3	14	30	31	16	3	0	165,497
		7	-	10	-	2	1.3				1	0	0	3	14	31	32	15	3	0	12,065	*
8	.5	7	-	11	-	1	0.3				0		0	0	3	15	34	33	13	2	53,486
		6	-	10	-	3	0.3				0			0	3	16	36	30	13	2	1,142	*
8		7	-	12	-	0	0.1				0			0	0	5	20	37	30	8	109,467	*
		6	-	11	-	2	0.1				0		0	0	1	5	20	37	30	8	7,652
7	.5	6	-	12	-	1	0.0				0				0	1	7	28	44	21	31,278
		5	-	11	-	3	Out									1	7	28	44	21	629	*
7		6	-	13	-	0	0.0				0				0	0	2	16	44	39	59,004
		5	-	12	-	2	Out									0	2	15	44	39	3,839	*
6	.5	5	-	13	-	1	Out									0	0	6	35	59	14,521
		4	-	12	-	3	Out											7	37	56	267	*
6		5	-	14	-	0	Out										0	2	24	73	25,325
		4	-	13	-	2	Out										0	2	22	76	1,554	*
5	.5	4	-	14	-	1	Out											0	14	86	5,246	*
5		4	-	15	-	0	Out											0	7	92	8,433
		3	-	14	-	2	Out											0	6	94	417	*
4	.5	3	-	15	-	1	Out												3	97	1,363	*
4		3	-	16	-	0	Out												1	99	2,202	*
3	.5	2	-	16	-	1	Out												2	98	254	*
1	-3						Out													100	607	*

Total:							41.9	%	12	11	10	9	9	8	8	8	7	7	6	5	1,678,304

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

18.5	-20						100
18		17	-	2	-	0	99	1
17	.5	16	-	2	-	1	99	1
17		16	-	3	-	0	99	1
16	.5	15	-	3	-	1	94	6	0
16		15	-	4	-	0	95	5	0
15	.5	14	-	4	-	1	83	16	1	0
15		14	-	5	-	0	82	16	1	0
		13	-	4	-	2	54	36	9	2	0
14	.5	13	-	5	-	1	53	35	10	2	0	0	0
14		13	-	6	-	0	52	36	10	2	0	0			0
		12	-	5	-	2	18	37	28	13	4	1		0	0
13	.5	12	-	6	-	1	17	34	30	14	4	1	0		0
		11	-	5	-	3	2	7	19	31	25	13	3	0	0
13		12	-	7	-	0	16	33	30	15	4	1	0	0	1	0
		11	-	6	-	2	1	8	21	28	24	13	4	1	1	0
12	.5	11	-	7	-	1	1	8	19	27	24	13	5	1	3	0	0
		10	-	6	-	3		0	1	6	19	28	30	14	2	1	0	0
12		11	-	8	-	0	1	6	17	25	23	13	4	1	9	1	0	0
		10	-	7	-	2	0	0	1	5	16	27	28	13	5	3	1	0	0	0	0
11	.5	10	-	8	-	1	0	0	1	4	12	22	23	12	11	9	4	1	0	0
		9	-	7	-	3					0	5	22	47	2	5	6	6	4	1	1	0
11		10	-	9	-	0	0	0	1	3	8	15	16	9	22	17	8	2	0	0	0
		9	-	8	-	2				0	0	3	15	34	2	7	11	12	9	5	2	1	0	0
10	.5	9	-	9	-	1				0	0	1	7	18	3	11	17	18	13	8	3	1	0	0
		8	-	8	-	3						0	1	25	0	0	1	4	9	14	17	13	8	5	2	0
10		9	-	10	-	0				0	0	0	3	8	4	12	19	21	17	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
		8	-	9	-	2							0	11		0	1	4	9	16	19	18	12	7	3	1	0	0	0
9	.5	8	-	10	-	1						0	0	4		0	1	3	9	16	20	20	15	8	3	1	0	0
		7	-	9	-	3								4					0	1	2	7	13	23	20	17	9	3	1	0
9		8	-	11	-	0							0	2	0	0	1	3	8	15	20	21	16	9	4	1	0	0	0
		7	-	10	-	2								1					0	0	2	5	13	21	24	18	11	4	1	0
8	.5	7	-	11	-	1								0				0	0	0	1	5	12	20	24	20	12	5	1	0
		6	-	10	-	3								0									0	2	8	18	27	26	14	5
8		7	-	12	-	0								0					0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1	0
		6	-	11	-	2								0								0	0	1	7	16	27	28	17	5
7	.5	6	-	12	-	1								0							0	0	0	1	5	14	26	29	18	5
		5	-	11	-	3																			0	0	6	24	41	29
7		6	-	13	-	0								0								0	0	1	5	14	26	29	20	6
		5	-	12	-	2																			0	1	6	22	39	31
6	.5	5	-	13	-	1																		0	0	1	6	21	40	33
6		5	-	14	-	0																			0	1	5	20	40	34
		4	-	13	-	2																					1	4	26	69
5	.5	4	-	14	-	1																					0	3	27	70
5		4	-	15	-	0																				0	0	3	24	73
4	.5	3	-	15	-	1																						0	9	91
4		3	-	16	-	0																						0	7	93
3	.5	2	-	16	-	1																							3	97
3		2	-	17	-	0																							1	99
1	-2.5																													100

Total:							6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	2