Tampa Bay Rays Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Lost to Blue Jays 252-505.5, playoff odds down 8.6 to 24.7%

0-1-0 .000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

17.5	-19						In		100												243	*
17		17	-	2	-	0	In		100	0											382	*
16	.5	16	-	2	-	1	In		100	0											286	*
16		16	-	3	-	0	In		98	1		0									2,283	*
15	.5	15	-	3	-	1	In		96	3		1									1,410	*
15		15	-	4	-	0	In		93	6	0	1									8,368
		14	-	3	-	2	In		93	5		2									447	*
14	.5	14	-	4	-	1	In		86	11	0	3									5,307	*
14		14	-	5	-	0	100.0	%	74	19	1	7	0								25,301
		13	-	4	-	2	In		75	19	1	5									1,499	*
13	.5	13	-	5	-	1	99.8		59	27	2	11	0								14,529	*
13		13	-	6	-	0	98.9		38	35	6	20	1	0							58,582
		12	-	5	-	2	98.7		40	35	6	18	1								3,832	*
12	.5	12	-	6	-	1	96.4		20	37	12	27	3	0	0						31,227
		11	-	5	-	3	96.4		20	38	11	27	3	1							615	*
12		12	-	7	-	0	87.4		8	29	18	33	11	1	0						110,080
		11	-	6	-	2	87.9		8	28	19	33	11	1	0						7,721	*
11	.5	11	-	7	-	1	72.0		2	16	23	31	23	5	0	0					53,899
		10	-	6	-	3	71.8		1	18	22	31	22	5	0	0					1,175	*
11		11	-	8	-	0	45.3		0	6	19	20	32	18	4	0	0	0			164,899
		10	-	7	-	2	45.8		0	6	20	19	32	17	4	0	0				12,135	*
10	.5	10	-	8	-	1	22.0		0	1	14	7	27	32	15	3	0	0			73,827
		9	-	7	-	3	22.1			1	13	7	26	33	15	3	0				1,777	*
10		10	-	9	-	0	8.7			0	7	2	12	28	31	16	4	0	0		201,668
		9	-	8	-	2	8.5			0	7	2	12	28	31	16	4	0	0		15,247	*
9	.5	9	-	9	-	1	2.7			0	3	0	2	12	30	33	16	4	0	0	82,094
		8	-	8	-	3	2.8				3	0	2	12	32	31	16	4	1		1,831	*
9		9	-	10	-	0	0.9			0	1	0	0	3	14	30	32	16	4	0	201,504
		8	-	9	-	2	0.9				1		0	3	14	30	32	17	4	0	15,493	*
8	.5	8	-	10	-	1	0.2				0		0	0	3	15	34	33	13	2	73,757
		7	-	9	-	3	Out							0	3	14	34	33	14	2	1,666	*
8		8	-	11	-	0	0.0				0		0	0	1	5	20	37	30	8	165,066
		7	-	10	-	2	0.0				0			0	0	4	20	37	30	8	12,141	*
7	.5	7	-	11	-	1	0.0				0				0	1	7	28	44	21	54,186
		6	-	10	-	3	Out									1	7	30	43	19	1,193	*
7		7	-	12	-	0	Out								0	0	2	16	44	38	109,793
		6	-	11	-	2	Out									0	2	15	43	40	7,765	*
6	.5	6	-	12	-	1	Out									0	0	6	35	58	31,421
		5	-	11	-	3	Out										1	5	37	58	651	*
6		6	-	13	-	0	Out										0	2	25	73	59,149
		5	-	12	-	2	Out										0	2	25	73	3,961	*
5	.5	5	-	13	-	1	Out											0	14	86	14,590	*
5		5	-	14	-	0	Out										0	0	8	92	25,290
		4	-	13	-	2	Out											0	7	93	1,520	*
4	.5	4	-	14	-	1	Out											0	4	96	5,402	*
4		4	-	15	-	0	Out												2	98	8,273
		3	-	14	-	2	Out												1	99	400	*
3	.5	3	-	15	-	1	Out												0	100	1,363	*
3		3	-	16	-	0	Out												0	100	2,146	*
0	-2.5						Out													100	910	*

Total:							24.7	%	5	6	6	7	8	8	9	9	9	10	11	11	1,678,304

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

18	-19						100
17	.5	17	-	1	-	1	96	4
17		17	-	2	-	0	98	2
16	.5	16	-	2	-	1	95	5
16		16	-	3	-	0	95	5	0
15	.5	15	-	3	-	1	79	19	2	0
15		15	-	4	-	0	78	20	2	0
14	.5	14	-	4	-	1	48	37	12	2	0	0
14		14	-	5	-	0	48	38	12	2	0	0			0
		13	-	4	-	2	14	34	29	17	4	1	0
13	.5	13	-	5	-	1	13	30	31	17	6	1	0	0	0	0
13		13	-	6	-	0	12	30	32	18	6	1	0	0	1	0
		12	-	5	-	2	1	6	16	24	28	17	7	1	1	0	0
12	.5	12	-	6	-	1	1	5	15	25	26	18	7	1	3	1	0	0
12		12	-	7	-	0	1	4	13	22	24	16	6	1	11	2	0	0
		11	-	6	-	2		0	1	4	11	23	31	18	4	5	2	1	0	0	0		0
11	.5	11	-	7	-	1		0	0	3	9	19	25	16	10	10	5	2	0	0
		10	-	6	-	3				0	0	3	19	50	1	3	6	6	6	4	2	0
11		11	-	8	-	0		0	0	2	5	12	16	10	20	20	11	4	1	0	0	0
		10	-	7	-	2				0	0	2	11	33	2	5	11	13	11	8	3	1	0	0	0
10	.5	10	-	8	-	1				0	0	1	5	16	2	7	14	18	17	11	5	2	0	0	0
		9	-	7	-	3						0	1	21		0	1	2	5	11	15	17	15	8	3	1	0
10		10	-	9	-	0				0	0	0	2	7	2	8	16	21	20	14	7	3	1	0	0
		9	-	8	-	2						0	0	8		0	0	2	6	12	18	20	16	11	5	1	0	0	0
9	.5	9	-	9	-	1						0	0	3	0	0	0	2	6	12	18	21	19	12	6	2	0	0	0	0
		8	-	8	-	3								3						0	1	3	10	18	22	22	14	5	2	0
9		9	-	10	-	0							0	1	0	0	0	2	5	11	18	21	20	14	7	2	0	0	0
		8	-	9	-	2								1					0	0	1	4	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	0
8	.5	8	-	10	-	1								0					0	0	1	3	9	17	23	23	16	7	2	0
		7	-	9	-	3																	0	1	5	13	25	28	21	7
8		8	-	11	-	0								0				0	0	0	1	3	8	15	23	24	17	8	2	0
		7	-	10	-	2								0									0	1	4	13	23	30	21	7
7	.5	7	-	11	-	1								0								0	0	1	4	12	24	31	22	7
		6	-	10	-	3																			0	1	6	18	40	35
7		7	-	12	-	0																0	0	1	3	11	23	31	24	8
		6	-	11	-	2																			0	1	5	19	39	37
6	.5	6	-	12	-	1																		0	0	1	4	18	40	38
		5	-	11	-	3																					0	4	27	69
6		6	-	13	-	0																		0	0	1	4	17	40	39
		5	-	12	-	2																					0	3	24	72
5	.5	5	-	13	-	1																				0	0	3	23	74
5		5	-	14	-	0																					0	3	22	75
		4	-	13	-	2																						0	9	91
4	.5	4	-	14	-	1																						0	7	93
4		4	-	15	-	0																						0	7	93
3	.5	3	-	15	-	1																							2	98
3		3	-	16	-	0																							1	99
2	.5	2	-	16	-	1																								100
2		2	-	17	-	0																							0	100
0	-1.5																													100

Total:							2	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	6	6	6