Texas Rangers Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Beat Mariners 386-271, playoff odds up 8.6 to 42%

1-0-0 1.000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Rangers finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

17.5	-20						In		100												896	*
17		16	-	3	-	0	In		100	0											2,302	*
16	.5	15	-	3	-	1	In		99	1											1,373	*
16		15	-	4	-	0	In		98	2		0									8,908	*
15	.5	14	-	4	-	1	In		97	3		0									5,327	*
15		14	-	5	-	0	In		92	7	0	1									25,321
		13	-	4	-	2	In		93	6	0	1									1,546	*
14	.5	13	-	5	-	1	In		86	12	0	2									15,151	*
14		13	-	6	-	0	100.0	%	73	21	1	5	0								59,451
		12	-	5	-	2	100.0		74	20	1	5	0								3,850	*
13	.5	12	-	6	-	1	99.9		58	30	3	9	0								31,409
		11	-	5	-	3	99.7		58	29	3	9	0								626	*
13		12	-	7	-	0	99.2		38	39	7	15	1	0							109,834
		11	-	6	-	2	99.3		39	39	7	14	1								7,829	*
12	.5	11	-	7	-	1	97.2		21	40	14	22	3	0							53,620
		10	-	6	-	3	95.9		20	41	13	22	4	0							1,247	*
12		11	-	8	-	0	89.5		8	32	22	28	9	1	0	0					164,186
		10	-	7	-	2	90.8		9	32	22	28	8	1	0						12,120	*
11	.5	10	-	8	-	1	75.2		2	18	27	28	20	4	0	0					74,001
		9	-	7	-	3	74.8		2	19	27	27	20	5	0						1,665	*
11		10	-	9	-	0	50.5		0	7	25	18	29	16	4	0	0				201,720
		9	-	8	-	2	50.9		0	7	26	18	30	15	4	0	0				15,247	*
10	.5	9	-	9	-	1	26.0		0	2	17	7	26	30	14	3	0	0			81,976
		8	-	8	-	3	27.2			1	19	7	26	29	15	2	0				1,854	*
10		9	-	10	-	0	11.8			0	10	2	11	27	30	15	4	0	0		201,206
		8	-	9	-	2	12.0			0	10	1	11	28	30	15	4	0			15,160	*
9	.5	8	-	10	-	1	4.2			0	4	0	2	12	30	32	16	3	0	0	73,924
		7	-	9	-	3	4.4				4	0	2	14	29	31	16	3	0		1,628	*
9		8	-	11	-	0	1.6			0	2	0	0	3	14	30	31	16	3	0	165,331
		7	-	10	-	2	1.4				1	0	0	3	14	30	32	16	3	0	12,133	*
8	.5	7	-	11	-	1	0.4				0		0	0	3	16	33	33	13	2	53,495
		6	-	10	-	3	0.3				0			0	3	15	35	31	13	2	1,130	*
8		7	-	12	-	0	0.1				0			0	1	5	20	37	30	8	109,907
		6	-	11	-	2	Out								0	4	20	39	29	8	7,651	*
7	.5	6	-	12	-	1	0.0				0			0	0	1	7	28	44	21	31,338
		5	-	11	-	3	Out								0	1	7	29	39	24	677	*
7		6	-	13	-	0	Out									0	2	16	43	39	59,014
		5	-	12	-	2	Out									0	2	15	44	39	3,863	*
6	.5	5	-	13	-	1	Out									0	0	6	35	58	14,794	*
6		5	-	14	-	0	Out										0	2	24	73	25,329
		4	-	13	-	2	Out											2	25	73	1,522	*
5	.5	4	-	14	-	1	Out											0	14	86	5,264	*
5		4	-	15	-	0	Out											0	7	92	8,452
		3	-	14	-	2	Out											0	7	93	429	*
4	.5	3	-	15	-	1	Out												4	96	1,389	*
4		3	-	16	-	0	Out												2	98	2,268	*
3	.5	2	-	16	-	1	Out												1	99	295	*
3		2	-	17	-	0	Out												0	100	395	*
2	.5	1	-	17	-	1	Out												4	96	27
1	-2						Out													100	224	*

Total:							42.0	%	11	11	10	9	9	8	8	8	7	7	6	5	1,678,304

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

18.5	-20						100
18		17	-	2	-	0	100	0
17	.5	16	-	2	-	1	100
17		16	-	3	-	0	99	1
16	.5	15	-	3	-	1	95	5	0
16		15	-	4	-	0	95	5	0	0
15	.5	14	-	4	-	1	83	15	1	0
15		14	-	5	-	0	82	16	1	0
		13	-	4	-	2	54	35	10	1	0
14	.5	13	-	5	-	1	53	35	10	2	0	0
14		13	-	6	-	0	53	36	10	1	0	0	0		0
		12	-	5	-	2	19	35	28	13	4	0	0	0	0
13	.5	12	-	6	-	1	17	34	29	15	4	1	0	0	0	0
13		12	-	7	-	0	16	33	30	15	4	1	0	0	1	0
		11	-	6	-	2	1	9	20	29	24	13	4	0	1	0	0
12	.5	11	-	7	-	1	1	8	19	27	24	14	4	1	3	0	0
		10	-	6	-	3		0	1	7	18	28	30	12	2	1	1		0
12		11	-	8	-	0	1	7	17	25	22	13	4	1	9	1	0	0
		10	-	7	-	2	0	0	1	5	15	27	29	14	4	3	2	0	0	0
11	.5	10	-	8	-	1	0	0	1	4	12	22	24	12	11	9	4	1	0	0	0
		9	-	7	-	3					1	5	22	47	1	4	7	6	3	2	1	0
11		10	-	9	-	0	0	0	1	3	8	15	16	9	23	17	7	2	0	0	0
		9	-	8	-	2					0	2	14	34	2	8	11	12	9	5	2	1	0	0	0
10	.5	9	-	9	-	1				0	0	1	7	18	3	11	17	18	14	8	3	1	0	0	0
		8	-	8	-	3							1	26		0	1	4	9	13	15	14	10	5	2	0		0
10		9	-	10	-	0				0	0	0	3	8	3	12	19	21	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
		8	-	9	-	2						0	1	11		0	1	4	9	16	19	17	12	6	3	1	0	0
9	.5	8	-	10	-	1							0	4	0	0	1	3	9	16	20	20	14	8	3	1	0	0
		7	-	9	-	3							0	4					0	1	2	6	14	22	22	16	10	3	0	0
9		8	-	11	-	0							0	2	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	21	16	9	4	1	0	0	0
		7	-	10	-	2								1					0	0	2	5	13	20	23	19	11	4	1	0
8	.5	7	-	11	-	1								0					0	0	1	5	12	20	24	20	12	4	1	0
		6	-	10	-	3								0									0	2	6	16	26	28	17	4
8		7	-	12	-	0								0				0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1	0
		6	-	11	-	2																0	0	2	6	16	27	28	16	5
7	.5	6	-	12	-	1								0								0	0	1	6	15	26	29	18	5
		5	-	11	-	3																			0	1	6	24	39	29
7		6	-	13	-	0															0	0	0	1	5	14	25	30	20	6
		5	-	12	-	2																			0	1	6	22	39	31
6	.5	5	-	13	-	1																	0		0	1	6	20	40	33
6		5	-	14	-	0																		0	0	1	5	20	40	34
		4	-	13	-	2																				0	0	4	28	68
5	.5	4	-	14	-	1																				0	0	4	26	70
5		4	-	15	-	0																				0	0	4	24	72
4	.5	3	-	15	-	1																						0	9	91
4		3	-	16	-	0																						0	8	92
3	.5	2	-	16	-	1																							2	98
3		2	-	17	-	0																							3	97
2	.5	1	-	17	-	1																							4	96
1	-2																													100

Total:							6	6	5	5	5	5	5	4	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	2