Texas Rangers Playoff Chances 2018

Beat Mariners 386-271, playoff odds up 19.6 to 52.9%

1-0-0 1.000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Rangers finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

18.5	-20						In		100												1,264	*
18		17	-	2	-	0	In		100	0											3,271	*
17	.5	16	-	2	-	1	In		100	0											2,056	*
17		16	-	3	-	0	In		99	0		0									16,324	*
16	.5	15	-	3	-	1	In		99	1		0									9,738	*
16		15	-	4	-	0	In		97	3	0	0									54,095
		14	-	3	-	2	In		98	2		0									2,767	*
15	.5	14	-	4	-	1	In		94	5	0	1									31,334	*
15		14	-	5	-	0	100.0	%	88	10	0	2	0								139,981
		13	-	4	-	2	In		88	10	0	1									8,201	*
14	.5	13	-	5	-	1	100.0		79	17	1	3	0								76,297	*
14		13	-	6	-	0	99.9		65	26	2	7	0								282,889
		12	-	5	-	2	100.0		66	26	2	7	0								18,631	*
13	.5	12	-	6	-	1	99.8		49	35	5	11	0								139,691
		11	-	5	-	3	99.5		49	35	5	11	0								2,747	*
13		12	-	7	-	0	98.8		30	40	10	19	1	0	0						454,842
		11	-	6	-	2	99.0		31	40	10	18	1	0							32,129	*
12	.5	11	-	7	-	1	96.2		15	38	18	25	4	0	0						206,629
		10	-	6	-	3	96.5		14	39	18	25	3	0							4,406	*
12		11	-	8	-	0	87.3		5	27	25	29	11	1	0	0					588,244
		10	-	7	-	2	87.8		5	28	25	30	11	1	0						43,762	*
11	.5	10	-	8	-	1	71.8		1	15	28	28	22	5	0	0	0				246,114
		9	-	7	-	3	72.8		1	15	30	27	22	5	0						5,562	*
11		10	-	9	-	0	47.7		0	5	25	17	30	17	4	0	0	0			617,761
		9	-	8	-	2	48.3		0	6	25	18	30	17	4	0	0				47,060	*
10	.5	9	-	9	-	1	24.9		0	1	17	7	26	31	15	3	0	0			235,046
		8	-	8	-	3	24.9			1	17	7	26	31	15	3	0	0			5,314	*
10		9	-	10	-	0	11.5		0	0	10	2	12	29	30	15	3	0	0	0	533,331
		8	-	9	-	2	11.6			0	10	2	12	29	30	14	3	0	0		40,411	*
9	.5	8	-	10	-	1	4.1			0	4	0	2	14	32	31	13	2	0	0	181,923
		7	-	9	-	3	3.7				4	0	2	14	33	31	14	2	0		4,013	*
9		8	-	11	-	0	1.7			0	2	0	0	4	17	32	29	13	2	0	374,629
		7	-	10	-	2	1.6				2	0	0	4	17	33	30	13	2	0	27,677	*
8	.5	7	-	11	-	1	0.4				0	0	0	0	5	20	36	29	9	1	114,577
		6	-	10	-	3	0.2				0			0	5	19	36	29	9	1	2,456	*
8		7	-	12	-	0	0.1				0		0	0	1	8	25	37	24	5	215,275
		6	-	11	-	2	0.1				0			0	1	7	24	38	25	6	14,971	*
7	.5	6	-	12	-	1	0.0				0			0	0	1	11	33	39	15	58,182	*
7		6	-	13	-	0	0.0				0				0	0	4	21	45	30	99,602
		5	-	12	-	2	Out									0	4	20	45	31	6,640	*
6	.5	5	-	13	-	1	Out									0	1	10	40	49	23,281	*
6		5	-	14	-	0	Out									0	0	4	30	66	36,447
		4	-	13	-	2	Out										0	4	28	68	2,087	*
5	.5	4	-	14	-	1	Out										0	1	19	80	7,021	*
5		4	-	15	-	0	Out											0	11	89	11,064	*
4	.5	3	-	15	-	1	Out											0	6	94	1,642	*
4		3	-	16	-	0	Out												3	97	2,311	*
3	.5	2	-	16	-	1	Out													100	288	*
3		2	-	17	-	0	Out												1	99	352	*
1	-2.5						Out													100	577	*

Total:							52.9	%	16	14	12	12	10	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	5,034,912

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

18.5	-20						100
18		17	-	2	-	0	100	0
17	.5	16	-	2	-	1	99	1
17		16	-	3	-	0	98	2	0
16	.5	15	-	3	-	1	93	6	0	0
16		15	-	4	-	0	93	7	0	0
		14	-	3	-	2	78	19	2	0
15	.5	14	-	4	-	1	77	21	2	0	0
15		14	-	5	-	0	76	21	2	0	0	0			0
		13	-	4	-	2	46	38	13	2	0	0
14	.5	13	-	5	-	1	44	39	14	3	0	0	0		0
14		13	-	6	-	0	43	39	15	3	0	0	0		0
		12	-	5	-	2	13	31	32	17	6	1	0	0	0
13	.5	12	-	6	-	1	12	30	32	18	6	1	0	0	0	0
		11	-	5	-	3	1	6	19	27	26	14	5	1	0	0
13		12	-	7	-	0	11	29	31	19	7	1	0	0	1	0	0
		11	-	6	-	2	1	6	17	27	26	16	6	1	1	0	0
12	.5	11	-	7	-	1	1	5	16	25	26	16	6	1	3	0	0	0
		10	-	6	-	3	0	0	1	4	16	29	31	15	2	1	0	0
12		11	-	8	-	0	1	4	14	23	24	15	6	1	11	1	0	0
		10	-	7	-	2		0	1	4	13	25	29	15	6	4	2	0	0	0
11	.5	10	-	8	-	1	0	0	1	3	10	21	24	13	13	10	4	1	0	0	0
		9	-	7	-	3					0	4	20	49	2	5	7	7	4	2	0	0	0	0
11		10	-	9	-	0	0	0	0	2	6	14	16	9	25	18	7	2	0	0	0	0
		9	-	8	-	2				0	0	2	13	33	3	9	14	12	8	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	.5	9	-	9	-	1				0	0	1	6	17	4	13	19	19	12	6	2	0	0	0
		8	-	8	-	3						0	1	24		0	1	5	12	17	17	13	6	3	1	0
10		9	-	10	-	0				0	0	0	3	8	4	14	22	22	15	7	3	1	0	0	0
		8	-	9	-	2						0	0	11	0	0	1	5	13	19	21	15	8	4	1	0	0	0	0
9	.5	8	-	10	-	1						0	0	4	0	0	1	5	12	20	22	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
		7	-	9	-	3								4					0	1	4	11	20	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
9		8	-	11	-	0						0	0	2	0	0	1	4	12	20	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
		7	-	10	-	2							0	2			0	0	0	1	4	10	19	24	21	13	5	1	0	0
8	.5	7	-	11	-	1								0				0	0	1	3	9	18	24	22	14	6	2	0	0
		6	-	10	-	3								0								0	1	5	15	23	27	19	7	1
8		7	-	12	-	0								0				0	0	1	3	8	17	24	23	15	7	2	0	0
		6	-	11	-	2								0							0	0	1	4	12	23	28	21	9	2
7	.5	6	-	12	-	1								0							0	0	1	3	11	22	28	23	10	2
7		6	-	13	-	0								0							0	0	1	3	10	21	29	24	11	2
		5	-	12	-	2																		0	0	3	12	29	37	19
6	.5	5	-	13	-	1																		0	0	3	11	28	37	20
6		5	-	14	-	0																		0	0	2	10	28	38	21
		4	-	13	-	2																				0	1	8	33	57
5	.5	4	-	14	-	1																			0	0	1	8	35	57
5		4	-	15	-	0																				0	1	7	33	59
4	.5	3	-	15	-	1																						1	16	82
4		3	-	16	-	0																						1	14	86
3	.5	2	-	16	-	1																							2	98
3		2	-	17	-	0																							5	95
1	-2.5																													100

Total:							9	8	7	7	6	6	5	5	6	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1