Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Beat Brewers 431-271.5, playoff odds up 8.6 to 41.9%

1-0-0 1.000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

17.5	-20						In		100												848	*
17		16	-	3	-	0	In		100	0											2,234	*
16	.5	15	-	3	-	1	In		100	0		0									1,383	*
16		15	-	4	-	0	In		98	2		0									8,327
		14	-	3	-	2	In		99	1											427	*
15	.5	14	-	4	-	1	In		97	3	0	0									5,189	*
15		14	-	5	-	0	In		92	7	0	1									25,260
		13	-	4	-	2	In		93	7		1									1,500	*
14	.5	13	-	5	-	1	In		86	12	0	2									14,839	*
14		13	-	6	-	0	100.0	%	73	21	1	5	0								59,047
		12	-	5	-	2	In		74	21	1	4									3,915	*
13	.5	12	-	6	-	1	99.9		59	30	3	8	0								31,246
		11	-	5	-	3	In		55	31	3	11									621	*
13		12	-	7	-	0	99.2		38	38	7	15	1	0							110,034
		11	-	6	-	2	99.3		39	38	8	14	1								7,822	*
12	.5	11	-	7	-	1	97.3		21	40	14	23	3	0							54,032
		10	-	6	-	3	97.9		21	40	13	24	2	0							1,121	*
12		11	-	8	-	0	89.5		8	31	22	28	9	1	0	0					164,823
		10	-	7	-	2	90.3		8	32	22	28	9	1	0						12,336	*
11	.5	10	-	8	-	1	75.0		2	18	27	28	20	4	0	0	0				74,347
		9	-	7	-	3	74.7		2	18	26	28	21	4	0						1,607	*
11		10	-	9	-	0	50.3		0	7	25	18	29	16	4	0	0	0			201,017
		9	-	8	-	2	50.3		0	7	25	18	29	16	4	0	0				15,253	*
10	.5	9	-	9	-	1	25.9		0	1	18	7	26	30	14	3	0	0			81,511
		8	-	8	-	3	26.3			1	18	7	26	31	14	2	0				1,868	*
10		9	-	10	-	0	11.8			0	10	2	11	28	30	15	4	0	0		201,550
		8	-	9	-	2	11.7			0	10	2	12	28	29	15	4	0	0		15,505	*
9	.5	8	-	10	-	1	4.1			0	4	0	2	13	30	32	15	3	0	0	74,155
		7	-	9	-	3	3.7				3	0	2	13	29	34	15	4	0		1,631	*
9		8	-	11	-	0	1.6			0	2	0	0	3	14	30	31	16	3	0	164,867
		7	-	10	-	2	1.5				1	0	0	3	13	30	32	16	4	0	12,014	*
8	.5	7	-	11	-	1	0.3				0		0	0	3	15	33	33	13	2	53,715
		6	-	10	-	3	0.3				0			0	2	15	32	33	15	2	1,167	*
8		7	-	12	-	0	0.1				0		0	0	1	5	20	37	29	8	110,031
		6	-	11	-	2	0.1				0			0	1	5	20	37	29	8	7,827	*
7	.5	6	-	12	-	1	0.0				0			0	0	1	7	28	43	20	31,411
		5	-	11	-	3	Out									2	5	28	46	20	593	*
7		6	-	13	-	0	Out									0	2	16	43	39	59,305	*
		5	-	12	-	2	Out								0	0	2	14	43	40	3,662
6	.5	5	-	13	-	1	Out										0	6	35	58	14,684	*
6		5	-	14	-	0	Out										0	2	24	74	25,453
		4	-	13	-	2	Out											2	23	75	1,518	*
5	.5	4	-	14	-	1	Out											0	13	86	5,199	*
5		4	-	15	-	0	Out											0	8	92	8,570
		3	-	14	-	2	Out											0	8	91	469	*
4	.5	3	-	15	-	1	Out												4	96	1,319	*
4		3	-	16	-	0	Out												1	99	2,138	*
3	.5	2	-	16	-	1	Out												0	100	266	*
3		2	-	17	-	0	Out												0	100	392	*
1	-2.5						Out													100	256	*

Total:							41.9	%	11	11	10	9	9	8	8	8	7	7	6	5	1,678,304

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

18.5	-20						100
18		17	-	2	-	0	100	0
17	.5	16	-	2	-	1	98	2
17		16	-	3	-	0	99	1
16	.5	15	-	3	-	1	96	4
16		15	-	4	-	0	94	5	0	0
15	.5	14	-	4	-	1	83	16	1	0
15		14	-	5	-	0	83	16	1	0	0
		13	-	4	-	2	57	34	8	1	0
14	.5	13	-	5	-	1	53	36	10	1	0	0	0
14		13	-	6	-	0	52	36	10	1	0	0			0
		12	-	5	-	2	18	35	30	13	4	0	0	0
13	.5	12	-	6	-	1	17	34	30	14	4	1	0	0	0
		11	-	5	-	3	2	9	21	30	22	12	4	1
13		12	-	7	-	0	16	33	30	15	5	1	0	0	1	0
		11	-	6	-	2	1	8	20	28	24	13	5	1	1	0	0
12	.5	11	-	7	-	1	1	8	19	27	24	13	4	1	2	0	0
		10	-	6	-	3		0	1	7	16	32	29	13	1	1	0
12		11	-	8	-	0	1	6	17	25	22	13	4	1	9	1	0	0
		10	-	7	-	2	0	0	1	6	16	27	28	12	5	3	1	0	0
11	.5	10	-	8	-	1	0	0	1	4	12	22	24	12	11	9	4	1	0	0
		9	-	7	-	3					1	4	23	47	2	4	6	7	4	2	0		0
11		10	-	9	-	0	0	0	1	3	8	15	16	9	23	17	7	2	0	0	0
		9	-	8	-	2			0	0	0	2	14	33	2	8	11	12	9	5	2	1	0	0	0
10	.5	9	-	9	-	1				0	0	1	7	17	3	11	17	18	13	8	3	1	0	0	0
		8	-	8	-	3						0	1	25		0	1	3	8	14	17	13	9	5	1	1	0
10		9	-	10	-	0				0	0	0	3	8	4	12	19	21	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
		8	-	9	-	2							0	11	0	0	1	3	9	15	19	18	12	7	3	1	0	0	0
9	.5	8	-	10	-	1							0	4	0	0	1	3	9	16	21	20	15	8	3	1	0	0
		7	-	9	-	3								4					0	0	2	5	15	19	23	18	10	3	1	0
9		8	-	11	-	0							0	2	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	21	16	9	4	1	0	0
		7	-	10	-	2							0	1					0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	4	1	0
8	.5	7	-	11	-	1								0				0	0	0	1	5	12	20	24	20	12	5	1	0
		6	-	10	-	3								0									0	3	7	19	27	25	16	4
8		7	-	12	-	0							0	0			0		0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1	0
		6	-	11	-	2								0								0	0	1	6	16	26	28	17	5
7	.5	6	-	12	-	1								0								0	0	1	6	15	26	29	18	5
		5	-	11	-	3																				1	8	23	39	29
7		6	-	13	-	0															0	0	0	1	5	14	26	30	19	5
		5	-	12	-	2																			0	1	7	22	40	31
6	.5	5	-	13	-	1																		0	0	1	6	21	40	32
6		5	-	14	-	0																		0	0	1	5	20	40	34
		4	-	13	-	2																				0	1	3	26	71
5	.5	4	-	14	-	1																					0	4	25	71
5		4	-	15	-	0																					0	3	25	72
4	.5	3	-	15	-	1																						0	8	91
4		3	-	16	-	0																						0	8	92
3	.5	2	-	16	-	1																							2	98
3		2	-	17	-	0																						0	3	97
1	-2.5																													100

Total:							6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	2