Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances 2018Beat Braves 311.5-304, playoff odds up 9.9 to 43.2% 1-0-0 1.000 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 4/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Phillies 311.5 Braves 304 | +8.6 | | +0.8 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 4/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Phillies vs Mets | +9.9*-0.3-10.0 | | +0.7+0.0-0.8 | | Nationals vs Braves | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18.5 | -20 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 780 | * | 18 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 1,331 | * | 17 | .5 | 16 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 965 | * | 17 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 7,569 | * | 16 | .5 | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 99 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | 4,728 | * | 16 | | 15 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | 97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 30,351 | * | 15 | .5 | 14 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 94 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 17,637 | * | 15 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 0 | In | 88 | 11 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 84,103 | | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | 89 | 10 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 4,845 | * | 14 | .5 | 13 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 80 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 48,028 | * | 14 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 100.0 | | 65 | 27 | 2 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | 191,669 | | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 100.0 | | 66 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | 12,592 | * | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 99.8 | | 50 | 37 | 5 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | 100,798 | | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 99.8 | | 52 | 36 | 5 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | 2,049 | * | 13 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 98.9 | | 31 | 42 | 11 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 348,208 | | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 99.2 | | 32 | 42 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 24,445 | * | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 96.6 | | 16 | 40 | 19 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 168,570 | | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 96.7 | | 15 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 3,522 | * | 12 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 88.2 | | 6 | 29 | 27 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 510,719 | | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 88.7 | | 6 | 30 | 27 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 37,912 | * | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 72.9 | | 1 | 16 | 31 | 25 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 227,419 | | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 73.6 | | 1 | 16 | 31 | 25 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 5,019 | * | 11 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 48.8 | | 0 | 6 | 27 | 16 | 29 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 611,557 | | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 2 | 49.2 | | 0 | 6 | 27 | 16 | 29 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | 46,442 | * | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 25.6 | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 25 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 246,375 | | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 3 | 25.6 | | | 1 | 18 | 6 | 25 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 0 | | | | 5,687 | * | 10 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 11.9 | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 597,205 | | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 2 | 11.6 | | | 0 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 28 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 45,077 | * | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 4.3 | | | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 31 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 216,009 | | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 3 | 4.0 | | | | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 33 | 14 | 3 | 0 | | 4,841 | * | 9 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 1.6 | | | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 477,522 | | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 2 | 1.6 | | | | 2 | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 32 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 35,413 | * | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 0.4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 154,175 | | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 3 | 0.6 | | | | 1 | | | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 3,321 | * | 8 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 310,854 | | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 38 | 26 | 6 | 21,747 | * | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 12 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 40 | 16 | 87,709 | | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 31 | 42 | 17 | 1,740 | * | 7 | | 6 | - | 13 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 45 | 31 | 163,939 | | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 19 | 45 | 32 | 10,459 | * | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 40 | 50 | 40,113 | * | 6 | | 5 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 67 | 68,243 | | | 4 | - | 13 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 29 | 68 | 4,069 | * | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 14 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | 14,152 | * | 5 | | 4 | - | 15 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 89 | 23,289 | * | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 15 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | 3,595 | * | 4 | | 3 | - | 16 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 5,812 | * | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 16 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 666 | * | 3 | | 2 | - | 17 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 943 | * | 1 | -2.5 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 699 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 43.2 | % | 11 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5,034,912 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 4/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Phillies 311.5 Braves 304 | -1.5 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 4/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Phillies vs Mets | -1.4+0.9+1.4 | | Blue Jays vs Yankees | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Twins vs Indians | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | | Cubs vs Brewers | *-0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Angels vs Rangers | *-0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Red Sox vs Rays | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19.5 | -20 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | | 18 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | .5 | 17 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | .5 | 16 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | .5 | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 15 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 91 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | .5 | 14 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 74 | 23 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 73 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 41 | 40 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 13 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 40 | 40 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 39 | 40 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 10 | 28 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 10 | 27 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 3 | | | 1 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 33 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 31 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 3 | | | | | 0 | 3 | 19 | 52 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0 | | | | | 11 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 11 | 21 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 3 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 25 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 10 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 20 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 22 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 23 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | | 9 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 22 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 23 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 8 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 7 | | 6 | - | 13 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 25 | 12 | 2 | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 37 | 19 | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 13 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 38 | 21 | 6 | | 5 | - | 14 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 38 | 22 | | 4 | - | 13 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 57 | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 14 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 58 | 5 | | 4 | - | 15 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 60 | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 15 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 4 | | 3 | - | 16 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 13 | 86 | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 16 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 3 | | 2 | - | 17 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 1 | -2.5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
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