How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets 471.5 Nationals 470 +8.6
+0.8
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 4/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies vs Mets-9.9*+0.1+9.9
-0.8+0.0+0.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
17.5-20In100932*
1716-3-0In100002,266*
16.515-3-1In9911,428*
1615-4-0In98108,357
14-3-2In9820433*
15.514-4-1In973005,290*
1514-5-0100.0%92701025,650
13-4-2In93611,524*
14.513-5-1In86120214,590*
1413-6-0100.0732115059,213
12-5-2100.074202503,847*
13.512-6-199.8583039031,393
11-5-3In602938643*
1312-7-099.2383971510109,578
11-6-299.34038715107,801*
12.511-7-197.3214014223053,846*
10-6-397.0194214223001,165
1211-8-089.483122281010164,920
10-7-289.6832212891012,118*
11.510-8-174.921827282040074,237
9-7-375.5219282720411,701*
1110-9-050.50725182916400201,171
9-8-250.807261830164015,478*
10.59-9-126.30218726301430082,136
8-8-324.32167273015301,848*
109-10-011.7010211273016400200,798*
8-9-211.4001011128301540015,134
9.58-10-14.204021330321630074,473*
7-9-34.1402113132163001,666
98-11-01.6020031430311630164,542
7-10-21.6203143032164012,258*
8.57-11-10.4000315343313254,071
6-10-30.30031632331421,143*
87-12-00.100152037298110,309
6-11-20.2000519383087,654*
7.56-12-10.0001728442131,203
5-11-3Out07264224627
76-13-00.0000216443858,485
5-12-2Out021543403,933*
6.55-13-1Out06355914,848*
65-14-0Out02247425,561
4-13-2Out221771,467*
5.54-14-1Out013875,365*
54-15-0Out08928,415
3-14-2Out793445
4.53-15-1Out03971,379*
43-16-0Out2982,123*
3.52-16-1Out100243*
32-17-0Out0100359*
1-2.5Out100238*
Total:41.9%1111109988877651,678,304

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/8100.0*Lottery seed
Mets 471.5 Nationals 470 -1.5
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 4/15100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies vs Mets+1.5+0.9-1.5
Red Sox vs Rays+0.0-0.2-0.0
Blue Jays vs Yankees-0.0-0.1+0.0
Tigers vs Royals-0.0-0.1+0.0
Twins vs Indians-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
18-20100
17.516-2-1991
1716-3-0991
16.515-3-19640
1615-4-09550
15.514-4-184151
1514-5-08316100
13-4-2543691
14.513-5-15435910
1413-6-05336101000
12-5-219362912410
13.512-6-1173529144100
11-5-3292130231041
1312-7-016343014410010
11-6-229212824134110
12.511-7-1181927241341200
10-6-3001617302814111
1211-8-0161725221341910000
10-7-2001515262813541000
11.510-8-10141222241212941000
9-7-3052248147651100
1110-9-000138141692317720000
9-8-2002143427121295210000
10.59-9-1001718311171713831000
8-8-31230148151614104200
109-10-00000383121921171041000
8-9-200110013916191813731000
9.58-10-104001391620201583100
7-9-340026142121189500
98-11-00200138152121169410000
7-10-22000251320231910410
8.57-11-10000151220242012510
6-10-30026172827164
87-12-00000141119242113510
6-11-200016162628175
7.56-12-1000016152628185
5-11-317233731
76-13-0000015142630195
5-12-2016224031
6.55-13-1016204032
65-14-0015204133
4-13-2032373
5.54-14-10042670
54-15-00032571
3-14-2892
4.53-15-10991
43-16-00892
3.52-16-1199
32-17-00199
1-2.5100
Total:665555545544444444333332