New York Mets Playoff Chances 2018 50/50Beat Nationals 471.5-470, playoff odds up 8.6 to 41.9% 1-0-0 1.000 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 4/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Mets 471.5 Nationals 470 | +8.6 | | +0.8 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 4/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Phillies vs Mets | -9.9*+0.1+9.9 | | -0.8+0.0+0.8 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17.5 | -20 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 932 | * | 17 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | 2,266 | * | 16 | .5 | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 1,428 | * | 16 | | 15 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | 8,357 | | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 98 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | 433 | * | 15 | .5 | 14 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 5,290 | * | 15 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 92 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 25,650 | | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | 93 | 6 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | 1,524 | * | 14 | .5 | 13 | - | 5 | - | 1 | In | 86 | 12 | 0 | 2 | | | | | | | | | 14,590 | * | 14 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 100.0 | | 73 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | 59,213 | | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 100.0 | | 74 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3,847 | * | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 99.8 | | 58 | 30 | 3 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | 31,393 | | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 3 | In | 60 | 29 | 3 | 8 | | | | | | | | | 643 | * | 13 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 99.2 | | 38 | 39 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 109,578 | | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 99.3 | | 40 | 38 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 7,801 | * | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 97.3 | | 21 | 40 | 14 | 22 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 53,846 | * | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 97.0 | | 19 | 42 | 14 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 1,165 | | 12 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 89.4 | | 8 | 31 | 22 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 164,920 | | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 89.6 | | 8 | 32 | 21 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 12,118 | * | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 74.9 | | 2 | 18 | 27 | 28 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 74,237 | | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 75.5 | | 2 | 19 | 28 | 27 | 20 | 4 | 1 | | | | | | 1,701 | * | 11 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 50.5 | | 0 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | 201,171 | | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 2 | 50.8 | | 0 | 7 | 26 | 18 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 15,478 | * | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 26.3 | | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 26 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 82,136 | | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 3 | 24.3 | | | 2 | 16 | 7 | 27 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 0 | | | | 1,848 | * | 10 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 11.7 | | | 0 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 200,798 | * | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 2 | 11.4 | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 15,134 | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 4.2 | | | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 74,473 | * | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 3 | 4.1 | | | | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1,666 | | 9 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 1.6 | | | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 164,542 | | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 2 | 1.6 | | | | 2 | | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12,258 | * | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 0.4 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 54,071 | | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 3 | 0.3 | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 32 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 1,143 | * | 8 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 110,309 | | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 2 | 0.2 | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 7,654 | * | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 12 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 44 | 21 | 31,203 | | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 26 | 42 | 24 | 627 | | 7 | | 6 | - | 13 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 44 | 38 | 58,485 | | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 43 | 40 | 3,933 | * | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 35 | 59 | 14,848 | * | 6 | | 5 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | 25,561 | | | 4 | - | 13 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 21 | 77 | 1,467 | * | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 14 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 13 | 87 | 5,365 | * | 5 | | 4 | - | 15 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | 8,415 | | | 3 | - | 14 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 93 | 445 | | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 15 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 1,379 | * | 4 | | 3 | - | 16 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 2,123 | * | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 16 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 243 | * | 3 | | 2 | - | 17 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 359 | * | 1 | -2.5 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 238 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 41.9 | % | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 1,678,304 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 4/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Mets 471.5 Nationals 470 | -1.5 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 4/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Phillies vs Mets | +1.5+0.9-1.5 | | Red Sox vs Rays | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | | Blue Jays vs Yankees | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Tigers vs Royals | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Twins vs Indians | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | -20 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | .5 | 16 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | .5 | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 15 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | .5 | 14 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 84 | 15 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 54 | 36 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 13 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 54 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 53 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 19 | 36 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 1 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 17 | 35 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 30 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 16 | 34 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 3 | | | | | 0 | 5 | 22 | 48 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 11 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 23 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 3 | | | | | | | 1 | 23 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 10 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 4 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 4 | 8 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 24 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 28 | 17 | 5 | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 5 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 23 | 37 | 31 | 7 | | 6 | - | 13 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 5 | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 40 | 31 | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 13 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 40 | 32 | 6 | | 5 | - | 14 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 41 | 33 | | 4 | - | 13 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 73 | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 14 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 70 | 5 | | 4 | - | 15 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 71 | | 3 | - | 14 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 92 | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 15 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | 4 | | 3 | - | 16 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 16 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 3 | | 2 | - | 17 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 1 | -2.5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
|