San Francisco Giants Playoff Chances 2018

Beat Diamondbacks 390.5-323.5, playoff odds up 16.5 to 49.8%

1-0-0 1.000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Giants finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

18.5	-20						In		100												1,075	*
18		17	-	2	-	0	In		100	0											2,474	*
17	.5	16	-	2	-	1	In		100	0											1,556	*
17		16	-	3	-	0	In		100	0		0									12,742	*
16	.5	15	-	3	-	1	In		99	1		0									7,779	*
16		15	-	4	-	0	In		97	2		0									44,300
		14	-	3	-	2	In		97	2		0									2,246	*
15	.5	14	-	4	-	1	In		95	5	0	1									25,781	*
15		14	-	5	-	0	In		89	10	0	2									119,829
		13	-	4	-	2	In		90	9	0	1									6,921	*
14	.5	13	-	5	-	1	100.0	%	81	15	1	3	0								65,791	*
14		13	-	6	-	0	100.0		67	25	2	6	0								250,989
		12	-	5	-	2	100.0		68	25	2	6	0								16,576	*
13	.5	12	-	6	-	1	99.8		51	34	4	11	0	0							126,276
		11	-	5	-	3	99.7		52	34	3	11	0								2,481	*
13		12	-	7	-	0	98.9		32	40	10	17	1	0	0						418,860
		11	-	6	-	2	99.0		33	40	9	17	1	0							29,559	*
12	.5	11	-	7	-	1	96.4		16	39	16	25	3	0	0						195,115
		10	-	6	-	3	96.8		16	39	17	25	3	0							4,216	*
12		11	-	8	-	0	87.9		6	29	25	29	11	1	0	0					564,811
		10	-	7	-	2	88.6		6	29	24	29	10	1	0						42,020	*
11	.5	10	-	8	-	1	72.7		1	16	28	28	22	5	0	0					239,753
		9	-	7	-	3	72.6		1	16	29	27	22	5	0	0					5,313	*
11		10	-	9	-	0	48.7		0	6	25	18	30	17	4	0	0				621,581
		9	-	8	-	2	48.6		0	6	25	18	30	17	4	0	0				46,920	*
10	.5	9	-	9	-	1	25.2		0	1	17	7	26	31	15	3	0	0			240,269
		8	-	8	-	3	25.2		0	1	17	7	26	31	14	3	0	0			5,398	*
10		9	-	10	-	0	11.7			0	10	2	12	29	30	15	3	0	0		558,146
		8	-	9	-	2	11.3			0	10	2	12	29	30	14	3	0	0		42,295	*
9	.5	8	-	10	-	1	4.2			0	4	0	2	14	32	31	14	3	0	0	195,274
		7	-	9	-	3	4.2			0	4	0	2	14	31	31	14	3	0		4,279	*
9		8	-	11	-	0	1.7			0	2	0	0	4	16	32	30	13	2	0	410,387
		7	-	10	-	2	1.5				1	0	0	4	16	32	30	14	2	0	30,358	*
8	.5	7	-	11	-	1	0.4				0		0	0	4	18	35	30	10	1	127,562
		6	-	10	-	3	0.3				0			0	4	20	33	30	11	1	2,650	*
8		7	-	12	-	0	0.1				0			0	1	7	24	37	25	6	245,212
		6	-	11	-	2	0.1				0			0	1	6	23	39	26	6	17,383	*
7	.5	6	-	12	-	1	0.0				0			0	0	1	10	32	41	16	66,569
		5	-	11	-	3	Out									1	10	29	42	18	1,323	*
7		6	-	13	-	0	0.0				0				0	0	4	20	45	32	119,202
		5	-	12	-	2	Out									0	4	19	45	32	7,682	*
6	.5	5	-	13	-	1	Out									0	1	9	39	51	27,869	*
6		5	-	14	-	0	Out									0	0	3	29	68	45,184
		4	-	13	-	2	Out									0	0	3	30	67	2,636	*
5	.5	4	-	14	-	1	Out											1	17	82	9,005	*
5		4	-	15	-	0	Out											0	10	90	14,368	*
4	.5	3	-	15	-	1	Out											0	4	96	2,169	*
4		3	-	16	-	0	Out												2	98	3,255	*
3	.5	2	-	16	-	1	Out												1	99	356	*
1	-3						Out													100	1,117	*

Total:							49.8	%	14	13	12	11	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	3	5,034,912

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

18.5	-20						100
18		17	-	2	-	0	100	0
17	.5	16	-	2	-	1	98	2
17		16	-	3	-	0	98	2
16	.5	15	-	3	-	1	93	7	0
16		15	-	4	-	0	92	7	0	0
15	.5	14	-	4	-	1	76	21	2	0	0
15		14	-	5	-	0	76	22	2	0	0
		13	-	4	-	2	47	37	13	2	0	0
14	.5	13	-	5	-	1	44	39	14	3	0	0	0		0
14		13	-	6	-	0	42	39	15	3	0	0	0		0
		12	-	5	-	2	13	31	31	18	6	1	0		0
13	.5	12	-	6	-	1	12	29	31	19	7	2	0	0	0	0
13		12	-	7	-	0	11	28	32	19	7	2	0	0	1	0	0
		11	-	6	-	2	1	6	17	26	26	16	6	1	1	0	0
12	.5	11	-	7	-	1	1	5	15	25	26	17	6	1	3	0	0	0
		10	-	6	-	3		0	1	4	14	28	33	16	1	1	0	0
12		11	-	8	-	0	1	4	13	22	24	16	6	1	11	1	0	0
		10	-	7	-	2		0	1	4	13	25	30	16	5	4	2	0	0	0
11	.5	10	-	8	-	1	0	0	1	3	10	21	25	14	13	10	4	1	0	0	0
		9	-	7	-	3					0	4	20	48	2	5	7	7	4	2	1	0	0	0
11		10	-	9	-	0	0	0	0	2	6	13	17	10	23	18	8	2	0	0	0	0
		9	-	8	-	2				0	0	2	13	33	3	9	13	13	8	4	1	0	0	0	0
10	.5	9	-	9	-	1				0	0	1	6	18	4	12	19	18	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
		8	-	8	-	3						0	1	24	0	0	1	4	11	16	17	13	7	3	1	0
10		9	-	10	-	0				0	0	0	3	9	4	13	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
		8	-	9	-	2						0	0	11	0	0	1	5	12	19	20	16	9	4	1	0	0	0		0
9	.5	8	-	10	-	1						0	0	4	0	0	1	5	12	20	22	18	11	5	2	0	0	0
		7	-	9	-	3								4				0	0	1	4	11	18	24	20	11	5	1	0
9		8	-	11	-	0							0	2	0	0	1	4	11	19	23	20	12	6	2	0	0	0	0
		7	-	10	-	2								2					0	1	3	10	18	24	21	13	6	2	0	0
8	.5	7	-	11	-	1							0	0				0	0	1	3	9	18	24	22	14	6	2	0	0
		6	-	10	-	3								0							0	0	1	4	14	23	28	20	8	2
8		7	-	12	-	0								0			0	0	0	1	2	8	17	24	23	15	7	2	0	0
		6	-	11	-	2								0							0	0	1	4	12	22	29	21	9	2
7	.5	6	-	12	-	1								0							0	0	1	3	11	22	28	22	10	2
7		6	-	13	-	0								0							0	0	1	3	10	22	29	23	10	2
		5	-	12	-	2																		0	0	3	13	30	36	17
6	.5	5	-	13	-	1																		0	0	3	12	29	37	19
6		5	-	14	-	0																		0	0	3	11	28	37	20
		4	-	13	-	2																					1	9	35	55
5	.5	4	-	14	-	1																				0	1	8	35	56
5		4	-	15	-	0																				0	1	8	34	58
4	.5	3	-	15	-	1																					0	1	14	85
4		3	-	16	-	0																					0	1	14	86
3	.5	2	-	16	-	1																							5	95
3		2	-	17	-	0																							4	96
2	.5	1	-	17	-	1																								100
2		1	-	18	-	0																							2	98
1	-1.5																													100

Total:							8	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	6	5	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1