Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Lost to Reds 327-382.5, playoff odds down 8.5 to 24.8%

0-1-0 .000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

17.5	-19						In		100												238	*
17		17	-	2	-	0	In		100	0											404	*
16	.5	16	-	2	-	1	In		100												262	*
16		16	-	3	-	0	In		98	1		0									2,189	*
15	.5	15	-	3	-	1	In		97	3		0									1,445	*
15		15	-	4	-	0	In		93	6	0	2									8,888	*
14	.5	14	-	4	-	1	In		86	10	0	3									5,179	*
14		14	-	5	-	0	99.9	%	74	18	1	7	0								25,344
		13	-	4	-	2	99.9		74	19	1	6	0								1,480	*
13	.5	13	-	5	-	1	99.8		59	28	2	11	0								14,695	*
13		13	-	6	-	0	98.9		38	35	6	20	1	0							59,276
		12	-	5	-	2	99.0		39	36	5	19	1								3,915	*
12	.5	12	-	6	-	1	96.4		21	37	12	27	3	0							31,410
		11	-	5	-	3	95.3		22	37	13	24	5	0							614	*
12		12	-	7	-	0	87.2		8	28	18	33	11	1	0						109,860
		11	-	6	-	2	88.1		8	29	18	33	11	1	0						7,671	*
11	.5	11	-	7	-	1	71.6		2	16	23	31	23	5	0	0					54,303
		10	-	6	-	3	74.6		2	16	26	32	21	4	0						1,173	*
11		11	-	8	-	0	45.5		0	6	19	20	32	18	4	0	0	0			164,971
		10	-	7	-	2	45.7		0	6	20	20	32	17	4	0	0				12,207	*
10	.5	10	-	8	-	1	22.0		0	1	14	7	27	32	15	3	0	0			73,802
		9	-	7	-	3	22.3			2	13	7	25	33	16	4	0				1,644	*
10		10	-	9	-	0	8.7			0	7	2	12	28	31	16	4	0	0		201,674
		9	-	8	-	2	8.5			0	7	1	12	29	31	16	4	0	0		15,185	*
9	.5	9	-	9	-	1	2.7			0	3	0	2	13	30	33	16	3	0	0	82,021
		8	-	8	-	3	3.1				3		2	13	30	32	16	4	0		1,910	*
9		9	-	10	-	0	0.9			0	1	0	0	3	14	30	31	16	4	0	201,622
		8	-	9	-	2	0.9				1	0	0	3	14	30	32	16	4	0	15,286	*
8	.5	8	-	10	-	1	0.2				0		0	0	3	15	33	33	14	2	73,987
		7	-	9	-	3	0.1				0			0	3	15	33	33	14	2	1,645	*
8		8	-	11	-	0	0.0				0			0	1	5	20	37	30	8	163,770
		7	-	10	-	2	0.0				0			0	0	5	20	37	31	8	12,208	*
7	.5	7	-	11	-	1	Out								0	1	7	28	43	21	53,958
		6	-	10	-	3	Out									1	7	29	42	22	1,171	*
7		7	-	12	-	0	0.0				0				0	0	2	16	44	38	109,934
		6	-	11	-	2	Out								0	0	2	16	43	40	7,746	*
6	.5	6	-	12	-	1	Out									0	0	6	35	59	31,162
		5	-	11	-	3	Out											6	36	58	633	*
6		6	-	13	-	0	Out										0	2	25	73	59,437
		5	-	12	-	2	Out											2	23	75	3,868	*
5	.5	5	-	13	-	1	Out										0	1	14	85	14,866	*
5		5	-	14	-	0	Out											0	8	92	25,317
		4	-	13	-	2	Out											0	8	92	1,423	*
4	.5	4	-	14	-	1	Out											0	3	97	5,171	*
4		4	-	15	-	0	Out											0	2	98	8,846	*
3	.5	3	-	15	-	1	Out												0	100	1,422	*
3		3	-	16	-	0	Out												0	100	2,219	*
2	.5	2	-	16	-	1	Out													100	239
2		2	-	17	-	0	Out												0	100	371	*
0	-1.5						Out													100	243	*

Total:							24.8	%	5	6	6	7	8	8	9	9	9	10	11	11	1,678,304

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

17.5	-19						100
17		17	-	2	-	0	99	1
16	.5	16	-	2	-	1	96	4
16		16	-	3	-	0	95	5	0
15	.5	15	-	3	-	1	81	18	1
15		15	-	4	-	0	81	17	1	0	0
		14	-	3	-	2	51	37	8	3	0
14	.5	14	-	4	-	1	48	38	11	2	0
14		14	-	5	-	0	48	38	12	2	0				0
		13	-	4	-	2	15	32	31	15	5	1	0		0
13	.5	13	-	5	-	1	13	32	31	17	6	1	0	0	0
13		13	-	6	-	0	13	30	31	18	6	1	0	0	1	0	0
		12	-	5	-	2	1	6	17	26	26	15	6	1	1	0
12	.5	12	-	6	-	1	1	5	15	25	26	17	6	1	3	1	0	0
		11	-	5	-	3		0	0	5	12	26	32	20	2	2	0	0
12		12	-	7	-	0	1	4	13	22	24	16	6	1	11	2	0	0
		11	-	6	-	2		0	1	3	11	23	31	19	5	4	2	1	0	0
11	.5	11	-	7	-	1	0	0	0	3	9	19	25	15	10	11	5	2	0	0
		10	-	6	-	3					0	4	19	51	1	2	6	7	6	3	1	0
11		11	-	8	-	0	0	0	0	2	5	12	16	11	20	20	11	4	1	0	0
		10	-	7	-	2				0	0	2	11	33	1	6	11	13	12	7	3	1	0	0	0
10	.5	10	-	8	-	1				0	0	1	5	16	2	7	14	18	17	11	5	2	0	0	0
		9	-	7	-	3							1	22		0	0	2	5	11	15	18	14	8	4	1	0
10		10	-	9	-	0					0	0	2	7	2	8	16	20	20	15	7	3	1	0	0	0
		9	-	8	-	2							0	8	0	0	0	2	5	12	18	20	17	11	5	1	0	0	0
9	.5	9	-	9	-	1						0	0	3	0	0	0	2	6	12	18	21	19	12	6	2	0	0	0
		8	-	8	-	3								3						0	1	4	10	18	23	21	13	5	1	0
9		9	-	10	-	0						0	0	1	0	0	0	2	5	11	17	21	20	14	7	2	0	0	0
		8	-	9	-	2								1						0	1	4	9	17	22	22	15	7	2	0
8	.5	8	-	10	-	1								0					0	0	1	3	9	17	23	23	16	7	2	0
		7	-	9	-	3								0									0	1	4	15	25	29	20	6
8		8	-	11	-	0								0				0	0	0	1	3	8	15	23	24	17	8	2	0
		7	-	10	-	2								0								0	0	1	4	12	24	31	21	7
7	.5	7	-	11	-	1																0	0	1	4	12	24	30	23	7
		6	-	10	-	3																			0	0	5	20	43	31
7		7	-	12	-	0								0								0	0	1	3	11	23	31	24	8
		6	-	11	-	2																			0	1	5	18	40	37
6	.5	6	-	12	-	1																			0	1	4	18	40	37
		5	-	11	-	3																					0	4	28	68
6		6	-	13	-	0																		0	0	1	4	17	40	39
		5	-	12	-	2																				0	0	3	23	74
5	.5	5	-	13	-	1																				0	0	3	23	73
5		5	-	14	-	0																				0	0	3	23	74
		4	-	13	-	2																						0	7	93
4	.5	4	-	14	-	1																						0	8	92
4		4	-	15	-	0																					0	0	7	93
		3	-	14	-	2																							2	98
3	.5	3	-	15	-	1																							2	98
3		3	-	16	-	0																							2	98
0	-2.5																													100

Total:							2	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	6	6