How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Reds 382.5 Cubs 327 -8.5
-0.8
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 4/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cubs vs Brewers+5.1-0.6-5.2
+0.7-0.0-0.7

What If

Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
17.5-19In100588*
1717-2-0In1000398*
16.516-2-1In982277*
1616-3-0In982012,673*
15.515-3-1In963011,838*
1515-4-0In9070312,545*
14.514-4-1100.0%82130507,843*
1414-5-099.96821110040,378
13-4-2100.0701911002,398*
13.513-5-199.65329316025,191*
1313-6-097.9333372620107,463
12-5-297.93333626206,989*
12.512-6-194.11633123360062,717*
1212-7-082.5623163716200228,023
11-6-283.46231737152016,129*
11.511-7-165.1112193328710119,407
10-6-362.6111193129712,578*
1111-8-038.804151935215100390,152
10-7-239.00415193520500028,906*
10.510-8-117.301107283417300187,242
9-7-317.41107273418304,218*
1010-9-06.3005212303216400546,011
9-8-26.00411230321640041,641*
9.59-9-11.8020213323315300237,308
8-8-31.7020212313317305,396*
99-10-00.6010041632311430619,361
8-9-20.51004163231143046,579*
8.58-10-10.10004183531111243,376
7-9-30.10031835321115,437*
88-11-00.0000172338266578,295
7-10-20.000016233826643,024*
7.57-11-10.0000110324116201,723
6-10-3Out0193241174,317*
77-12-00.00003204532439,637
6-11-2Out00319453331,071*
6.56-12-1Out00193951133,919
5-11-3Out0838532,736*
66-13-0Out0042967268,748
5-12-2Out03296817,637*
5.55-13-1Out01188171,568*
55-14-0Out001189131,676
4-13-2Out010897,727*
4.54-14-1Out059528,674*
44-15-0Out039749,460
3-14-2Out3972,477*
3.53-15-1Out1998,685*
33-16-0Out010014,554*
2.52-16-1Out01001,827*
22-17-0Out01002,918*
0-1.5Out1001,177*
Total:15.6%334678910111213155,034,912

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/8100.0*Lottery seed
Reds 382.5 Cubs 327 +1.5
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 4/15100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs vs Brewers-1.3+1.0+1.3
Twins vs Indians-0.0-0.1+0.0
Tigers vs Royals-0.0-0.1+0.0
Blue Jays vs Yankees-0.0-0.1+0.0
Red Sox vs Rays-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
18-19100
17.517-1-1973
1717-2-0973
16.516-2-19190
1616-3-091900
15.515-3-1732430
1515-4-06927400
14.514-4-136411841000
1414-5-0334020610000
13.513-5-172232251130000
1313-6-062131251130020
12-5-2029212824102200
12.512-6-102819272412351000
1212-7-0027162421112143000
11-6-200161932255641000
11.511-7-10001514252110138310000
1111-8-0000138151317231561000
10-7-200183115101515104100000
10.510-8-1000314161320201472000
9-7-3017012611171815821000
1010-9-0000151614212317931000
9-8-20060025121821181141000
9.59-9-10200025121922201251000
8-8-3200151219242111410
99-10-00100015111822211362000
8-9-2100141119242112510
8.58-10-10000141018242213510
7-9-300027172727163
88-11-0000013918242314610
7-10-2000026162728164
7.57-11-1000016152729174
6-10-30028244026
77-12-0000015152629185
6-11-20018233928
6.56-12-10017234028
5-11-30163162
66-13-00017224029
5-12-20163064
5.55-13-1000052965
55-14-00052965
4-13-2011287
4.54-14-1011188
44-15-0001189
3.53-15-1397
33-16-00397
2.52-16-1199
22-17-0199
1.51-17-1100
11-18-0199
0-0.5100
Total:111222333334445556667788