Atlanta Braves Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Lost to Phillies 304-311.5, playoff odds down 8.6 to 24.8%

0-1-0 .000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Braves finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

16.5	-19						In		100												902	*
16		16	-	3	-	0	In		98	1		0									2,175	*
15	.5	15	-	3	-	1	In		96	3	0	1									1,397	*
15		15	-	4	-	0	In		92	6	0	1									8,389
		14	-	3	-	2	In		93	6		1									434	*
14	.5	14	-	4	-	1	In		85	12	0	3									5,136	*
14		14	-	5	-	0	99.9	%	74	19	1	7	0								25,453
		13	-	4	-	2	In		75	18	1	6									1,469	*
13	.5	13	-	5	-	1	99.8		59	28	2	11	0								14,406
		12	-	4	-	3	99.6		59	29	2	10	0								277	*
13		13	-	6	-	0	98.8		38	35	6	19	1	0							59,189
		12	-	5	-	2	99.1		40	33	6	19	1								3,999	*
12	.5	12	-	6	-	1	96.4		20	37	12	27	4	0	0						31,348
		11	-	5	-	3	98.0		22	35	11	30	2								644	*
12		12	-	7	-	0	87.3		8	28	18	33	11	1	0	0					110,033
		11	-	6	-	2	88.2		8	30	18	32	11	1	0						7,600	*
11	.5	11	-	7	-	1	71.4		2	16	23	31	23	5	0	0					53,562
		10	-	6	-	3	71.9		2	17	24	29	22	5	0						1,225	*
11		11	-	8	-	0	45.3		0	6	19	20	32	18	4	0	0				166,113
		10	-	7	-	2	46.2		0	6	19	21	32	18	4	0	0				12,126	*
10	.5	10	-	8	-	1	22.1		0	1	14	7	27	32	15	3	0	0			73,979
		9	-	7	-	3	22.4			1	14	7	26	32	17	3	0				1,698	*
10		10	-	9	-	0	8.7		0	0	7	2	12	28	31	16	4	0	0	0	201,383
		9	-	8	-	2	8.3			0	7	2	12	29	31	16	4	0	0		15,283	*
9	.5	9	-	9	-	1	2.8			0	3	0	2	13	30	33	16	3	0	0	81,941
		8	-	8	-	3	3.0				3	0	2	12	29	34	17	3	0		1,787	*
9		9	-	10	-	0	0.9			0	1	0	0	3	14	30	32	16	4	0	200,867
		8	-	9	-	2	0.8				1	0	0	3	14	30	32	16	3	0	15,352	*
8	.5	8	-	10	-	1	0.2				0		0	0	3	15	33	33	14	2	74,158
		7	-	9	-	3	Out							0	3	14	35	32	13	3	1,693	*
8		8	-	11	-	0	0.1				0		0	0	1	5	20	37	30	8	164,661
		7	-	10	-	2	0.0				0			0	1	5	20	37	30	8	12,202	*
7	.5	7	-	11	-	1	0.0				0				0	1	7	28	43	21	54,085
		6	-	10	-	3	Out								0	0	6	26	47	20	1,159	*
7		7	-	12	-	0	0.0				0				0	0	2	16	44	38	109,973
		6	-	11	-	2	Out									0	2	15	44	39	7,881	*
6	.5	6	-	12	-	1	Out									0	0	6	35	59	31,189
		5	-	11	-	3	Out										0	5	36	59	619
6		6	-	13	-	0	Out									0	0	2	25	73	58,898
		5	-	12	-	2	Out										0	3	24	74	3,875	*
5	.5	5	-	13	-	1	Out											1	13	86	14,287
		4	-	12	-	3	Out												14	86	248
5		5	-	14	-	0	Out											0	8	92	25,179
		4	-	13	-	2	Out											0	7	92	1,443	*
4	.5	4	-	14	-	1	Out											0	4	96	5,187	*
4		4	-	15	-	0	Out												2	98	8,515
		3	-	14	-	2	Out												1	99	448	*
3	.5	3	-	15	-	1	Out												1	99	1,353	*
3		3	-	16	-	0	Out												0	100	2,229	*
0	-2.5						Out													100	855	*

Total:							24.8	%	5	6	6	7	8	8	9	9	9	10	11	11	1,678,304

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

18	-19						100
17	.5	17	-	1	-	1	96	4
17		17	-	2	-	0	99	1
16	.5	16	-	2	-	1	93	6	0
16		16	-	3	-	0	94	6	0
15	.5	15	-	3	-	1	81	18	1
15		15	-	4	-	0	79	19	2	0	0
14	.5	14	-	4	-	1	48	38	12	2	0	0
14		14	-	5	-	0	48	38	12	2	0				0
		13	-	4	-	2	15	31	32	17	4	1	0
13	.5	13	-	5	-	1	13	32	30	17	6	1	0	0	0
13		13	-	6	-	0	12	30	31	18	6	1	0	0	1	0
		12	-	5	-	2	1	5	17	26	26	17	6	1	1	0	0
12	.5	12	-	6	-	1	1	5	15	25	26	17	6	1	3	0	0	0
		11	-	5	-	3			1	4	13	29	35	17	1	1	0
12		12	-	7	-	0	1	4	13	22	24	16	6	1	11	2	0	0
		11	-	6	-	2		0	1	4	12	23	30	18	5	4	2	0	0	0
11	.5	11	-	7	-	1		0	1	3	9	19	25	16	10	11	6	2	0	0
		10	-	6	-	3					0	4	19	49	1	3	6	7	5	4	2	0
11		11	-	8	-	0	0	0	0	1	5	12	16	11	20	20	11	4	1	0	0	0
		10	-	7	-	2					0	1	12	33	1	5	10	13	12	7	3	1	0	0		0
10	.5	10	-	8	-	1				0	0	1	5	16	2	7	14	18	17	12	6	2	0	0	0
		9	-	7	-	3							1	22		0	0	2	5	12	15	17	13	8	3	1	0	0
10		10	-	9	-	0				0	0	0	2	7	2	8	16	21	20	15	7	2	1	0	0	0
		9	-	8	-	2						0	0	8	0	0	0	2	6	12	17	20	17	11	5	1	0	0	0
9	.5	9	-	9	-	1							0	3		0	0	2	6	12	18	21	19	12	6	2	0	0
		8	-	8	-	3								3						0	1	3	9	17	24	20	15	6	1	0
9		9	-	10	-	0							0	1	0	0	0	2	5	11	17	21	20	14	7	2	0	0	0
		8	-	9	-	2							0	1					0	0	1	4	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	0
8	.5	8	-	10	-	1								0					0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	7	2	0
		7	-	9	-	3																0	0	1	4	13	26	28	22	6
8		8	-	11	-	0								0				0	0	0	1	3	8	16	23	24	17	8	2	0
		7	-	10	-	2								0								0	0	1	4	12	24	30	21	7
7	.5	7	-	11	-	1								0								0	0	1	4	12	24	30	23	7
		6	-	10	-	3																			0	1	6	17	41	35
7		7	-	12	-	0								0								0	0	1	3	11	23	31	24	8
		6	-	11	-	2																		0	0	1	5	19	39	36
6	.5	6	-	12	-	1																		0	0	1	4	18	39	38
6		6	-	13	-	0																			0	1	4	17	40	39
		5	-	12	-	2																					0	4	23	73
5	.5	5	-	13	-	1																					0	3	23	74
5		5	-	14	-	0																				0	0	3	22	75
		4	-	13	-	2																						0	8	92
4	.5	4	-	14	-	1																					0	0	7	92
4		4	-	15	-	0																						0	6	94
3	.5	3	-	15	-	1																							1	99
3		3	-	16	-	0																							1	99
2	.5	2	-	16	-	1																							0	100
2		2	-	17	-	0																							1	99
0	-1.5																													100

Total:							2	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	6	6	6