Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Chances 2018Beat Rays 505.5-252, playoff odds up 20.6 to 53.9% 1-0-0 1.000 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 4/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Rays 252 Blue Jays 505.5 | +8.6 | | +0.8 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 4/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Blue Jays vs Yankees | +8.6-0.7-10.3 | | +0.6-0.0-0.7 | | Red Sox vs Rays | -0.9*-0.0+1.1 | | | | Twins vs Indians | -0.1*+0.1+0.2 | | | | Tigers vs Royals | -0.1*+0.0+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18.5 | -20 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,288 | * | 18 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 3,455 | * | 17 | .5 | 16 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 2,175 | * | 17 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | 16,667 | * | 16 | .5 | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 99 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | 9,905 | * | 16 | | 15 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | 97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 55,814 | | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 97 | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | 2,815 | * | 15 | .5 | 14 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 32,093 | * | 15 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 87 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 143,644 | | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | 88 | 10 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 8,637 | * | 14 | .5 | 13 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 100.0 | | 79 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 75,752 | | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | In | 79 | 18 | 1 | 2 | | | | | | | | | 1,412 | * | 14 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 100.0 | | 64 | 28 | 2 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | 287,081 | | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 100.0 | | 65 | 27 | 2 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | 18,826 | * | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 99.8 | | 49 | 37 | 5 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | 141,325 | | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 99.9 | | 50 | 37 | 5 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | 2,851 | * | 13 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 98.9 | | 30 | 42 | 12 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 457,939 | | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 99.1 | | 31 | 43 | 11 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 32,607 | * | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 96.4 | | 15 | 40 | 20 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 207,889 | | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 96.8 | | 16 | 40 | 19 | 22 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 4,574 | * | 12 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 88.0 | | 5 | 29 | 28 | 26 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 589,423 | | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 88.6 | | 6 | 29 | 27 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 44,056 | * | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 73.2 | | 1 | 15 | 32 | 25 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 245,054 | | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 74.0 | | 1 | 16 | 31 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 5,518 | * | 11 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 49.3 | | 0 | 6 | 27 | 16 | 29 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | 617,135 | | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 2 | 49.6 | | 0 | 6 | 27 | 16 | 29 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | 47,190 | * | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 26.4 | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 25 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 234,279 | | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 3 | 26.3 | | | 1 | 19 | 6 | 25 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | | | | 5,344 | * | 10 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 12.6 | | | 0 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 29 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 530,130 | | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 2 | 12.4 | | | 0 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 40,600 | * | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 4.7 | | | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 180,612 | | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 3 | 4.7 | | | | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | 4,176 | * | 9 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 1.8 | | | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 370,880 | | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 2 | 1.8 | | | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 27,589 | * | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 0.4 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 112,525 | | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 3 | 0.6 | | | | 1 | | | 0 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 2,454 | * | 8 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 24 | 5 | 211,942 | | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 25 | 5 | 14,856 | * | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 12 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 40 | 15 | 57,100 | * | 7 | | 6 | - | 13 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 45 | 30 | 97,606 | | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 20 | 45 | 31 | 6,378 | * | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 41 | 49 | 22,575 | * | 6 | | 5 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 30 | 66 | 35,797 | | | 4 | - | 13 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 30 | 66 | 2,098 | * | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 14 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 7,082 | * | 5 | | 4 | - | 15 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 88 | 10,711 | * | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 15 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 94 | 1,551 | * | 4 | | 3 | - | 16 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 2,334 | * | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 16 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 240 | * | 1 | -3 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 928 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 53.9 | % | 16 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5,034,912 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 4/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Rays 252 Blue Jays 505.5 | -1.5 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 4/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Blue Jays vs Yankees | -1.2+1.0+1.4 | | Twins vs Indians | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | | Phillies vs Mets | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | | Red Sox vs Rays | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Tigers vs Royals | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | | Cubs vs Brewers | *+0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18.5 | -20 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | .5 | 16 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | .5 | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 15 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 78 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | .5 | 14 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 77 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 76 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 46 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 13 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 44 | 39 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 43 | 39 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 13 | 32 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 12 | 30 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 28 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 11 | 29 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 31 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 24 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 25 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 3 | | | | | 0 | 3 | 21 | 49 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 11 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 10 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 3 | | | | | | | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 10 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 22 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 5 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 9 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 2 | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 24 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 22 | 27 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 8 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 27 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 7 | | 6 | - | 13 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 2 | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 18 | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 13 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 37 | 20 | 6 | | 5 | - | 14 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 38 | 21 | | 4 | - | 13 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 56 | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 14 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 55 | 5 | | 4 | - | 15 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 58 | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 15 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 14 | 86 | 4 | | 3 | - | 16 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 86 | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 16 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | 3 | | 2 | - | 17 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 1 | -2.5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
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