Houston Astros Playoff Chances 2018

Lost to Angels 367.5-453.5, playoff odds down 18.1 to 15.2%

0-1-0 .000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Astros finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

17.5	-19						In		100												596	*
17		17	-	2	-	0	In		99	1											394	*
16	.5	16	-	2	-	1	In		99			1									263	*
16		16	-	3	-	0	In		97	2		0									2,535	*
15	.5	15	-	3	-	1	In		96	3		1									1,744	*
15		15	-	4	-	0	In		89	8	0	3									11,993	*
14	.5	14	-	4	-	1	In		80	15	0	5									7,777	*
14		14	-	5	-	0	99.9	%	65	22	1	11	0								39,573
		13	-	4	-	2	100.0		68	22	1	10	0								2,280	*
13	.5	13	-	5	-	1	99.5		49	31	3	16	0								24,259	*
13		13	-	6	-	0	97.6		30	34	8	25	2	0							105,719
		12	-	5	-	2	97.7		32	34	7	25	2	0							7,093	*
12	.5	12	-	6	-	1	93.9		15	33	13	33	6	0	0						61,518	*
12		12	-	7	-	0	81.9		5	22	18	37	16	2	0	0					224,170
		11	-	6	-	2	82.7		5	23	18	37	15	2	0						16,099	*
11	.5	11	-	7	-	1	63.8		1	11	20	32	28	7	1	0	0				118,943
		10	-	6	-	3	63.4		1	14	20	28	29	7	1						2,507	*
11		11	-	8	-	0	37.9		0	4	15	19	35	21	5	1	0	0			387,119
		10	-	7	-	2	38.4		0	4	16	19	35	21	5	0	0	0			28,685	*
10	.5	10	-	8	-	1	16.9		0	1	10	6	28	35	17	3	0	0			186,357
		9	-	7	-	3	17.3			1	10	7	29	34	16	4	0				4,246	*
10		10	-	9	-	0	6.1			0	4	2	12	30	32	16	4	0	0		542,145
		9	-	8	-	2	6.1			0	5	1	12	30	32	16	4	0	0		40,885	*
9	.5	9	-	9	-	1	1.8			0	2	0	2	14	32	33	15	3	0	0	237,327
		8	-	8	-	3	1.6			0	1	0	2	14	32	34	15	3	0		5,480	*
9		9	-	10	-	0	0.6			0	1	0	0	4	17	32	30	13	2	0	620,083
		8	-	9	-	2	0.6				1	0	0	4	16	33	31	14	2	0	47,818	*
8	.5	8	-	10	-	1	0.1				0		0	0	4	19	36	30	10	1	243,703
		7	-	9	-	3	0.1				0			0	4	19	36	29	10	1	5,534	*
8		8	-	11	-	0	0.0				0		0	0	1	7	24	38	24	5	580,134
		7	-	10	-	2	0.0				0			0	1	7	24	38	25	5	42,964	*
7	.5	7	-	11	-	1	0.0				0			0	0	1	11	33	40	15	203,247
		6	-	10	-	3	Out								0	1	10	34	39	15	4,411	*
7		7	-	12	-	0	0.0				0				0	0	4	21	45	30	442,147
		6	-	11	-	2	Out								0	0	4	20	45	31	30,986	*
6	.5	6	-	12	-	1	Out									0	1	10	41	49	135,291
		5	-	11	-	3	Out										1	9	40	50	2,732	*
6		6	-	13	-	0	Out									0	0	4	31	64	271,994
		5	-	12	-	2	Out										0	4	30	66	17,932	*
5	.5	5	-	13	-	1	Out										0	1	19	79	72,637	*
5		5	-	14	-	0	Out										0	0	12	88	133,141
		4	-	13	-	2	Out										0	0	11	89	7,783	*
4	.5	4	-	14	-	1	Out											0	6	94	29,502	*
4		4	-	15	-	0	Out											0	3	97	50,457
		3	-	14	-	2	Out												2	98	2,592	*
3	.5	3	-	15	-	1	Out											0	1	99	9,003	*
3		3	-	16	-	0	Out												1	99	14,956	*
2	.5	2	-	16	-	1	Out												0	100	1,911	*
2		2	-	17	-	0	Out												0	100	3,057	*
0	-1.5						Out													100	1,190	*

Total:							15.2	%	2	3	4	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	15	5,034,912

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

17.5	-19						100
17		17	-	2	-	0	98	2
16	.5	16	-	2	-	1	94	6	0
16		16	-	3	-	0	90	9	0
15	.5	15	-	3	-	1	73	24	3	0
15		15	-	4	-	0	68	27	5	0	0
14	.5	14	-	4	-	1	34	40	20	5	1	0
14		14	-	5	-	0	33	41	20	5	1	0	0		0
		13	-	4	-	2	8	23	33	23	10	3	0		0
13	.5	13	-	5	-	1	6	22	31	25	12	3	1	0	0	0
13		13	-	6	-	0	6	20	31	25	12	3	0	0	2	0
		12	-	5	-	2	0	2	9	20	27	24	12	2	2	0	0
12	.5	12	-	6	-	1	0	2	8	18	27	24	12	3	5	1	0	0	0
12		12	-	7	-	0	0	2	6	16	23	21	11	2	14	3	0	0
		11	-	6	-	2		0	0	1	6	18	31	25	5	7	4	1	0	0	0
11	.5	11	-	7	-	1		0	0	1	4	13	25	20	10	14	9	3	1	0	0
		10	-	6	-	3					0	2	11	50	0	3	7	9	9	5	2	1	0
11		11	-	8	-	0	0	0	0	1	2	8	15	13	17	23	15	6	1	0	0	0
		10	-	7	-	2				0	0	1	7	30	1	5	10	15	15	10	5	1	0	0	0	0
10	.5	10	-	8	-	1					0	0	3	14	1	6	13	19	20	14	7	2	0	0	0	0
		9	-	7	-	3							0	17		0	0	2	6	12	18	19	15	7	3	1	0
10		10	-	9	-	0				0	0	0	1	5	1	6	14	21	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
		9	-	8	-	2						0	0	6	0	0	0	2	5	12	19	21	18	11	4	1	0	0	0
9	.5	9	-	9	-	1						0	0	2	0	0	0	2	5	11	19	22	20	12	5	1	0	0	0
		8	-	8	-	3								2					0	0	2	5	11	19	25	20	11	4	1
9		9	-	10	-	0							0	1	0	0	0	1	5	11	18	23	21	14	6	2	0	0	0
		8	-	9	-	2								1					0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1	0
8	.5	8	-	10	-	1								0				0	0	0	1	4	10	19	24	22	14	5	1	0
		7	-	9	-	3								0								0	0	2	7	18	27	26	16	4
8		8	-	11	-	0								0				0	0	0	1	3	9	18	24	23	15	6	1	0
		7	-	10	-	2								0								0	0	2	6	16	26	28	17	4
7	.5	7	-	11	-	1								0							0	0	0	1	6	15	26	29	18	5
		6	-	10	-	3																		0	0	2	8	25	39	27
7		7	-	12	-	0								0							0	0	0	1	5	14	26	30	19	5
		6	-	11	-	2																		0	0	2	8	23	39	28
6	.5	6	-	12	-	1																		0	0	1	7	23	40	29
		5	-	11	-	3																				0	0	7	29	63
6		6	-	13	-	0																		0	0	1	6	22	40	30
		5	-	12	-	2																				0	0	6	30	64
5	.5	5	-	13	-	1																				0	0	5	29	66
5		5	-	14	-	0																			0	0	0	5	28	67
		4	-	13	-	2																					0	1	10	89
4	.5	4	-	14	-	1																					0	1	11	89
4		4	-	15	-	0																					0	0	10	89
		3	-	14	-	2																						0	2	98
3	.5	3	-	15	-	1																						0	3	97
3		3	-	16	-	0																						0	2	97
2	.5	2	-	16	-	1																							1	99
2		2	-	17	-	0																							0	100
0	-1.5																													100

Total:							1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	7	7	8	8