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Back Door Lutz 9 Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to Ben 79.88-120.78, playoff odds down 10 to 5%
4-7-0 .364
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Rob 91.22 Marc 101.8 | -7.1 | -0.2 | ||
| Ben 120.78 Nicholas 79.88 | -5.9 | -0.2 | ||
| Paul 68.38 James B 95.44 | +5.4 | +0.1 | ||
| Robbie 84.06 James D 96.9 | -1.4 | -0.1 | ||
| Emerson 118.38 Dom 125.92 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Rob vs Nicholas | -3.8-1.2+13.4 | -0.3+0.2+0.9 | ||
| Paul vs Marc | +4.2-1.2-3.0 | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | ||
| James B vs James D | +2.0-0.3-1.4 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
| Emerson vs Nick | -0.1*-0.0+0.0 | -0.2+0.0+0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Nicholas finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 6 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 37.3 | % | 37 | 59 | 4 | 5,975,336 | |||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 7.3 | 7 | 76 | 17 | 0 | 796,187 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 2.0 | 2 | 46 | 42 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 27,155,000 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | Out | 12 | 52 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 22,524 | |||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 6 | 35 | 55 | 4 | 0 | 1,416,808 | |||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 5 | 54 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 21,205,545 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 5.0 | % | 5 | 29 | 24 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 56,571,400 | ||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:12 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
