Belarus Playoff Chances 2015 50/50
Lost to Finland 2-3 (so), playoff odds down 6.2 to 82%
11 points 3-0 1-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Sunday, 5/10 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slovakia 2 Russia 3 (ot) | +5.1 | |||
| Slovenia 1 United States 3 | -1.5 | -0.2 | ||
| Monday, 5/11 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Finland 3 Belarus 2 (so) | -6.2 | -0.6 | ||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||
| Tuesday, 5/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Norway vs Belarus | -24.4InInInInIn | -0.2+0.2+0.2+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| United States vs Slovakia | InInInInIn-24.4 | +0.2+0.2+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.2 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Belarus finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Relegated To Division I A | Count | |||||
| 12 | -14 | In | 100 | No | 6,295,663 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 57.6 | % | 58 | 42 | No | 4,628,673 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 82.0 | % | 82 | 18 | No | 10,924,336 | ||||||||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Sunday, 5/10 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Slovenia 1 United States 3 | +0.2 | |
| Czech Republic 4 Germany 2 | +0.2 | |
| Switzerland 7 Canada 2 | +0.1 | |
| Monday, 5/11 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Finland 3 Belarus 2 (so) | +0.9 | |
| Sweden 4 France 2 | +0.2 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||
| Tuesday, 5/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Norway vs Belarus | +0.7+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.7 | |
| Czech Republic vs Switzerland | -0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.4+0.4*+0.0 | |
| United States vs Slovakia | -0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.2 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
| 14 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 92 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 42 | 58 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 58 | 42 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 42 | 40 | 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:08 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
