How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday, 4/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegation Round100.0*Average seed
Canada vs Latvia-13.9+0.4+0.6+7.2+7.3+13.4
+13.9-0.4-0.6-7.2-7.3-13.4
-1.4-0.4-0.4+0.3+0.3+1.4
Finland vs Czech Republic+0.1-1.6-1.7-1.7-1.7+0.1
-0.1+1.6+1.7+1.7+1.7-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Russia vs United States*+0.0-0.5-0.6-0.6-0.5+0.0
*-0.0+0.5+0.6+0.6+0.5-0.0
Sweden vs Slovakia+0.0-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.4*+0.0
-0.0+0.5+0.5+0.4+0.4*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday, 4/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegation Round100.0*Average seed
Latvia vs Czech Republic+13.4+7.2+7.3+0.6+0.4-13.9
-13.4-7.2-7.3-0.6-0.4+13.9
+1.4+0.3+0.3-0.4-0.4-1.4
Switzerland vs Finland+0.1-1.6-1.7-1.8-1.7+0.1
-0.1+1.6+1.7+1.8+1.7-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Slovakia vs United States+0.0-0.6-0.6-0.5-0.7+0.0
-0.0+0.6+0.6+0.5+0.7-0.0
Russia vs Germany+0.0-0.6-0.5-0.5-0.5+0.0
-0.0+0.6+0.5+0.5+0.5-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Latvia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedRelegation
TPW-OTL-OTplayoffs12345678910RoundCount
124-00-0In8812No1,311,793
113-10-0In7228No347,102
103-00-1In583740No347,932
2-20-0In66340No34,767
93-01-0In2039301010No5,213,398
2-10-1In23462561No69,392
1-30-0In17433091No1,625
82-11-0In115433460No1,041,284
2-00-2In111413890No34,560
1-20-1In117443250No4,567
0-40-0In81244324No25
72-01-1In03264523300No1,041,163
1-21-0In0735431310No69,306
1-10-2In042745212No4,689
0-30-1In44239141No93
62-02-099.7%004172929164000.3%7,814,800
1-11-199.800313303118400.2139,144
0-31-099.9015223429900.11,540
1-00-399.91722312613200.11,506
0-20-2In1112738194No150
51-12-096.4003224526303.61,043,063
1-01-294.102154533605.969,441
0-21-196.703234426303.34,631
0-10-393.5115443476.5107
41-02-183.406344315116.61,041,238
0-22-089.911140379110.134,923
0-11-283.806354315116.24,616
0-00-465.4815423534.626
31-03-040.9011030392059.15,215,576
0-12-122.60220512777.469,230
0-01-329.5227521970.51,531
20-13-04.605375895.4347,774
0-02-20.50356599.535,137
10-03-1Out2773Yes347,865
00-04-0Out1288Yes1,310,346
Total:80.0%1010101010101010101020.0%27,004,340
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs