Israel Title Chances 2015
Lost to Bulgaria 5-10, title odds down 0.2 to 0%
4 points 1-0 2-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Thursday, 4/16 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| South Africa 3 Israel 6 | +0.1 | +0.1 | -18.0 | +0.5 | ||||
| Mexico 9 Bulgaria 1 | -1.5 | +0.0 | ||||||
| Friday, 4/17 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bulgaria 10 Israel 5 | No | No | +1.5 | -0.9 | ||||
| China 5 Mexico 2 | No | No | ||||||
| South Africa 3 New Zealand 1 | +5.2 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||||||
| Sunday, 4/19 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| South Africa vs China | +73.2+67.5+67.5NoNoNo | -0.7-0.7-0.7+0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||||
| Israel vs Mexico | No-7.0-7.0+1.3+1.3+2.0 | +1.7-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3 | ||||||
| New Zealand vs Bulgaria | -0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.1 | +0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.0 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Israel finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Relegated | Count | ||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | No | No | 93 | 7 | No | 31,393,961 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | No | No | 98 | 2 | 1.9 | % | 2,232,683 | |||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | No | No | 90 | 10 | 10.2 | 10,094,032 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | No | No | 89 | 11 | 10.9 | 141,490,744 | ||||||||||
| Total: | No | No | 16 | 1 | 74 | 9 | 8.9 | % | 185,211,420 | |||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:08 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
