How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday, 5/17None
If winner is:HomeAway
Sunday, 5/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Fruitcake vs Fromage-10.3+10.3
-16.6+16.6
-0.9+0.9
Fromage vs Guppy+10.3-10.3
+16.6-16.6
+0.9-0.9
Fromage vs Lemonade+9.8-9.8
+16.7-16.7
+0.9-0.9
Gogoslack vs Fromage-9.8+9.8
-16.7+16.7
-0.9+0.9
Fruitcake vs #1 Habs Fan+0.7-0.7
+1.0-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Polish Power vs Guppy-0.7+0.7
-1.0+1.0
-0.1+0.1
Polish Power vs Fruitcake-0.7+0.7
-1.0+1.0
-0.1+0.1
Guppy vs #1 Habs Fan+0.7-0.7
+1.0-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Gogoslack vs Polish Power+0.6-0.6
+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
#1 Habs Fan vs Lemonade-0.6+0.6
-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Guppy vs Gogoslack+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.1
Lemonade vs Fruitcake-0.1+0.1
+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Fromage finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTplayoffsTop 41234567Count
164-00-0InYes9462,548,625
123-01-0In83.1%334718110,178,515
82-02-099.9%4.1062636266015,256,093
41-03-066.6No118473310,169,150
00-04-06.3No6942,550,057
Total:85.7%28.6%1414141414141440,702,440
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday, 5/17None
If winner is:HomeAway
Sunday, 5/18100.0*Lottery seed
Gogoslack vs Fromage+1.9-1.9
Fromage vs Lemonade-1.9+1.9
Fruitcake vs Fromage+1.9-1.9
Fromage vs Guppy-1.9+1.9
Gogoslack vs Polish Power-0.1+0.1
#1 Habs Fan vs Lemonade+0.1-0.1
Guppy vs #1 Habs Fan-0.1+0.1
Polish Power vs Guppy+0.1-0.1
Polish Power vs Fruitcake+0.1-0.1
Fruitcake vs #1 Habs Fan-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTL-OT1234567891011121314
164-00-0742320
123-01-01023272313400
82-02-000141117191917104100
41-03-00041323272310
00-04-0022374
Total:77777777777777