Patriots Playoff Chances 2020-01 50/50
Plays MIA, playoff odds up 0.006 to 25%
7-7-1 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Friday, 5/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| CIN 34 NE 30 | -9.3 | -0.9 | ||
| PIT 17 BUF 38 | -9.3 | -0.5 | ||
| LAC 28 MIN 21 | -0.1 | |||
| NO 14 IND 28 | -0.0 | |||
| TEN 10 HOU 17 | -0.0 | |||
| BAL 27 NYJ 24 | -0.0 | |||
| ARI 34 CLE 24 | +0.0 | |||
| KC 17 DEN 3 | +0.0 | |||
| OAK 14 JAX 33 | -0.0 | |||
| Saturday, 5/16 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NE 14 BUF 35 | -37.5 | -2.5 | ||
| TEN 35 NO 28 | -0.1 | |||
| DEN 7 DET 0 | -0.1 | |||
| ATL 30 JAX 35 | -0.1 | |||
| CHI 7 KC 42 | -0.1 | |||
| TB 17 HOU 31 | -0.1 | |||
| NYJ 17 PIT 20 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Sunday, 5/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NE vs MIA | +25.0OutOut | +2.3-2.2-2.2 | ||
| BUF vs NYJ | OutOut+24.9 | -1.5-1.5+1.5 | ||
| JAX vs IND | -0.1-0.3+0.1 | |||
| HOU vs TEN | +0.1-0.3-0.1 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the NE finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 50.0 | % | 50 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 456,912 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | Out | 51 | 49 | 350 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Out | 50 | 50 | 457,282 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 25.0 | % | 25 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 25 | 914,544 | ||||||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Friday, 5/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| CIN 34 NE 30 | +1.8 | |
| PIT 17 BUF 38 | +0.9 | |
| LAC 28 MIN 21 | +0.1 | |
| TEN 10 HOU 17 | +0.1 | |
| KC 17 DEN 3 | -0.1 | |
| NO 14 IND 28 | +0.0 | |
| BAL 27 NYJ 24 | +0.0 | |
| ARI 34 CLE 24 | -0.0 | |
| WAS 17 PHI 14 | -0.0 | |
| GB 21 CHI 28 | +0.0 | |
| DET 14 TB 19 | -0.0 | |
| Saturday, 5/16 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| NE 14 BUF 35 | +4.3 | |
| SEA 47 ARI 14 | -0.1 | |
| DEN 7 DET 0 | -0.1 | |
| PHI 14 DAL 31 | -0.1 | |
| TEN 35 NO 28 | +0.1 | |
| ATL 30 JAX 35 | +0.1 | |
| IND 10 CAR 38 | -0.1 | |
| LAC 21 OAK 13 | +0.0 | |
| TB 17 HOU 31 | +0.0 | |
| NYJ 17 PIT 20 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Sunday, 5/17 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| NE vs MIA | -3.5+3.0+3.5 | |
| BUF vs NYJ | +2.2+2.3-2.2 | |
| DET vs GB | +0.3-0.7-0.3 | |
| NYG vs PHI | -0.3+0.2+0.3 | |
| HOU vs TEN | -0.1+0.3+0.1 | |
| JAX vs IND | +0.1+0.2-0.1 | |
What If
Where will we finish the regular season, league wide?
Doesn’t show any reseeding based on playoff results, or how seeds map to draft picks.
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 50 | 12 | 25 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 27 | 47 | 26 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 12 | 38 | 37 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 25 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 19 | 6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:10 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
