How are these numbers calculated?
Lottery
We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.
Big Games
| Friday, 5/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| DET 14 TB 19 | +2.6 | |
| SF 35 ATL 42 | +0.2 | |
| GB 21 CHI 28 | +0.2 | |
| KC 17 DEN 3 | +0.2 | |
| NO 14 IND 28 | +0.1 | |
| TEN 10 HOU 17 | -0.1 | |
| CAR 22 SEA 34 | -0.1 | |
| ARI 34 CLE 24 | -0.1 | |
| BAL 27 NYJ 24 | +0.1 | |
| OAK 14 JAX 33 | +0.1 | |
| LAC 28 MIN 21 | +0.0 | |
| NYG 35 MIA 17 | -0.0 | |
| WAS 17 PHI 14 | -0.0 | |
| Saturday, 5/16 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| DEN 7 DET 0 | +1.1 | |
| TEN 35 NO 28 | +0.2 | |
| NE 14 BUF 35 | +0.1 | |
| CHI 7 KC 42 | +0.1 | |
| PHI 14 DAL 31 | -0.1 | |
| ATL 30 JAX 35 | +0.1 | |
| TB 17 HOU 31 | -0.1 | |
| NYJ 17 PIT 20 | +0.1 | |
| IND 10 CAR 38 | +0.0 | |
| SEA 47 ARI 14 | -0.0 | |
| WAS 24 NYG 16 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Sunday, 5/17 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| DET vs GB | -0.5-0.2+1.4 | |
| NYG vs PHI | -0.4-0.5+0.3 | |
| JAX vs IND | +0.3-0.4-0.4 | |
| NE vs MIA | +0.1+0.2-0.6 | |
| TB vs ATL | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| LAR vs ARI | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| BUF vs NYJ | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | |
| DEN vs OAK | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Where will we finish the regular season, league wide?
Doesn’t show any reseeding based on playoff results, or how seeds map to draft picks.
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 8 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 26 | 45 | 25 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 19 | 48 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 29 | 62 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 3 | 19 | 34 | 26 | 15 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:10 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
