Falcons Playoff Chances 2020-01 50/50
Plays at TB, playoff odds down 0.008 to 50%
8-6-1 .567
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Friday, 5/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| SF 35 ATL 42 | +20.4 | +0.8 | ||
| CAR 22 SEA 34 | +6.1 | +0.2 | ||
| DET 14 TB 19 | +2.9 | +0.1 | ||
| WAS 17 PHI 14 | -2.3 | |||
| NO 14 IND 28 | +2.0 | +0.1 | ||
| GB 21 CHI 28 | -0.3 | |||
| ARI 34 CLE 24 | -0.0 | |||
| Saturday, 5/16 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| ATL 30 JAX 35 | -21.5 | -0.8 | ||
| IND 10 CAR 38 | -8.1 | -0.2 | ||
| TEN 35 NO 28 | +4.7 | +0.3 | ||
| WAS 24 NYG 16 | -1.6 | -0.1 | ||
| PHI 14 DAL 31 | +1.3 | +0.1 | ||
| DEN 7 DET 0 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Sunday, 5/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| TB vs ATL | OutOut+50.0 | -0.5-0.5+0.5 | ||
| CAR vs NO | *-0.0Out*+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the ATL finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 9 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 100 | 0 | 457,368 | |||||||||||||||
| 8.5 | -9 | Out | 100 | 457,176 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 50.0 | % | 50 | 50 | 914,544 | |||||||||||||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Friday, 5/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| SF 35 ATL 42 | -2.0 | |
| CAR 22 SEA 34 | -0.3 | |
| DET 14 TB 19 | -0.2 | |
| LAC 28 MIN 21 | +0.1 | |
| BAL 27 NYJ 24 | +0.1 | |
| NO 14 IND 28 | -0.1 | |
| WAS 17 PHI 14 | +0.0 | |
| GB 21 CHI 28 | +0.0 | |
| PIT 17 BUF 38 | -0.0 | |
| ARI 34 CLE 24 | -0.0 | |
| Saturday, 5/16 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| ATL 30 JAX 35 | +2.0 | |
| TEN 35 NO 28 | -0.5 | |
| IND 10 CAR 38 | +0.4 | |
| WAS 24 NYG 16 | +0.2 | |
| PHI 14 DAL 31 | -0.1 | |
| NYJ 17 PIT 20 | +0.1 | |
| CHI 7 KC 42 | +0.1 | |
| DEN 7 DET 0 | +0.1 | |
| TB 17 HOU 31 | +0.0 | |
| Sunday, 5/17 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| CIN 14 CLE 10 | -0.1 | |
| BAL 31 PIT 14 | -0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| TB vs ATL | +2.3+0.3-2.2 | |
| CAR vs NO | -0.0+0.8-0.0 | |
| HOU vs TEN | -0.3+0.1+0.3 | |
| JAX vs IND | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | |
| DEN vs OAK | +0.2+0.2-0.2 | |
What If
Where will we finish the regular season, league wide?
Doesn’t show any reseeding based on playoff results, or how seeds map to draft picks.
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 9 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 50 | 50 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 25 | 50 | 25 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 25 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 25 | 13 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:10 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
