Traverse City Twisters Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Plays at Muckaneers, playoff odds up 0.1 to 47.2%

0 points 0 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Muckaneers vs Twisters	-6.8-1.9-1.4+5.4+5.7+6.1		-0.8-0.3*-0.2+0.8+0.7+0.8		-0.7-0.2-0.2+0.6+0.6+0.6
Vikings vs Kozaks	+0.5+0.3+0.4-0.3-0.1-0.5				+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.0
Stingers vs Armada					+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0

Wednesday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Twisters finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

61	-78						In		98.6	%	100															417	*
60		29	8		-	2	In		94.4		97	3														358	*
59		28	8		-	3	In		91.3		97	3														598	*
58		28	9		-	2	In		87.1		95	5														968	*
57		27	9		-	3	In		79.0		92	8	0													1,551	*
56		27	10		-	2	In		68.6		87	13	1													2,413	*
55		26	10		-	3	In		55.3		79	20	1													3,489	*
54		26	11		-	2	In		40.6		69	28	3	0												5,080	*
53		25	11		-	3	In		25.6		56	36	7	1	0											7,106	*
52		25	12		-	2	In		12.8		41	42	15	2	0											9,647	*
51		24	12		-	3	In		5.2		27	43	23	6	1	0										12,398	*
50		24	13		-	2	In		1.6		15	38	32	13	2	0	0									16,205	*
49		23	13		-	3	In		0.2		7	26	37	22	7	1	0	0								20,213	*
48		23	14		-	2	In		0.0		2	14	31	31	16	4	1	0								23,625	*
47		22	14		-	3	100.0	%	No		0	4	18	32	28	13	3	0	0							13,930	*
		23	15		-	1	In		No		1	6	21	32	26	11	3	0								13,846	*
46		22	15		-	2	99.8		No		0	2	10	25	32	22	8	1	0	0						15,020
		21	14		-	4	99.6		No		0	1	7	20	30	26	12	3	0	0						16,402	*
45		21	15		-	3	97.9		No		0	0	2	9	23	31	23	9	2	0	0					34,415	*
44		21	16		-	2	93.1		No			0	0	4	14	28	30	18	6	1	0	0				20,825	*
		20	15		-	4	83.5		No				0	1	6	19	30	26	13	3	0	0				16,391	*
43		20	16		-	3	68.3		No				0	0	2	10	25	31	22	8	2	0				17,869
		21	17		-	1	69.1		No				0	0	3	12	25	29	20	9	2	0	0	0		20,536	*
42		20	17		-	2	47.7		No					0	1	4	15	28	30	17	5	1	0			22,202	*
		19	16		-	4	28.7		No					0	0	1	7	20	31	26	12	3	0	0		17,160	*
41		19	17		-	3	14.2		No						0	0	3	11	25	32	21	7	1	0		17,985
		20	18		-	1	16.8		No						0	0	3	13	26	29	20	7	1	0		20,688	*
40		19	18		-	2	5.3		No					0		0	1	5	15	28	29	17	5	1	0	24,153	*
		18	17		-	4	2.3		No								0	2	9	24	32	22	8	1	0	13,196	*
39		18	18		-	3	0.7		No							0	0	1	4	15	29	30	16	4	0	34,736	*
38		18	19		-	2	0.2		No									0	1	7	22	33	26	9	1	14,765
		17	18		-	4	0.1		No									0	1	5	17	30	31	14	2	16,993	*
37		17	19		-	3	Out		No										0	1	8	25	36	24	5	14,212	*
		18	20		-	1	0.0		No									0	0	2	10	26	35	22	5	13,767	*
36		17	20		-	2	Out		No										0	0	3	16	34	34	12	24,471	*
35		16	20		-	3	Out		No										0	0	1	7	26	43	23	20,371	*
34		16	21		-	2	Out		No											0	0	3	17	44	36	16,569	*
33		15	21		-	3	Out		No												0	1	10	39	51	13,082	*
32		15	22		-	2	Out		No													0	5	31	64	10,353	*
31		14	22		-	3	Out		No													0	2	23	75	7,749	*
30		14	23		-	2	Out		No													0	1	16	83	5,581	*
29		13	23		-	3	Out		No														1	11	89	3,966	*
28		13	24		-	2	Out		No														0	6	94	2,764	*
27		12	24		-	3	Out		No															4	96	1,802	*
26		12	25		-	2	Out		No															2	98	1,190	*
25		11	25		-	3	Out		No														0	2	98	762	*
24		11	26		-	2	Out		No															1	99	450	*
23		10	26		-	3	Out		No															0	100	265	*
22		10	27		-	2	Out		No															1	99	152	*
0	-21						Out		No																100	254	*

Total:							47.2	%	2.2	%	5	5	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	8	8	9	592,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Muckaneers vs Twisters	+1.4+0.4+0.3-1.2-1.2-1.3

Wednesday	None

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

64	-78						100
63		31	7		-	1	98	2
62		30	7		-	2	98	2
61		29	7		-	3	98	2
60		29	8		-	2	94	6
59		28	8		-	3	91	9	0
58		28	9		-	2	87	13	0
57		27	9		-	3	79	19	2
56		27	10		-	2	69	27	4	0
55		26	10		-	3	55	36	8	1
54		26	11		-	2	41	41	15	3	0	0
53		25	11		-	3	26	40	24	8	2	0
52		25	12		-	2	13	32	32	17	5	1	0	0
51		24	12		-	3	5	20	30	26	14	5	1	0	0
50		24	13		-	2	2	9	20	28	23	13	5	1	0	0
49		23	13		-	3	0	2	9	20	25	23	14	6	2	0	0	0
48		23	14		-	2	0	0	2	8	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
47		22	14		-	3		0	0	1	4	11	20	24	20	13	6	2	0	0
		23	15		-	1		0	0	2	6	14	21	22	18	11	5	1	0	0	0
46		22	15		-	2			0	0	1	3	8	15	22	21	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
45		21	15		-	3					0	0	1	3	8	16	23	22	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
		22	16		-	1					0	0	1	4	10	16	21	20	14	8	3	1	0	0
44		21	16		-	2						0	0	1	2	6	13	21	23	18	11	4	1	0	0		0
		20	15		-	4								0	0	2	6	12	21	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
43		20	16		-	3								0	0	0	1	4	11	17	22	20	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
42		20	17		-	2										0	0	0	2	6	13	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
		19	16		-	4											0	0	1	3	8	15	21	21	16	9	3	1	0	0
41		19	17		-	3												0	0	0	2	5	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	0	0	0
40		19	18		-	2												0		0	0	1	3	8	15	22	23	16	9	3	1	0	0
		18	17		-	4														0	0	0	2	4	10	18	22	21	14	7	2	0	0
39		18	18		-	3															0	0	0	1	3	8	15	22	23	16	9	3	1	0	0
38		18	19		-	2																	0	0	0	2	6	15	22	24	18	9	3	1	0
		17	18		-	4																		0	0	0	2	7	15	24	24	17	7	2	0	0
37		17	19		-	3																			0	0	1	3	8	17	24	23	15	6	1	0
36		17	20		-	2																					0	0	2	7	16	25	26	17	6	1
35		16	20		-	3																					0	0	0	2	7	17	28	28	16	4
34		16	21		-	2																							0	0	2	8	21	33	27	10
33		15	21		-	3																								0	0	3	11	28	38	21
32		15	22		-	2																								0	0	1	5	19	41	34
31		14	22		-	3																									0	0	2	11	37	50
30		14	23		-	2																										0	1	6	31	63
29		13	23		-	3																											0	3	23	74
28		13	24		-	2																												1	13	86
27		12	24		-	3																												0	10	89
26		12	25		-	2																												0	6	94
25		11	25		-	3																												0	4	96
24		11	26		-	2																													2	98
23		10	26		-	3																													2	98
22		10	27		-	2																													1	99
0	-21																																			100

Total:							2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4