San Diego Trash Pandas Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Plays at H. Wolves, playoff odds up 0.09 to 60%

2 points 1 0-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
H. Wolves vs Trash Pandas	-6.8-1.6-1.1+5.3+5.7+6.0		-1.5-0.7-0.6+1.4+1.5+1.4		-0.7-0.2-0.2+0.6+0.6+0.6
Vikings vs Kozaks	+0.6+0.3-0.1-0.7+0.1-0.5				+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1*+0.0-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Wings vs Maple Leafs					-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Trash Pandas finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

63	-80						In		99.6	%	100															467	*
62		29	8		-	2	In		98.0		99	1														394	*
61		28	8		-	3	In		98.1		100	0														586	*
60		28	9		-	2	In		95.6		98	2														1,008	*
59		27	9		-	3	In		93.3		98	2														1,538	*
58		27	10		-	2	In		87.6		95	5														2,504	*
57		26	10		-	3	In		80.6		92	8	0													3,488	*
56		26	11		-	2	In		69.4		86	13	1	0												5,204	*
55		25	11		-	3	In		55.9		79	20	1	0												7,100	*
54		25	12		-	2	In		41.5		69	27	3	0	0											9,655	*
53		24	12		-	3	In		25.6		56	36	7	1	0											12,548	*
52		24	13		-	2	In		13.6		42	41	14	2	0	0										16,197	*
51		23	13		-	3	In		5.5		28	43	23	6	1	0	0									19,649	*
50		23	14		-	2	In		1.5		15	38	33	12	2	0	0									23,936	*
49		22	14		-	3	In		0.2		7	26	36	23	7	1	0	0								12,911
		23	15		-	1	In		0.3		7	27	36	22	7	1	0									14,813	*
48		22	15		-	2	In		0.1		3	16	33	31	14	3	0	0								14,840
		21	14		-	4	In		0.0		2	12	29	33	18	5	1	0								16,619	*
47		21	15		-	3	100.0	%	0.0		0	5	19	32	28	13	3	0	0							15,841
		22	16		-	1	100.0		No		1	6	20	31	26	12	3	0	0							18,420	*
46		21	16		-	2	99.9		No		0	2	10	26	32	21	8	1	0							20,984	*
		20	15		-	4	99.5		No		0	1	5	18	31	28	15	4	0	0						16,022	*
45		20	16		-	3	97.7		No		0	0	2	10	23	31	23	9	2	0	0					38,637	*
44		20	17		-	2	93.4		No			0	0	3	14	27	30	18	6	1	0	0				21,968	*
		19	16		-	4	83.9		No				0	1	6	19	31	26	13	3	0	0				17,311	*
43		19	17		-	3	68.2		No				0	0	2	10	24	31	22	8	2	0	0	0		18,034
		20	18		-	1	69.0		No			0	0	0	3	12	24	29	21	8	2	0	0			20,610	*
42		19	18		-	2	45.4		No					0	1	4	13	28	31	18	6	1	0	0		17,228
		18	17		-	4	34.3		No				0	0	0	2	9	23	30	23	10	2	0			19,978	*
41		18	18		-	3	15.6		No					0	0	1	3	12	25	30	20	7	1	0		34,920	*
40		18	19		-	2	5.1		No						0	0	0	5	16	29	30	15	4	0	0	14,693
		17	18		-	4	3.1		No							0	0	3	11	25	32	21	7	1	0	17,157	*
39		17	19		-	3	0.6		No								0	1	4	15	30	30	16	4	0	13,044
		18	20		-	1	0.8		No								0	1	5	16	29	29	16	4	0	14,861	*
38		17	20		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	1	6	19	33	28	11	2	24,069	*
37		16	20		-	3	Out		No										0	2	9	25	36	23	5	20,192	*
36		16	21		-	2	Out		No										0	0	4	15	34	35	12	16,663	*
35		15	21		-	3	Out		No										0	0	1	8	27	42	22	13,380	*
34		15	22		-	2	Out		No												0	3	17	42	37	10,248	*
33		14	22		-	3	Out		No												0	1	10	39	50	7,781	*
32		14	23		-	2	Out		No													0	5	31	64	5,568	*
31		13	23		-	3	Out		No													0	2	23	74	4,020	*
30		13	24		-	2	Out		No														1	16	83	2,832	*
29		12	24		-	3	Out		No														0	11	88	1,787	*
28		12	25		-	2	Out		No														0	7	93	1,224	*
27		11	25		-	3	Out		No															3	97	817	*
26		11	26		-	2	Out		No															2	98	496	*
25		10	26		-	3	Out		No															1	99	282	*
24		10	27		-	2	Out		No															1	99	174	*
2	-23						Out		No																100	242	*

Total:							60.0	%	4.6	%	9	8	8	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	592,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
H. Wolves vs Trash Pandas	+1.4+0.4+0.3-1.2-1.3-1.3
Firebirds vs Zigzagoons	-0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0+0.1-0.0

Wednesday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

64	-80						100
63		29	7		-	3	99	1
62		29	8		-	2	98	2
61		28	8		-	3	98	2
60		28	9		-	2	96	4	0
59		27	9		-	3	93	7	0
58		27	10		-	2	88	12	1	0
57		26	10		-	3	81	17	2	0
56		26	11		-	2	69	27	4	0	0
55		25	11		-	3	56	34	9	1	0
54		25	12		-	2	42	39	15	3	0	0
53		24	12		-	3	26	39	26	8	2	0
52		24	13		-	2	14	31	32	17	5	1	0	0
51		23	13		-	3	6	20	30	26	13	4	1	0	0	0
50		23	14		-	2	2	8	20	28	23	13	5	1	0	0
49		22	14		-	3	0	2	8	19	26	23	14	6	2	0	0	0
		23	15		-	1	0	3	10	19	25	22	13	6	2	0	0
48		22	15		-	2	0	0	3	10	19	25	22	13	6	2	0	0	0
		21	14		-	4		0	1	4	12	20	25	20	12	5	1	0	0
47		21	15		-	3	0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1	0	0	0
		22	16		-	1		0	0	2	6	13	20	22	18	12	5	2	0	0	0
46		21	16		-	2				0	1	3	9	18	23	22	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
		20	15		-	4			0	0	1	2	6	12	20	22	19	11	5	2	0	0
45		20	16		-	3				0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0
44		20	17		-	2					0	0	0	1	2	6	13	21	23	19	11	4	1	0	0
		19	16		-	4								0	0	2	5	12	21	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
43		19	17		-	3								0	0	0	1	4	10	17	21	20	14	7	3	1	0	0
42		19	18		-	2										0	0	1	2	6	14	21	23	17	10	4	1	0	0
		18	17		-	4												0	0	2	6	13	21	23	19	10	4	1	0	0
41		18	18		-	3											0	0	0	0	2	5	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	0	0	0	0	0
40		18	19		-	2														0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0
		17	18		-	4															0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
39		17	19		-	3																0	0	1	3	8	15	22	22	17	9	3	1	0	0
38		17	20		-	2																	0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1	0	0
37		16	20		-	3																			0	0	1	3	8	17	24	24	16	6	1	0
36		16	21		-	2																				0	0	0	2	7	16	26	26	16	6	1
35		15	21		-	3																						0	0	2	7	17	28	28	14	3
34		15	22		-	2																							0	0	2	8	20	33	27	10
33		14	22		-	3																								0	0	2	11	28	37	21
32		14	23		-	2																									0	1	5	18	42	34
31		13	23		-	3																									0	0	2	11	36	50
30		13	24		-	2																											1	5	31	63
29		12	24		-	3																											0	2	22	75
28		12	25		-	2																											0	1	16	84
27		11	25		-	3																												0	10	89
26		11	26		-	2																												0	6	93
25		10	26		-	3																													4	96
24		10	27		-	2																													2	98
23		9	27		-	3																													1	99
2	-22																																			100

Total:							5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2