Cincinnati Stingers Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Plays Armada, playoff odds down 0.01 to 47.1%

0 points 0 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Stingers vs Armada	+6.3+5.7+5.8-1.6-1.8-7.0		+0.8+0.7+0.6*-0.3-0.4-0.8		+0.6+0.6+0.6-0.2-0.2-0.7
Vikings vs Kozaks	-0.4-0.8+0.3-0.2-0.1+0.5

Wednesday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Stingers finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

63	-78						In		99.4	%	100															157	*
62		30	7		-	2	In		98.4		99	1														122	*
61		30	8		-	1	In		98.4		99	1														190	*
60		29	8		-	2	In		96.6		99	1														356	*
59		28	8		-	3	In		93.1		99	1														610	*
58		28	9		-	2	In		88.1		95	5	0													963	*
57		27	9		-	3	In		79.4		93	7	0													1,514	*
56		27	10		-	2	In		70.5		87	13	1													2,370	*
55		26	10		-	3	In		55.7		79	20	1	0												3,525	*
54		26	11		-	2	In		41.2		69	28	3	0												5,076	*
53		25	11		-	3	In		26.5		58	35	6	0	0											7,083	*
52		25	12		-	2	In		14.0		43	40	15	2	0											9,620	*
51		24	12		-	3	In		5.5		29	42	23	5	0	0										12,733	*
50		24	13		-	2	In		1.3		15	38	32	12	2	0										15,890	*
49		23	13		-	3	In		0.2		7	27	36	22	7	1	0									19,474	*
48		23	14		-	2	In		0.0		2	15	31	31	16	4	1	0								23,822	*
47		22	14		-	3	100.0	%	No		1	5	20	32	27	12	3	0	0							27,842	*
46		22	15		-	2	99.7		No		0	1	8	22	32	24	10	2	0	0						31,438	*
45		21	15		-	3	97.7		No		0	0	2	10	23	30	23	9	2	0	0					34,729	*
44		21	16		-	2	91.3		No			0	0	3	12	26	30	19	7	1	0	0				24,533	*
		20	15		-	4	85.6		No				0	1	7	20	32	25	11	3	0	0				12,498
43		20	16		-	3	63.6		No					0	2	9	22	31	23	10	2	0	0			26,951	*
		21	17		-	1	79.9		No				0	1	5	17	29	28	15	4	1	0				11,702
42		20	17		-	2	41.5		No					0	0	3	12	25	30	20	7	2	0	0		22,162	*
		19	16		-	4	36.8		No					0	0	3	11	23	30	22	9	2	0			16,801	*
41		19	17		-	3	13.7		No						0	0	2	11	25	32	21	7	1	0	0	17,858
		20	18		-	1	17.0		No						0	0	4	13	25	29	20	8	1	0		21,059	*
40		19	18		-	2	5.0		No							0	1	4	15	29	30	16	4	0	0	17,489
		18	17		-	4	3.2		No							0	0	3	11	24	31	21	7	1	0	20,068	*
39		18	18		-	3	0.7		No								0	1	4	15	30	31	16	4	0	16,190
		19	19		-	1	0.8		No								0	1	5	16	29	29	16	4	0	18,634	*
38		18	19		-	2	0.2		No								0	0	1	8	22	34	25	8	1	17,666	*
		17	18		-	4	0.0		No									0	0	4	15	32	32	14	2	14,020	*
37		17	19		-	3	Out		No										0	1	8	25	37	23	5	13,053
		18	20		-	1	Out		No										0	2	9	26	35	22	5	15,221	*
36		17	20		-	2	Out		No										0	0	3	15	34	35	13	23,942	*
35		16	20		-	3	Out		No											0	1	7	26	42	23	20,346	*
34		16	21		-	2	Out		No												0	3	17	43	37	16,870	*
33		15	21		-	3	Out		No												0	1	9	38	52	13,237	*
32		15	22		-	2	Out		No												0	0	5	31	64	10,134	*
31		14	22		-	3	Out		No													0	2	23	75	7,706	*
30		14	23		-	2	Out		No													0	1	16	83	5,715	*
29		13	23		-	3	Out		No														0	10	90	4,071	*
28		13	24		-	2	Out		No													0	0	7	93	2,692	*
27		12	24		-	3	Out		No														0	3	97	1,838	*
26		12	25		-	2	Out		No															3	97	1,155	*
25		11	25		-	3	Out		No															2	98	732	*
24		11	26		-	2	Out		No															2	98	456	*
23		10	26		-	3	Out		No															0	100	259	*
0	-22						Out		No																100	368	*

Total:							47.1	%	2.2	%	5	5	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	8	8	8	9	592,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Stingers vs Armada	-1.3-1.2-1.2+0.3+0.4+1.5

Wednesday	None

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

66	-78						100
65		32	6		-	1	93	7
63	-64						100
62		30	7		-	2	98	2
61		30	8		-	1	98	2
60		29	8		-	2	97	3
59		28	8		-	3	93	7	0
58		28	9		-	2	88	11	1
57		27	9		-	3	79	19	2
56		27	10		-	2	70	26	4	0
55		26	10		-	3	56	35	8	1	0
54		26	11		-	2	41	40	15	3	0	0
53		25	11		-	3	26	40	24	8	2	0	0
52		25	12		-	2	14	32	32	16	5	1	0	0
51		24	12		-	3	6	19	30	26	13	4	1	0	0	0
50		24	13		-	2	1	8	20	28	24	12	5	1	0	0
49		23	13		-	3	0	2	9	19	26	22	14	6	2	0	0	0
48		23	14		-	2	0	0	2	7	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
47		22	14		-	3		0	0	1	5	12	20	23	19	12	5	2	0	0
46		22	15		-	2			0	0	1	3	9	17	24	22	14	6	2	1	0
		21	14		-	4				0	1	2	6	12	19	23	19	12	5	1	0	0
45		21	15		-	3				0	0	0	1	4	9	16	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
44		21	16		-	2						0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	18	10	4	1	0	0
		20	15		-	4								0	0	2	5	12	20	24	19	11	5	1	0	0
43		20	16		-	3								0	0	0	1	4	10	17	21	20	13	7	3	1	0	0
42		20	17		-	2										0	0	1	2	7	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0
		19	16		-	4												0	0	2	6	14	20	24	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
41		19	17		-	3											0	0	0	0	2	5	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
40		19	18		-	2														0	0	0	2	6	12	20	23	19	11	5	2	0	0	0	0
39		18	18		-	3																0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0
		19	19		-	1																0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	16	9	3	1	0	0
38		18	19		-	2																0	0	0	0	2	6	14	22	24	18	9	3	1	0
		17	18		-	4																			0	0	3	7	16	24	24	16	7	2	0	0
37		17	19		-	3																			0	0	1	2	8	17	25	25	16	6	1	0
		18	20		-	1																			0	0	1	3	9	17	24	23	15	6	1	0
36		17	20		-	2																			0	0	0	0	2	7	16	25	26	17	6	1
35		16	20		-	3																						0	0	2	7	17	28	28	15	3
34		16	21		-	2																						0	0	0	2	8	20	31	28	10
33		15	21		-	3																								0	0	3	11	28	38	21
32		15	22		-	2																								0	0	1	5	19	41	34
31		14	22		-	3																										0	2	11	38	49
30		14	23		-	2																										0	1	6	31	63
29		13	23		-	3																											0	3	22	75
28		13	24		-	2																											0	1	15	84
27		12	24		-	3																												0	10	90
26		12	25		-	2																												0	7	93
25		11	25		-	3																													3	97
24		11	26		-	2																													3	97
23		10	26		-	3																													1	99
0	-22																																			100

Total:							2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4