Dallas Stars Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.08 to 53.2%

2 points 1 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Pirates 8 Valkyrie 3			*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Vikings vs Kozaks	-0.4-0.4-0.1-0.2+0.1+0.5		-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1

Wednesday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Stars finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

64	-78						In		Yes		100															146	*
63		29	6		-	3	In		97.1	%	97	3														69	*
62		29	7		-	2	In		98.8		99	1														164	*
61		28	7		-	3	In		98.2		99	1														272	*
60		28	8		-	2	In		94.5		98	2														524	*
59		27	8		-	3	In		92.7		97	3														873	*
58		27	9		-	2	In		87.5		94	6	0													1,453	*
57		26	9		-	3	In		79.7		92	8	0													2,145	*
56		26	10		-	2	In		69.6		87	13	1	0												3,232	*
55		25	10		-	3	In		55.1		79	20	2	0												4,787	*
54		25	11		-	2	In		42.1		70	27	3	0												6,766	*
53		24	11		-	3	In		25.0		56	36	7	1	0											9,064	*
52		24	12		-	2	In		13.0		42	42	15	2	0											12,138	*
51		23	12		-	3	In		5.3		28	43	23	5	1	0										15,322	*
50		23	13		-	2	In		1.4		16	37	32	12	2	0										19,413	*
49		22	13		-	3	In		0.2		7	26	36	22	7	1	0	0								23,325	*
48		22	14		-	2	In		0.0		2	14	32	31	16	4	1	0								28,007	*
47		21	14		-	3	100.0	%	No		1	5	20	32	27	12	3	0	0							31,073	*
46		21	15		-	2	99.9		No		0	2	9	25	32	23	8	1	0	0						16,795
		20	14		-	4	99.6		No		0	1	7	20	31	26	12	3	0	0						18,162	*
45		20	15		-	3	97.7		No			0	2	10	24	30	23	9	2	0	0					37,359	*
44		20	16		-	2	92.7		No			0	0	3	13	26	31	19	6	1	0		0			18,621
		19	15		-	4	86.3		No			0	0	2	9	21	30	24	11	3	0	0				20,562	*
43		19	16		-	3	68.1		No				0	0	2	10	24	32	22	8	2	0				18,511
		20	17		-	1	69.4		No				0	0	3	12	25	29	20	8	2	0	0			21,174	*
42		19	17		-	2	45.6		No					0	1	3	14	28	30	18	5	1	0	0		18,862
		18	16		-	4	33.9		No					0	0	2	9	22	30	23	10	2	0	0		20,637	*
41		18	17		-	3	13.8		No						0	0	3	11	25	32	21	7	1	0	0	17,456
		19	18		-	1	16.6		No						0	0	4	12	26	29	19	7	1	0		19,958	*
40		18	18		-	2	4.9		No							0	1	4	16	29	30	16	4	0	0	17,051
		17	17		-	4	3.3		No							0	0	3	11	25	32	21	7	1	0	18,709	*
39		17	18		-	3	0.6		No								0	1	4	14	30	31	16	4	0	14,798
		18	19		-	1	0.7		No								0	1	5	16	30	29	16	4	0	17,042	*
38		17	19		-	2	0.1		No									0	1	6	19	32	28	12	2	28,861	*
37		16	19		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	2	9	25	35	23	5	24,566	*
36		16	20		-	2	Out		No										0	0	4	15	34	34	13	20,666	*
35		15	20		-	3	Out		No											0	1	7	26	43	23	16,723	*
34		15	21		-	2	Out		No												0	3	17	43	37	13,202	*
33		14	21		-	3	Out		No												0	1	10	39	50	10,207	*
32		14	22		-	2	Out		No													0	4	31	64	7,636	*
31		13	22		-	3	Out		No													0	2	24	74	5,441	*
30		13	23		-	2	Out		No													0	1	16	83	3,919	*
29		12	23		-	3	Out		No													0	0	11	89	2,647	*
28		12	24		-	2	Out		No														0	6	94	1,774	*
27		11	24		-	3	Out		No														0	4	96	1,129	*
26		11	25		-	2	Out		No														0	3	97	672	*
25		10	25		-	3	Out		No														0	1	99	438	*
24		10	26		-	2	Out		No															1	99	248	*
23		9	26		-	3	Out		No															2	98	129	*
2	-22						Out		No																100	212	*

Total:							53.2	%	3.0	%	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	592,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Beavers 3 Giant Eagles 8	*-0.0

Wednesday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

64	-78						100
63		29	6		-	3	97	3
62		29	7		-	2	99	1
61		28	7		-	3	98	2
60		28	8		-	2	94	5	0
59		27	8		-	3	93	7	0
58		27	9		-	2	88	12	1
57		26	9		-	3	80	19	1	0
56		26	10		-	2	70	26	4	0
55		25	10		-	3	55	35	9	1	0
54		25	11		-	2	42	39	15	3	0	0
53		24	11		-	3	25	39	25	9	2	0
52		24	12		-	2	13	32	32	17	6	1	0	0	0
51		23	12		-	3	5	19	30	26	14	4	1	0	0
50		23	13		-	2	1	8	20	27	23	13	5	1	0	0
49		22	13		-	3	0	2	9	19	26	23	13	6	2	0	0	0
48		22	14		-	2	0	0	2	7	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
47		21	14		-	3		0	0	1	5	12	20	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
46		21	15		-	2			0	0	1	4	10	18	23	22	14	6	2	0	0
		20	14		-	4				0	0	1	4	10	19	24	21	13	6	2	0	0	0
45		20	15		-	3					0	0	1	3	9	16	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0		0
44		20	16		-	2						0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	18	11	5	2	0	0
		19	15		-	4							0	0	0	2	5	13	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
43		19	16		-	3								0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	14	7	3	1	0	0
42		19	17		-	2										0	0	0	2	7	14	21	23	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
		18	16		-	4												0	0	2	6	13	21	23	19	11	4	1	0	0
41		18	17		-	3												0	0	0	1	4	10	18	24	21	14	6	2	0	0
		19	18		-	1												0	0	1	2	6	12	18	21	19	12	6	2	0	0	0
40		18	18		-	2														0	0	1	3	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
		17	17		-	4														0	0	0	2	4	10	17	22	21	14	6	2	0	0
39		17	18		-	3																0	0	1	3	8	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
38		17	19		-	2																		0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	12	5	1	0	0
37		16	19		-	3																			0	0	1	3	8	17	24	23	16	6	1	0
36		16	20		-	2																					0	0	2	7	16	25	26	17	6	1
35		15	20		-	3																						0	0	2	6	17	28	28	16	3
34		15	21		-	2																							0	0	2	8	20	32	28	10
33		14	21		-	3																								0	0	3	12	28	37	21
32		14	22		-	2																									0	1	5	19	41	34
31		13	22		-	3																									0	0	2	11	38	48
30		13	23		-	2																										0	1	6	31	63
29		12	23		-	3																										0	0	2	22	75
28		12	24		-	2																											0	1	14	85
27		11	24		-	3																												1	10	89
26		11	25		-	2																												0	7	92
25		10	25		-	3																												0	4	96
24		10	26		-	2																													3	97
23		9	26		-	3																													3	97
22		9	27		-	2																														100
21		8	27		-	3																													2	98
2	-20																																			100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3